Nicolás Ibañez
(ast. José Paradela)
7'
Gabriel Fernández
(ast. Nicolás Ibañez)
38'
Gabriel Fernández
(ast. Andrés Montaño)
90'+5
(pen.)
55'
Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro
56'
(ast. Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro)
Alexis Vega
78'
(ast. Nicolás Castro)
Alexis Vega
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toluca a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Cruz Azul 35%). The final result was Cruz Azul 3–3 Toluca. In 2 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Toluca.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
18
7
Shots on target
7
4
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
5
12
Tackles
22
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Nicolás Ibañez
· ast. José Paradela
7'
37'
Diego Barbosa
⚽Gabriel Fernández
· ast. Nicolás Ibañez
38'
Agustín Palavecino
45'+2
45'+2
Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich
45'
Érick Gutiérrez
/
Diego Barbosa
52'
Willer Ditta
52'
55'
(pen.)
Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro⚽
56'
ast. Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro ·
Alexis Vega⚽
Gonzalo Piovi
57'
73'
Jesús Angulo
/
Pavel Pérez
Agustín Palavecino
/ Luka Romero
76'
Nicolás Ibañez
/ Andrés Montaño
76'
78'
ast. Nicolás Castro ·
Alexis Vega⚽
82'
Jorge Diaz
/
Alexis Vega
Alan Mozo
/ Osinachi Ebere
88'
Gonzalo Piovi
/ Rogelio Gonzalez
88'
⚽Gabriel Fernández
· ast. Andrés Montaño
90'+5
José Paradela
/ Juan José Calero Sierra
90'+7
Andrés Montaño
90'+9
90'
Sebastián Aceves
/
Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro
Pre-match prediction
35.92%
Cruz
25.06%
X ←
39.03%
Toluca
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.31
—
—
2.62
—
—
Lineups
1
A. Gudiño
G
A. Gudiño
G
3
O. Campos
D
O. Campos
D
5
J. Orozco
D
J. Orozco
D
33
G. Piovi
88'
D
G. Piovi
88'
D
4
W. Ditta
D
W. Ditta
D
2
A. Mozo
88'
D
A. Mozo
88'
D
19
C. Rodríguez
M
C. Rodríguez
M
20
J. Paradela
1 👟
M
J. Paradela
1 👟
M
8
A. Palavecino
76'
M
A. Palavecino
76'
M
21
G. Fernández
2 ⚽
F
G. Fernández
2 ⚽
F
7
N. Ibáñez
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
N. Ibáñez
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
10
A. Montaño
1 👟
14'
M
A. Montaño
1 👟
14'
M
12
A. Montes
D
A. Montes
D
60
Ariel Castro Sevilla
M
Ariel Castro Sevilla
M
11
C. Ebere
2'
F
C. Ebere
2'
F
30
E. Ochoa
G
E. Ochoa
G
14
J. Calero
1'
F
J. Calero
1'
F
22
J. Rodarte
D
J. Rodarte
D
18
L. Romero
14'
F
L. Romero
14'
F
55
R. Gonzalez
2'
M
R. Gonzalez
2'
M
15
R. Orquin
D
R. Orquin
D
22
L. García
G
L. García
G
17
B. García
D
B. García
D
6
F. Pereira
D
F. Pereira
D
13
Luan
D
Luan
D
4
B. Méndez
D
B. Méndez
D
8
N. Castro
1 👟
M
N. Castro
1 👟
M
2
D. Barbosa
45'
M
D. Barbosa
45'
M
9
A. Vega
2 ⚽
82'
M
A. Vega
2 ⚽
82'
M
15
P. Pérez
73'
M
P. Pérez
73'
M
11
Helinho
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
Helinho
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
26
Paulinho
F
Paulinho
F
Bench
3
A. Briseño
D
A. Briseño
D
35
É. Gutiérrez
45'
M
É. Gutiérrez
45'
M
10
J. Angulo
17'
M
J. Angulo
17'
M
29
J. Díaz
8'
M
J. Díaz
8'
M
198
J. Estrada
F
J. Estrada
F
23
O. Virgen
F
O. Virgen
F
12
R. Beltrán
G
R. Beltrán
G
184
S. Aceves
1'
M
S. Aceves
1'
M
Best on the pitch
G. Fernández
F · Cruz
9.32
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 14 pass
A. Vega
M · Toluca
8.21
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 29 pass
N. Ibáñez
F · Cruz
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 12 pass
Helinho
M · Toluca
7.54
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 36 pass
N. Castro
M · Toluca
7.25
1 👟
6 shots
· 36 pass
J. Paradela
M · Cruz
6.82
1 👟
· 18 pass
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gudiño | G | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Campos | D | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Orozco | D | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Piovi | D | 88 | 5.64 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| W. Ditta | D | 90 | 5.83 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 27% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Mozo | D | 88 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Paradela | M | 97 | 6.82 | — | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Palavecino | M | 76 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Fernández | F | 90 | 9.32 | 2 | — | 5 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ibáñez | F | 76 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Montaño | M | 14 | 6.04 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| C. Ebere | F | 2 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Calero | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Romero | F | 14 | 6.73 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Gonzalez | M | 2 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Toluca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. García | G | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| B. García | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Pereira | D | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Luan | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Méndez | D | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Castro | M | 90 | 7.25 | — | 1 | 6 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Barbosa | M | 45 | 5.66 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Vega | M | 82 | 8.21 | 2 | — | 3 | 29 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Pérez | M | 73 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Helinho | M | 89 | 7.54 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| É. Gutiérrez | M | 45 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Angulo | M | 17 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | M | 8 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Aceves | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
The final score was Cruz Azul 3–3 Toluca.
What did the model predict before Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Cruz Azul win, 25% to a draw, and 39% to an Toluca win.