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Cruzeiro - Chapecoense-sc

Copa do Brasil August 06, 2026 00:00
Cruzeiro
vs
Chapecoense-sc
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.23%
Win
Cruzeiro
23.74%
Draw
20.03%
Win
Chapecoense-sc
2.35
Expected xG
0.92
Most likely outcome
Cruzeiro
56.23%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.3%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 24%
2 20%
Double Chance
1X 80%
X2 44%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 71%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cruzeiro a 56% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chapecoense-sc. Expected goals are 2.3 for Cruzeiro and 0.9 for Chapecoense-sc (total 3.3), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chapecoense-sc.

Season Stats

Cruzeiro
7W 2D 1L
Chapecoense-sc
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.0
0.4
Conceded
0.5
6.0
Shots OT
—
7.6
Corners
—
51%
Poss.
—
Percentages
70%
O 1.5
50%
30%
O 2.5
0%
20%
BTTS
0%
70%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Cruzeiro
3W 1D 1L · at home
Chapecoense-sc
0W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.0
0.2
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
0%
80%
Win or Draw
0%
40%
O 1.5
0%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
80%
Clean Sht
0%
40%
Failed to Score
100%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cruzeiro Chapecoense-sc →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 8.9% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% —
4 4.8% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% —
5 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
W Goias 1–0
D Goias 2–2
W Corinthians 1–2
L Corinthians 0–1
W Atletico-MG 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
W Botafogo 2–0
L Botafogo 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 11%

Playing profile

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
Attack
47
Defence
66
Form
60
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
Attack
33
Defence
57
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Cruzeiro
0
Draw
0
Chapecoense-sc
24 May 2026 Brasileirão Série A 2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model gives Cruzeiro a 56% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 20% for an Chapecoense-sc win.
How many goals are expected in Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
Expected goals: Cruzeiro 2.3, Chapecoense-sc 0.9 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.3%.