Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 24 August 23, 2026 01:30

Cruzeiro

#3 · 57 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Flamengo

#1 · 73 pts

K. Arroyo (ast. Matheus Henrique) 55'

Matheus Pereira (ast. L. Villalba) 90'+5

22' (ast. G. de Arrascaeta) Pedro

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 45% win probability (draw 24%, Flamengo 30%). The final result was Cruzeiro 2–1 Flamengo. In 3 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Flamengo.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

3

1.05

Actual xG

1.24

48%

Possession

52%

3

Corners

3

Match Events

Fabricio Bruno

20'

22'

ast. G. de Arrascaeta · Pedro⚽

Joao Marcelo

36'

↕ J. Costa / Wesley

46'

⚽K. Arroyo · ast. Matheus Henrique

55'

63'

Jorginho / G. de Arrascaeta ↕

63'

G. Plata / Samuel Lino ↕

72'

Evertton Araujo / E. Pulgar ↕

72'

Bruno Henrique / Lucas Paqueta ↕

↕ L. Romero / Gerson

75'

↕ K. Arroyo / Kenji

75'

↕ Kaio Jorge / N. Villarreal

75'

82'

Bruno Henrique

83'

Luiz Araujo / Pedro ↕

Wesley

86'

↕ Matheus Henrique / Ze Lucas

86'

⚽Matheus Pereira · ast. L. Villalba

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

45.04%

Cruzeiro ←

24.81%

X

30.14%

Flamengo

we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 45.04% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cruzeiro

1.51

1.05

-0.46

Flamengo

1.12

1.24

+0.12

xG dominance was balanced (1.05 – 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Flamengo	33	73
2	Palmeiras	33	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	57
4	Fluminense	33	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	33	54
6	Bahia	33	53
7	Atletico-MG	33	50
8	Santos	33	47
9	RB Bragantino	33	44
10	Sao Paulo	33	43
11	Botafogo	33	39
12	Coritiba	32	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	32	38
14	Vitoria	32	38
15	Gremio	33	37
16	Mirassol	32	37
17	Internacional	33	35
18	Corinthians	32	33
19	Remo	33	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	32	21