Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 29, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Cruzeiro
Matheus Pereira
(ast. Fagner)
5'
Christian
(ast. Matheus Pereira)
52'
L. Sinisterra
(ast. Kaio Jorge)
56'
Matheus Pereira
(ast. L. Villalba)
71'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 63% win probability (draw 23%, Barcelona SC 13%). The final result was Cruzeiro 4–0 Barcelona SC. In 1 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Barcelona SC.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
2
3.24
Actual xG
0.41
2
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
6
Corners
2
16
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Matheus Pereira
· ast. Fagner
5'
35'
M. Celiz
L. Romero
36'
Fagner
42'
45'+4
45'
A. Rangel
⚽Christian
· ast. Matheus Pereira
52'
⚽L. Sinisterra
· ast. Kaio Jorge
56'
61'
G. Vallecilla
/
R. Perlaza
61'
S. Nunez
/
H. Villalba
64'
J. Contreras
L. Sinisterra
/ K. Arroyo
66'
Kaiki
/ L. Villalba
66'
Matheus Henrique
/ Marquinhos
66'
⚽Matheus Pereira
· ast. L. Villalba
71'
73'
T. Martinez
/
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
73'
C. Montano
/
J. Wila
Kaio Jorge
/ N. Villarreal
74'
Matheus Pereira
/ Bruno Rodrigues
74'
79'
L. Sosa
/
M. Celiz
N. Villarreal
81'
Pre-match prediction
63.23%
Cruzeiro ←
23.31%
X
13.46%
Barcelona
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro)
63.23%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
3.24
+1.67
0.52
0.41
-0.12
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (3.24 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
81
Otávio Costa
G
Otávio Costa
G
6
Kaiki
66'
D
Kaiki
66'
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
D
Jonathan Jesus
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
D
Fabrício Bruno
D
23
Fagner
1 👟
D
Fagner
1 👟
D
8
Matheus Henrique
66'
M
Matheus Henrique
66'
M
29
Lucas Romero
M
Lucas Romero
M
17
Luis Sinisterra
1 ⚽
66'
M
Luis Sinisterra
1 ⚽
66'
M
10
Matheus Pereira
2 ⚽
1 👟
74'
M
Matheus Pereira
2 ⚽
1 👟
74'
M
88
Christian
1 ⚽
M
Christian
1 ⚽
M
19
Kaio Jorge
1 👟
74'
F
Kaio Jorge
1 👟
74'
F
Bench
9
Bruno Rodrigues
19'
F
Bruno Rodrigues
19'
F
91
Francisco da Costa
F
Francisco da Costa
F
77
Japa
M
Japa
M
43
João Marcelo
D
João Marcelo
D
2
Kauã Moraes
D
Kauã Moraes
D
70
Kenji
F
Kenji
F
99
Keny Arroyo
27'
F
Keny Arroyo
27'
F
16
Lucas Silva
27'
M
Lucas Silva
27'
M
25
Lucas Villalba
1 👟
27'
D
Lucas Villalba
1 👟
27'
D
7
Marquinhos
F
Marquinhos
F
31
Matheus Cunha
G
Matheus Cunha
G
22
Néiser Villarreal
19'
M
Néiser Villarreal
19'
M
1
J. Contreras
G
J. Contreras
G
25
R. Perlaza
61'
D
R. Perlaza
61'
D
14
A. Rangel
D
A. Rangel
D
33
J. Báez
D
J. Báez
D
18
B. Carabalí
D
B. Carabalí
D
28
J. Quiñónez
73'
M
J. Quiñónez
73'
M
32
M. Lugo
M
M. Lugo
M
8
M. Céliz
79'
M
M. Céliz
79'
M
51
Jefferson Wila
73'
F
Jefferson Wila
73'
F
21
H. Villalba
61'
F
H. Villalba
61'
F
7
Jandry Gomez
F
Jandry Gomez
F
Bench
26
B. Castillo
D
B. Castillo
D
4
G. Vallecilla
32'
D
G. Vallecilla
32'
D
22
J. Cevallos
G
J. Cevallos
G
5
J. Montaño
20'
M
J. Montaño
20'
M
15
J. Perlaza
F
J. Perlaza
F
16
L. Cano
F
L. Cano
F
3
L. Sosa
14'
D
L. Sosa
14'
D
70
M. Mejía
F
M. Mejía
F
11
M. Parrales
F
M. Parrales
F
80
S. Núñez
32'
F
S. Núñez
32'
F
23
T. Martínez
20'
M
T. Martínez
20'
M
27
W. Vargas
D
W. Vargas
D
Best on the pitch
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 35 pass
Luis Sinisterra
M · Cruzeiro
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Kaiki
D · Cruzeiro
7.70
2 shots
· 22 pass
Christian
M · Cruzeiro
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Fabrício Bruno
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
2 shots
· 57 pass
Fagner
D · Cruzeiro
7.20
1 👟
· 28 pass
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otávio Costa | G | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kaiki | D | 66 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Fagner | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Romero | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 57% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luis Sinisterra | M | 66 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 74 | 10.00 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Christian | M | 93 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 74 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Keny Arroyo | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Villalba | D | 27 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Néiser Villarreal | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Barcelona SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Contreras | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Perlaza | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rangel | D | 93 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Báez | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| B. Carabalí | D | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Quiñónez | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Lugo | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Céliz | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Wila | F | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| H. Villalba | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jandry Gomez | F | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Vallecilla | D | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Montaño | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Sosa | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Núñez | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Martínez | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Barcelona SC?
The final score was Cruzeiro 4–0 Barcelona SC.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Barcelona SC?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 23% to a draw, and 13% to an Barcelona SC win.