Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 18
June 01, 2026 01:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Cruzeiro, result Draw
Matheus Pereira
75'
43'
(ast. Jemmes)
John Kennedy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Fluminense 19%). The final result was Cruzeiro 1–1 Fluminense.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.23
Actual xG
0.69
4
Saves
2
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
4
12
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
L. Romero
35'
43'
ast. Jemmes ·
John Kennedy⚽
L. Romero
/ Matheus Henrique
46'
46'
Rene
/
Guilherme Arana
Fagner
/ Bruno Rodrigues
56'
K. Arroyo
/ Kenji
56'
N. Villarreal
/ L. Sinisterra
57'
67'
L. Acosta
/
Y. Soteldo
74'
G. Cano
/
John Kennedy
74'
Samuel Xavier
/
J. Savarino
75'
Hercules
/
F. Bernal
⚽Matheus Pereira
75'
82'
J. Millan
86'
Samuel Xavier
Fabricio Bruno
87'
Christian
/ Chico
89'
Pre-match prediction
59.81%
Cruzeiro
20.94%
X ←
19.25%
Fluminense
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
1.23
-0.83
0.86
0.69
-0.17
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (1.23 vs 0.69).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
81
Otávio Costa
G
Otávio Costa
G
6
Kaiki
D
Kaiki
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
D
Jonathan Jesus
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
D
Fabrício Bruno
D
23
Fagner
56'
D
Fagner
56'
D
29
Lucas Romero
45'
M
Lucas Romero
45'
M
11
Gerson
M
Gerson
M
88
Christian
89'
M
Christian
89'
M
10
Matheus Pereira
1 ⚽
M
Matheus Pereira
1 ⚽
M
99
Keny Arroyo
56'
M
Keny Arroyo
56'
M
22
Néiser Villarreal
57'
F
Néiser Villarreal
57'
F
Bench
9
Bruno Rodrigues
34'
F
Bruno Rodrigues
34'
F
91
Chico da Costa
9'
F
Chico da Costa
9'
F
43
João Marcelo
D
João Marcelo
D
70
Kaique Kenji
34'
F
Kaique Kenji
34'
F
2
Kauã Moraes
D
Kauã Moraes
D
16
Lucas Silva
M
Lucas Silva
M
25
Lucas Villalba
D
Lucas Villalba
D
17
Luis Sinisterra
33'
F
Luis Sinisterra
33'
F
7
Marquinhos
F
Marquinhos
F
31
Matheus Cunha
G
Matheus Cunha
G
8
Matheus Henrique
45'
M
Matheus Henrique
45'
M
94
Wanderson
F
Wanderson
F
1
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
13
Guilherme Arana
45'
D
Guilherme Arana
45'
D
29
Julián Millán
D
Julián Millán
D
3
Jemmes
1 👟
D
Jemmes
1 👟
D
23
Guga
D
Guga
D
8
Martinelli
M
Martinelli
M
5
Facundo Bernal
75'
M
Facundo Bernal
75'
M
7
Y. Soteldo
67'
M
Y. Soteldo
67'
M
11
J. Savarino
74'
M
J. Savarino
74'
M
90
Kevin Serna
M
Kevin Serna
M
9
John Kennedy
1 ⚽
74'
F
John Kennedy
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
40
Davi Schuindt
D
14
Germán Cano
16'
F
Germán Cano
16'
F
35
Hércules
15'
M
Hércules
15'
M
21
Igor Rabello
D
Igor Rabello
D
39
Keven Samuel
F
Keven Samuel
F
32
Luciano Acosta
23'
M
Luciano Acosta
23'
M
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
6
Renê
45'
D
Renê
45'
D
28
Riquelme Felipe
F
Riquelme Felipe
F
2
Samuel Xavier
16'
D
Samuel Xavier
16'
D
98
Vitor Eudes
G
Vitor Eudes
G
34
Wesley Natã
F
Wesley Natã
F
Best on the pitch
Gerson
M · Cruzeiro
8.60
1 shots
· 121 pass
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 57 pass
Fabrício Bruno
D · Cruzeiro
7.70
· 80 pass
John Kennedy
F · Fluminense
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Facundo Bernal
M · Fluminense
7.20
1 shots
· 21 pass
Martinelli
M · Fluminense
7.20
· 47 pass
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otávio Costa | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Kaiki | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 80 | 76% | — | 1 | — |
| Fagner | D | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Romero | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gerson | M | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | 1 | 121 | 110% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 57 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Keny Arroyo | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Néiser Villarreal | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Chico da Costa | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaique Kenji | F | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Luis Sinisterra | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Arana | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Julián Millán | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Jemmes | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Guga | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Martinelli | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Bernal | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Soteldo | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Savarino | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Serna | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| John Kennedy | F | 74 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Germán Cano | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Acosta | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Renê | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Samuel Xavier | D | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Fluminense?
The final score was Cruzeiro 1–1 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an Fluminense win.