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#11 · 24 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#3 · 31 pts
Model wrong — prediction Cruzeiro, result Draw
Matheus Pereira 75'
43' (ast. Jemmes) John Kennedy
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Fluminense 19%). The final result was Cruzeiro 1–1 Fluminense.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.23
Actual xG
0.69
4
Saves
2
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
4
12
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
L. Romero
35'
43'
ast. Jemmes · John Kennedy
L. Romero / Matheus Henrique
46'
46'
Rene / Guilherme Arana
Fagner / Bruno Rodrigues
56'
K. Arroyo / Kenji
56'
N. Villarreal / L. Sinisterra
57'
67'
L. Acosta / Y. Soteldo
74'
G. Cano / John Kennedy
74'
Samuel Xavier / J. Savarino
75'
Hercules / F. Bernal
Matheus Pereira
75'
82'
J. Millan
86'
Samuel Xavier
Fabricio Bruno
87'
Christian / Chico
89'
Pre-match prediction
59.81%
Cruzeiro
20.94%
X ←
19.25%
Fluminense
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cruzeiro
2.06
1.23
-0.83
Fluminense
0.86
0.69
-0.17
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (1.23 vs 0.69). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 18 41
2 Flamengo Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense Fluminense 18 31
4 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 18 29
6 Bahia Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba Coritiba 18 26
8 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 18 25
9 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 18 24
10 Corinthians Corinthians 18 24
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 18 24
12 Botafogo Botafogo 17 22
13 Vitoria Vitoria 17 22
14 Internacional Internacional 18 21
15 Santos Santos 18 21
16 Gremio Gremio 18 21
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 18 20
18 Remo Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol Mirassol 17 16
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 17 9
Lineups
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
81 Otávio Costa Otávio Costa G 6.60
6 Kaiki Kaiki D 6.70
34 Jonathan Jesus Jonathan Jesus D 7.00
15 Fabrício Bruno Fabrício Bruno D 7.70
23 Fágner Fágner 56' D 6.30
29 Lucas Romero Lucas Romero 45' M 6.70
11 Gerson Gerson M 8.60
88 Christian Christian 89' M 6.50
10 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira 1 ⚽ M 8.50
99 K. Arroyo K. Arroyo 56' M 6.90
22 Néiser Villarreal Néiser Villarreal 57' F 6.20
Bench
9 Bruno Rodrigues Bruno Rodrigues 34' F 6.70
91 Chico da Costa Chico da Costa 9' F 6.30
43 João Marcelo João Marcelo D
70 Kaique Kenji Kaique Kenji 34' F 6.20
2 Kauã Moraes Kauã Moraes D
16 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva M
25 Lucas Villalba Lucas Villalba D
17 Luis Sinisterra Luis Sinisterra 33' F 6.70
7 Marquinhos Marquinhos F
31 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha G
8 Matheus Henrique Matheus Henrique 45' M 6.90
94 Wanderson Wanderson F
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1 Fábio Fábio G 6.20
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana 45' D 6.60
29 Julián Millán Julián Millán D 6.30
3 Jemmes Jemmes 1 👟 D 6.60
23 Guga Guga D 6.30
8 Martinelli Martinelli M 7.20
5 Facundo Bernal Facundo Bernal 75' M 7.20
7 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo 67' M 6.70
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino 74' M 6.30
90 Kevin Serna Kevin Serna M 7.20
9 John Kennedy John Kennedy 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.30
Bench
40 Davi Duarte Davi Duarte D
14 G. Cano G. Cano 16' F 6.30
35 Hércules Hércules 15' M 6.70
21 Igor Rabello Igor Rabello D
39 Keven Samuel Keven Samuel F
32 L. Acosta L. Acosta 23' M 6.90
94 Otávio Otávio M
6 Renê Renê 45' D 7.20
28 Riquelme Felipe Riquelme Felipe F
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier 16' D 6.30
98 Vitor Eudes Vitor Eudes G
34 Wesley Natã Wesley Natã F
Best on the pitch
Gerson
Gerson
M · Cruzeiro
8.60
1 shots · 121 pass
Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 57 pass
Fabrício Bruno
Fabrício Bruno
D · Cruzeiro
7.70
· 80 pass
John Kennedy
John Kennedy
F · Fluminense
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Facundo Bernal
Facundo Bernal
M · Fluminense
7.20
1 shots · 21 pass
Martinelli
Martinelli
M · Fluminense
7.20
· 47 pass
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Otávio Costa G 90 6.60 18 15%
Kaiki D 90 6.70 2 39 36% 2
Jonathan Jesus D 90 7.00 1 68 64% 2
Fabrício Bruno D 90 7.70 80 76% 1
Fágner D 56 6.30 20 16% 2
Lucas Romero M 45 6.70 1 41 38% 1 1
Gerson M 90 8.60 1 121 110% 1
Christian M 89 6.50 44 39% 1
Matheus Pereira M 90 8.50 1 2 57 44%
K. Arroyo M 56 6.90 27 24% 1
Néiser Villarreal F 57 6.20 3 8 6% 1
Bruno Rodrigues F 34 6.70 12 11%
Chico da Costa F 9 6.30 1
Kaique Kenji F 34 6.20 13 11%
Luis Sinisterra F 33 6.70 1 11 9%
Matheus Henrique M 45 6.90 1 24 20% 1
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fábio G 90 6.20 23 18%
Guilherme Arana D 45 6.60 16 14%
Julián Millán D 90 6.30 3 34 28% 1
Jemmes D 90 6.60 1 30 22% 2
Guga D 90 6.30 44 37% 2
Martinelli M 90 7.20 47 46%
Facundo Bernal M 75 7.20 1 21 15% 4
Y. Soteldo M 67 6.70 24 22%
J. Savarino M 74 6.30 1 25 21% 1
Kevin Serna M 90 7.20 1 21 19% 3
John Kennedy F 74 7.30 1 1 19 12%
G. Cano F 16 6.30 1 6 5%
Hércules M 15 6.70 10 10%
L. Acosta M 23 6.90 16 12% 1
Renê D 45 7.20 25 22% 2
Samuel Xavier D 16 6.30 9 7% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Fluminense?
The final score was Cruzeiro 1–1 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an Fluminense win.