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Cruzeiro - Atletico-MG

Copa do Brasil August 26, 2026 22:00
Cruzeiro
vs
Atletico-MG
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.33%
Win
Cruzeiro
29.27%
Draw
25.4%
Win
Atletico-MG
1.52
Expected xG
0.94

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.26%)
1X2 Result
1 45%
X 29%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 55%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cruzeiro a 45% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Atletico-MG. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cruzeiro and 0.9 for Atletico-MG (total 2.5), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.26% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico-MG.

Season Stats

Cruzeiro
8W 3D 1L
Atletico-MG
6W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.4
0.3
Conceded
0.9
6.0
Shots OT
6.3
8.0
Corners
6.8
53%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
25%
O 2.5
42%
17%
BTTS
33%
75%
Clean Sht
42%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
9%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
Cruzeiro
4W 1D 1L · at home
Atletico-MG
3W 1D 2L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.2
0.2
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
50%
83%
Win or Draw
67%
50%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
17%
0%
BTTS
33%
83%
Clean Sht
50%
33%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cruzeiro Atletico-MG →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5% 8.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.2% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
W Chapecoense-sc 2–0
D Chapecoense-sc 0–0
W Goias 1–0
D Goias 2–2
W Corinthians 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
W Juventude 0–1
D Juventude 0–0
L Ceara 2–1
W Ceara 2–1
L Cruzeiro 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
Attack
38
Defence
71
Form
59
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Attack
31
Defence
71
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Cruzeiro
0
Draw
1
Atletico-MG
3 May 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–3
12 Sep 2025 Copa do Brasil 2–0
28 Aug 2025 Copa do Brasil 2–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?
The model gives Cruzeiro a 45% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 25% for an Atletico-MG win.
How many goals are expected in Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?
Expected goals: Cruzeiro 1.5, Atletico-MG 0.9 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.26%.