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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 17 May 24, 2026 21:00
Cruzeiro
#3 · 60 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Chapecoense-sc
#20 · 21 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cruzeiro
Kaio Jorge 27' (pen.)
L. Sinisterra (ast. Christian) 73'
79' (ast. Bruno Pacheco) Joao Paulo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 72% win probability (draw 16%, Chapecoense-sc 11%). The final result was Cruzeiro 2–1 Chapecoense-sc. In 2 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chapecoense-sc.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
4
2.75
Actual xG
0.64
3
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
2
11
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Kaio Jorge (pen.)
27'
32'
39'
Vinicius Eduardo / Eduardo Doma ↕
41'
Rafael Carvalheira
46'
Mauricio Garcez / Marcinho ↕
Kenji
48'
↕ Kenji / Christian
64'
66'
Marcos Vinicius / Everton ↕
66'
Higor Meritao / Vinicius Balieiro ↕
71'
Vinicius Eduardo
⚽L. Sinisterra · ast. Christian
73'
↕ L. Sinisterra / Bruno Rodrigues
78'
79'
ast. Bruno Pacheco · Joao Paulo⚽
81'
Jean Carlos / Vinicius Eduardo ↕
84'
↕ L. Romero / Matheus Henrique
90'+6
↕ Kaio Jorge / N. Villarreal
90'+6
↕ Kaua Moraes / Fagner
90'+6
90'+11
Eduardo Doma
Pre-match prediction
72.18%
Cruzeiro ←
16.27%
X
11.54%
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 72.18% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cruzeiro
2.49
2.75
+0.26
Chapecoense-sc
0.69
0.64
-0.05
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (2.75 vs 0.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 34 76
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 34 60
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 34 54
6 Bahia Bahia 34 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 34 50
8 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos Santos 34 47
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 34 44
11 Botafogo Botafogo 34 42
12 Coritiba Coritiba 34 42
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol Mirassol 34 40
15 Vitoria Vitoria 33 38
16 Internacional Internacional 34 38
17 Corinthians Corinthians 34 37
18 Gremio Gremio 34 37
19 Remo Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 33 21
Lineups
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
81 Otávio Costa Otávio Costa G 6.90
6 Kaiki Kaiki D 7.30
34 Jonathan Jesus Jonathan Jesus D 6.90
15 Fabrício Bruno Fabrício Bruno D 7.30
2 Kauã Moraes Kauã Moraes 89' D 6.50
29 Lucas Romero Lucas Romero 89' M 7.30
11 Gerson Gerson M 6.90
17 Luis Sinisterra Luis Sinisterra 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.30
10 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira M 8.20
70 Kenji Kenji 64' M 6.50
19 Kaio Jorge Kaio Jorge 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.20
Bench
9 Bruno Rodrigues Bruno Rodrigues 12' F 7.00
88 Christian Christian 1 👟 26' M 7.00
23 Fagner Fagner 1' D
91 Francisco da Costa Francisco da Costa F
43 João Marcelo João Marcelo D
16 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva M
25 Lucas Villalba Lucas Villalba D
7 Marquinhos Marquinhos F
31 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha G
8 Matheus Henrique Matheus Henrique 1' M
22 Néiser Villarreal Néiser Villarreal 1' M
94 Wanderson Wanderson F
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 3-4-3
98 Anderson Anderson G 6.60
4 João Paulo João Paulo 1 ⚽ D 7.90
33 Bruno Leonardo Bruno Leonardo D 6.50
3 Eduardo Doma Eduardo Doma 39' D 6.90
91 Bruno Pacheco Bruno Pacheco 1 👟 M 7.70
99 Rafael Carvalheira Rafael Carvalheira M 6.50
17 Vinicius Balieiro Vinicius Balieiro 66' M 6.70
26 Everton Everton 66' M 7.00
7 Marcinho Marcinho 45' F 6.50
11 Y. Bolasie Y. Bolasie F 6.30
97 Ênio Ênio F 6.60
Bench
31 Garcez Garcez 45' F 6.30
10 Giovanni Augusto Giovanni Augusto M
22 Higor Meritão Higor Meritão 24' M 6.30
77 Italo Italo F
20 Jean Carlos Jean Carlos 9' M 6.70
5 João Vitor João Vitor M
2 Marcos Vinícius Marcos Vinícius 24' D 6.20
18 Neto Pessoa Neto Pessoa F
1 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos G
35 Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida 42' D 6.30
37 W. Clar W. Clar D
Best on the pitch
Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
8.20
3 shots · 49 pass
João Paulo
João Paulo
D · Chapecoense-sc
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 32 pass
Bruno Pacheco
Bruno Pacheco
M · Chapecoense-sc
7.70
1 👟
· 23 pass
Kaiki
Kaiki
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
2 shots · 47 pass
Fabrício Bruno
Fabrício Bruno
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 56 pass
Lucas Romero
Lucas Romero
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 60 pass
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Otávio Costa G 90 6.90 — — — 33 21% — — —
Kaiki D 90 7.30 — — 2 47 42% 3 — —
Jonathan Jesus D 90 6.90 — — 1 55 53% — — —
Fabrício Bruno D 90 7.30 — — — 56 51% — — —
Kauã Moraes D 89 6.50 — — — 40 35% 4 — —
Lucas Romero M 89 7.30 — — — 60 55% 1 — —
Gerson M 90 6.90 — — — 63 59% 1 — —
Luis Sinisterra M 78 7.30 1 — 3 27 26% — — —
Matheus Pereira M 90 8.20 — — 3 49 44% — — —
Kenji M 64 6.50 — — 3 17 17% — 1 —
Kaio Jorge F 89 7.20 1 — 3 17 16% — — —
Bruno Rodrigues F 12 7.00 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Christian M 26 7.00 — 1 — 4 4% 1 — —
Fagner D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Matheus Henrique M 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Néiser Villarreal M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anderson G 90 6.60 — — — 21 18% — — —
João Paulo D 90 7.90 1 — 3 32 28% 1 — —
Bruno Leonardo D 90 6.50 — — — 33 30% 2 — —
Eduardo Doma D 39 6.90 — — — 15 11% 3 1 —
Bruno Pacheco M 90 7.70 — 1 — 23 17% 4 — —
Rafael Carvalheira M 90 6.50 — — — 26 23% 1 1 —
Vinicius Balieiro M 66 6.70 — — — 7 5% 1 — —
Everton M 66 7.00 — — — 9 6% 2 — —
Marcinho F 45 6.50 — — — 10 9% 1 — —
Y. Bolasie F 90 6.30 — — 2 14 9% — — —
Ênio F 90 6.60 — — 1 18 13% 1 — —
Garcez F 45 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Higor Meritão M 24 6.30 — — 1 8 8% 1 — —
Jean Carlos M 9 6.70 — — 1 5 3% — — —
Marcos Vinícius D 24 6.20 — — — 9 5% — — —
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida D 42 6.30 — — — 7 5% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Cruzeiro 2–1 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 16% to a draw, and 11% to an Chapecoense-sc win.