Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 24 August 23, 2026 01:30

Cruzeiro

#6 · 42 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Flamengo

#2 · 54 pts

K. Arroyo (ast. Matheus Henrique) 55'

Matheus Pereira (ast. L. Villalba) 90'+5

22' (ast. G. de Arrascaeta) Pedro

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 45% win probability (draw 24%, Flamengo 30%). The final result was Cruzeiro 2–1 Flamengo. In 3 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Flamengo.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

3

1.05

Actual xG

1.24

48%

Possession

52%

3

Corners

3

Match Events

Fabricio Bruno

20'

22'

ast. G. de Arrascaeta · Pedro⚽

Joao Marcelo

36'

↕ J. Costa / Wesley

46'

⚽K. Arroyo · ast. Matheus Henrique

55'

63'

Jorginho / G. de Arrascaeta ↕

63'

G. Plata / Samuel Lino ↕

72'

Evertton Araujo / E. Pulgar ↕

72'

Bruno Henrique / Lucas Paqueta ↕

↕ L. Romero / Gerson

75'

↕ K. Arroyo / Kenji

75'

↕ Kaio Jorge / N. Villarreal

75'

82'

Bruno Henrique

83'

Luiz Araujo / Pedro ↕

Wesley

86'

↕ Matheus Henrique / Ze Lucas

86'

⚽Matheus Pereira · ast. L. Villalba

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

45.04%

Cruzeiro ←

24.81%

X

30.14%

Flamengo

we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 45.04% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cruzeiro

1.51

1.05

-0.46

Flamengo

1.12

1.24

+0.12

xG dominance was balanced (1.05 – 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palmeiras	27	56
2	Flamengo	26	54
3	Atletico Paranaense	27	46
4	Fluminense	27	45
5	Bahia	26	43
6	Cruzeiro	27	42
7	Atletico-MG	26	39
8	Coritiba	27	38
9	RB Bragantino	26	36
10	Santos	26	35
11	Sao Paulo	26	33
12	Vitoria	27	33
13	Corinthians	26	32
14	Botafogo	26	32
15	Mirassol	27	29
16	Gremio	26	28
17	Vasco DA Gama	26	28
18	Internacional	27	28
19	Remo	26	23
20	Chapecoense-sc	26	17