Cruzeiro 3–1 Atletico Paranaense — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série A — September 06, 2026

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Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 26 September 06, 2026 21:00

Cruzeiro

#3 · 57 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Atletico Paranaense

#5 · 54 pts

Matheus Pereira (ast. Gerson) 30'

Lucas Romer (ast. Matheus Pereira) 71'

Kaio Jorge 82' (pen.)

45'+1 João Victor Machado Cruz

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 42% win probability (draw 24%, Atletico Paranaense 32%). The final result was Cruzeiro 3–1 Atletico Paranaense. In 1 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Paranaense.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

61%

Possession

39%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Matheus Pereira · ast. Gerson

30'

Gabriel Rojas

33'

45'+1

João Victor Machado Cruz⚽

45'+6

⚽Matheus Pereira (missed pen.)

45'+8

45'

↕ Gabriel Rojas / Lucas Villalba

45'

Lucas Esquivel / Arthur Dias ↕

45'

Juan Portilla / Jadson Alves dos Santos ↕

62'

Juan Aguirre

Fabrício Bruno

64'

65'

Kerwin Vargas / Leonardo Caetano Silva ↕

65'

Bruno Zapelli / João Victor Machado Cruz ↕

↕ Keny arroyo / Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira

70'

⚽Lucas Romer · ast. Matheus Pereira

71'

79'

Mycael Pontes Moreira

81'

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno / Kevin Viveros ↕

⚽Kaio Jorge (pen.)

82'

↕ Gerson / Joao Costa

87'

↕ Kaio Jorge / Luciano Rodríguez

90'+2

↕ Matheus Henrique / Zé Lucas

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

42.59%

Cruzeiro ←

24.54%

32.86%

Atletico

we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 42.59% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Cruzeiro

1.45

—

Atletico

1.31

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Flamengo	33	73
2	Palmeiras	33	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	57
4	Fluminense	33	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	33	54
6	Bahia	33	53
7	Atletico-MG	33	50
8	Santos	33	47
9	RB Bragantino	33	44
10	Sao Paulo	33	43
11	Botafogo	33	39
12	Coritiba	32	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	32	38
14	Vitoria	32	38
15	Gremio	33	37
16	Mirassol	32	37
17	Internacional	33	35
18	Corinthians	32	33
19	Remo	33	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	32	21

Lineups

Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1

Otávio Costa G 7.37

Gabriel Rojas 45' D 6.60

João Marcelo D 6.88

Fabrício Bruno D 6.18

Fagner D 6.62

Matheus Henrique 89' M 7.09

Lucas Romero 1 ⚽ M 8.20

Gerson 1 👟 87' M 7.21

Matheus Pereira 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00

Keny Arroyo 70' M 6.55

Kaio Jorge 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.07

Bench

Bruno Rodrigues F 0.00

Cássio G 0.00

Felipe Morais M 0.00

João Gabriel e Costa Cesco 3' F 6.36

Kauã Moraes D 0.00

Kenji F 0.00

Lucas Silva M 0.00

Lucas Villalba 45' D 6.33

Luciano Rodríguez 1' F 0.00

Wesley 20' F 6.50

William Furtado D 0.00

Zé Lucas 1' M 0.00

Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1

Mycael G 5.65

Arthur Dias 45' D 6.03

Juan Felipe Aguirre D 6.02

Dantas D 6.53

Steven Mendoza M 5.92

Luiz Gustavo M 6.65

Jádson 45' M 5.77

Gilberto M 6.41

João Cruz 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.03

Leozinho 65' M 6.36

Kevin Viveros 81' F 6.22

Bench

Bruno Zapelli 25' M 5.94

C. Terán D 0.00

Dudu M 0.00

Felipinho D 0.00

Gilberto Junior D 0.00

Jorge Rivaldo F 0.00

Juan Portilla 45' M 6.48

Kerwin Vargas 25' F 6.59

Léo D 0.00

Lucas Esquivel 45' D 6.10

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno 9' F 6.28

Santos G 0.00

Best on the pitch

Matheus Pereira

M · Cruzeiro

9.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 55 pass

Lucas Romero

M · Cruzeiro

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 78 pass

Otávio Costa

G · Cruzeiro

7.37

· 19 pass

Gerson

M · Cruzeiro

7.21

1 👟

1 shots · 54 pass

Matheus Henrique

M · Cruzeiro

7.09

2 shots · 73 pass

Kaio Jorge

F · Cruzeiro

7.07

1 ⚽

3 shots · 27 pass

Cruzeiro — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Otávio Costa	G	90	7.37	—	—	0	19	11%	0	—	—
Gabriel Rojas	D	45	6.60	—	—	1	33	27%	0	1	—
João Marcelo	D	90	6.88	—	—	1	77	70%	0	—	—
Fabrício Bruno	D	90	6.18	—	—	0	63	56%	0	1	—
Fagner	D	90	6.62	—	—	0	44	34%	3	—	—
Matheus Henrique	M	89	7.09	—	—	2	73	71%	0	—	—
Lucas Romero	M	90	8.20	1	—	2	78	73%	2	—	—
Gerson	M	87	7.21	—	1	1	54	45%	1	—	—
Matheus Pereira	M	90	9.00	1	1	4	55	50%	2	—	—
Keny Arroyo	M	70	6.55	—	—	5	18	14%	0	—	—
Kaio Jorge	F	89	7.07	1	—	3	27	19%	0	—	—
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco	F	3	6.36	—	—	0	3	2%	1	—	—
Lucas Villalba	D	45	6.33	—	—	0	36	35%	1	—	—
Luciano Rodríguez	F	1	0.00	—	—	0	2	2%	0	—	—
Wesley	F	20	6.50	—	—	0	4	3%	0	—	—
Zé Lucas	M	1	0.00	—	—	0	4	3%	0	—	—

Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Mycael	G	90	5.65	—	—	0	23	13%	0	1	—
Arthur Dias	D	45	6.03	—	—	0	16	12%	1	—	—
Juan Felipe Aguirre	D	90	6.02	—	—	0	28	24%	0	1	—
Dantas	D	90	6.53	—	—	0	41	36%	3	—	—
Steven Mendoza	M	90	5.92	—	—	2	42	35%	1	—	—
Luiz Gustavo	M	90	6.65	—	—	2	24	22%	3	—	—
Jádson	M	45	5.77	—	—	0	18	14%	0	—	—
Gilberto	M	90	6.41	—	—	2	52	41%	1	—	—
João Cruz	M	65	7.03	1	—	2	22	16%	1	—	—
Leozinho	M	65	6.36	—	—	1	24	22%	1	—	—
Kevin Viveros	F	81	6.22	—	—	4	8	7%	0	—	—
Bruno Zapelli	M	25	5.94	—	—	1	14	12%	2	—	—
Juan Portilla	M	45	6.48	—	—	2	31	27%	1	—	—
Kerwin Vargas	F	25	6.59	—	—	0	14	13%	0	—	—
Lucas Esquivel	D	45	6.10	—	—	0	18	16%	0	—	—
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno	F	9	6.28	—	—	1	6	3%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense?

The final score was Cruzeiro 3–1 Atletico Paranaense.

What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense?

The model assigned 42% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 24% to a draw, and 32% to an Atletico Paranaense win.