Copa do Brasil
· Quarter-finals
August 26, 2026 02:00
K. Arroyo
(ast. Matheus Pereira)
60'
70'
(ast. Cuello)
R. Lodi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Atletico-MG 30%). The final result was Cruzeiro 1–1 Atletico-MG. In 5 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Atletico-MG.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
0
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
3
10
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
19'
Vitao
/
Ruan Tressoldi
Jonathan Jesus
/ Joao Marcelo
46'
46'
A. Franco
54'
Cuello
Matheus Pereira
55'
⚽K. Arroyo
· ast. Matheus Pereira
60'
70'
ast. Cuello ·
R. Lodi⚽
73'
Natanael
/
Maycon
73'
A. Minda
/
Bernard
Fagner
/ William Furtado
73'
Wesley
/ J. Costa
73'
Kaio Jorge
/ N. Villarreal
87'
Gerson
/ Matheus Henrique
87'
87'
M. Cisse
/
Fred
87'
T. Borbas
/
M. Cassierra
K. Arroyo
/ Bruno Rodrigues
90'+1
90'+3
A. Preciado
/
Cuello
Pre-match prediction
38.72%
Cruzeiro
30.86%
X ←
30.42%
Atletico-MG
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
—
—
1.12
—
—
Lineups
81
Otávio Costa
G
Otávio Costa
G
25
Lucas Villalba
D
Lucas Villalba
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
45'
D
Jonathan Jesus
45'
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
D
Fabrício Bruno
D
23
Fagner
73'
D
Fagner
73'
D
8
Gerson
87'
M
Gerson
87'
M
29
Lucas Romero
M
Lucas Romero
M
20
Wesley
73'
M
Wesley
73'
M
10
Matheus Pereira
1 👟
M
Matheus Pereira
1 👟
M
99
Keny Arroyo
1 ⚽
M
Keny Arroyo
1 ⚽
M
19
Kaio Jorge
87'
F
Kaio Jorge
87'
F
Bench
9
Bruno Rodrigues
4'
F
Bruno Rodrigues
4'
F
1
Cássio
G
Cássio
G
27
Gabriel Rojas
D
Gabriel Rojas
D
67
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco
22'
F
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco
22'
F
43
João Marcelo
50'
D
João Marcelo
50'
D
70
Kenji
F
Kenji
F
16
Lucas Silva
M
Lucas Silva
M
97
Luciano Rodríguez
F
Luciano Rodríguez
F
7
Matheus Henrique
8'
M
Matheus Henrique
8'
M
22
Néiser Villarreal
8'
M
Néiser Villarreal
8'
M
12
William Furtado
22'
D
William Furtado
22'
D
5
Zé Lucas
M
Zé Lucas
M
22
Everson
G
Everson
G
6
Renan Lodi
1 ⚽
D
Renan Lodi
1 ⚽
D
14
Vitor Hugo
D
Vitor Hugo
D
4
Ruan Tressoldi
19'
D
Ruan Tressoldi
19'
D
21
Alan Franco
D
Alan Franco
D
15
Kevin Castaño
M
Kevin Castaño
M
8
Maycon
73'
M
Maycon
73'
M
11
Bernard
73'
M
Bernard
73'
M
7
Fred
87'
M
Fred
87'
M
28
T. Cuello
1 👟
M
T. Cuello
1 👟
M
9
M. Cassierra
87'
F
M. Cassierra
87'
F
Bench
27
Alan Minda
22'
F
Alan Minda
22'
F
5
Alexsander
M
Alexsander
M
23
Ángelo Preciado
2'
D
Ángelo Preciado
2'
D
92
Dudu
F
Dudu
F
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
Gabriel Delfim
G
36
Kauã Pascini
D
Kauã Pascini
D
39
Mamady Cissé
8'
M
Mamady Cissé
8'
M
2
Natanael
22'
D
Natanael
22'
D
19
Reinier
M
Reinier
M
18
T. Borbas
8'
F
T. Borbas
8'
F
25
Tomás Pérez
M
Tomás Pérez
M
40
Vitão
76'
D
Vitão
76'
D
Best on the pitch
Renan Lodi
D · Atletico-MG
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
Keny Arroyo
M · Cruzeiro
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
Lucas Romero
M · Cruzeiro
7.50
· 72 pass
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 👟
· 59 pass
Fabrício Bruno
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 shots
· 74 pass
Vitão
D · Atletico-MG
7.00
1 shots
· 14 pass
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otávio Costa | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Villalba | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 69% | — | — | — |
| Fagner | D | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Gerson | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Romero | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 72 | 68% | 4 | — | — |
| Wesley | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 59 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| Keny Arroyo | M | 91 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Gabriel e Costa Cesco | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| João Marcelo | D | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Néiser Villarreal | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| William Furtado | D | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everson | G | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Renan Lodi | D | 95 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Vitor Hugo | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruan Tressoldi | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Alan Franco | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Castaño | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Maycon | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Bernard | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Fred | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cuello | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Cassierra | F | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Alan Minda | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ángelo Preciado | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mamady Cissé | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Natanael | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Borbas | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Vitão | D | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Cruzeiro 1–1 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Atletico-MG win.