Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 17
May 24, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Cruzeiro
Kaio Jorge
27'
(pen.)
L. Sinisterra
(ast. Christian)
73'
79'
(ast. Bruno Pacheco)
Joao Paulo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 72% win probability (draw 16%, Chapecoense-sc 11%). The final result was Cruzeiro 2–1 Chapecoense-sc.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
4
2.75
Actual xG
0.64
3
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
2
11
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Kaio Jorge
(pen.)
27'
32'
39'
Vinicius Eduardo
/
Eduardo Doma
41'
Rafael Carvalheira
46'
Mauricio Garcez
/
Marcinho
Kenji
48'
Kenji
/ Christian
64'
66'
Marcos Vinicius
/
Everton
66'
Higor Meritao
/
Vinicius Balieiro
71'
Vinicius Eduardo
⚽L. Sinisterra
· ast. Christian
73'
L. Sinisterra
/ Bruno Rodrigues
78'
79'
ast. Bruno Pacheco ·
Joao Paulo⚽
81'
Jean Carlos
/
Vinicius Eduardo
84'
L. Romero
/ Matheus Henrique
90'+6
Kaio Jorge
/ N. Villarreal
90'+6
Kaua Moraes
/ Fagner
90'+6
90'+11
Eduardo Doma
Pre-match prediction
72.18%
Cruzeiro ←
16.27%
X
11.54%
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro)
72.18%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.49
2.75
+0.26
0.69
0.64
-0.05
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (2.75 vs 0.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
81
Otávio Costa
G
Otávio Costa
G
6
Kaiki
D
Kaiki
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
D
Jonathan Jesus
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
D
Fabrício Bruno
D
2
Kauã Moraes
89'
D
Kauã Moraes
89'
D
29
Lucas Romero
89'
M
Lucas Romero
89'
M
11
Gerson
M
Gerson
M
17
Luis Sinisterra
1 ⚽
78'
M
Luis Sinisterra
1 ⚽
78'
M
10
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
70
Kaique Kenji
64'
M
Kaique Kenji
64'
M
19
Kaio Jorge
1 ⚽
89'
F
Kaio Jorge
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
9
Bruno Rodrigues
12'
F
Bruno Rodrigues
12'
F
91
Chico da Costa
F
Chico da Costa
F
88
Christian
1 👟
26'
M
Christian
1 👟
26'
M
23
Fágner
1'
D
Fágner
1'
D
43
João Marcelo
D
João Marcelo
D
16
Lucas Silva
M
Lucas Silva
M
25
Lucas Villalba
D
Lucas Villalba
D
7
Marquinhos
F
Marquinhos
F
31
Matheus Cunha
G
Matheus Cunha
G
8
Matheus Henrique
1'
M
Matheus Henrique
1'
M
22
Néiser Villarreal
1'
M
Néiser Villarreal
1'
M
94
Wanderson
F
Wanderson
F
98
Anderson
G
Anderson
G
4
João Paulo
1 ⚽
D
João Paulo
1 ⚽
D
33
Bruno Leonardo
D
Bruno Leonardo
D
3
Doma
39'
D
Doma
39'
D
91
Bruno Pacheco
1 👟
M
Bruno Pacheco
1 👟
M
99
Rafael Carvalheira
M
Rafael Carvalheira
M
17
Vinicius Balieiro
66'
M
Vinicius Balieiro
66'
M
26
Everton
66'
M
Everton
66'
M
7
Marcinho
45'
F
Marcinho
45'
F
11
Yannick Bolasie
F
Yannick Bolasie
F
97
Ênio
F
Ênio
F
Bench
10
Giovanni Augusto
M
Giovanni Augusto
M
22
Higor Meritão
24'
M
Higor Meritão
24'
M
77
Italo
F
Italo
F
20
Jean Carlos
9'
M
Jean Carlos
9'
M
5
João Vitor
M
João Vitor
M
2
Marcos Vinícius
24'
D
Marcos Vinícius
24'
D
31
Maurício Garcez
45'
F
Maurício Garcez
45'
F
18
Neto Pessoa
F
Neto Pessoa
F
1
Rafael Santos
G
Rafael Santos
G
35
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida
42'
D
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida
42'
D
37
Walter Clar
D
Walter Clar
D
Best on the pitch
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
8.20
3 shots
· 49 pass
João Paulo
D · Chapecoense-sc
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 32 pass
Bruno Pacheco
M · Chapecoense-sc
7.70
1 👟
· 23 pass
Kaiki
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
2 shots
· 47 pass
Fabrício Bruno
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 56 pass
Lucas Romero
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 60 pass
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otávio Costa | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Kaiki | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Kauã Moraes | D | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Lucas Romero | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Gerson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Sinisterra | M | 78 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 3 | 49 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Kaique Kenji | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 12 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian | M | 26 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Fágner | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Néiser Villarreal | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Leonardo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Doma | D | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Rafael Carvalheira | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vinicius Balieiro | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Everton | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcinho | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Yannick Bolasie | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ênio | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Higor Meritão | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Vinícius | D | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Maurício Garcez | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida | D | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Cruzeiro 2–1 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 16% to a draw, and 11% to an Chapecoense-sc win.