Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 12
April 19, 2026 01:30
✓Model correct — prediction Cruzeiro
Christian
(ast. Gerson)
51'
L. Romero
(ast. Matheus Pereira)
66'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Gremio 19%). The final result was Cruzeiro 2–0 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
1
1.85
Actual xG
0.48
1
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
1
18
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Fabricio Bruno
20'
Matheus Pereira
44'
L. Villalba
44'
Kaio Jorge
/ N. Villarreal
46'
⚽Christian
· ast. Gerson
51'
57'
M. Monsalve
/
J. Nardoni
61'
E. Noriega
Gerson
/ Matheus Henrique
61'
⚽L. Romero
· ast. Matheus Pereira
66'
Matheus Pereira
/ Bruno Rodrigues
68'
71'
L. Perez
/
E. Noriega
71'
Tete
/
J. Enamorado
71'
Gabriel Mec
/
F. Amuzu
Christian
/ Wanderson
75'
L. Romero
/ Lucas Silva
75'
77'
Gustavo Martins
84'
M. Braithwaite
/
Carlos Vinicius
85'
L. Perez
Lucas Silva
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
55.33%
Cruzeiro ←
24.94%
X
19.74%
Gremio
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro)
55.33%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
1.85
+-0.0
0.61
0.48
-0.13
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
Matheus Cunha
G
Matheus Cunha
G
6
Kaiki
D
Kaiki
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
D
Jonathan Jesus
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
D
Fabrício Bruno
D
23
Fagner
D
Fagner
D
29
Lucas Romero
1 ⚽
75'
M
Lucas Romero
1 ⚽
75'
M
11
Gerson
1 👟
61'
M
Gerson
1 👟
61'
M
88
Christian
1 ⚽
75'
M
Christian
1 ⚽
75'
M
10
Matheus Pereira
1 👟
68'
M
Matheus Pereira
1 👟
68'
M
99
Keny Arroyo
M
Keny Arroyo
M
19
Kaio Jorge
45'
F
Kaio Jorge
45'
F
Bench
9
Bruno Rodrigues
22'
F
Bruno Rodrigues
22'
F
2
Kauã Moraes
D
Kauã Moraes
D
16
Lucas Silva
15'
M
Lucas Silva
15'
M
25
Lucas Villalba
D
Lucas Villalba
D
8
Matheus Henrique
29'
M
Matheus Henrique
29'
M
22
Néiser Villarreal
45'
M
Néiser Villarreal
45'
M
94
Wanderson
15'
F
Wanderson
15'
F
1
G
54
Pedro Gabriel
D
Pedro Gabriel
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
7
Cristian Pavón
D
Cristian Pavón
D
8
Arthur
M
Arthur
M
19
Erick Noriega
71'
M
Erick Noriega
71'
M
5
Juan Nardoni
57'
M
Juan Nardoni
57'
M
9
F. Amuzu
71'
F
F. Amuzu
71'
F
95
Carlos Vinícius
84'
F
Carlos Vinícius
84'
F
99
José Enamorado
71'
F
José Enamorado
71'
F
Bench
38
Caio Paulista
D
Caio Paulista
D
17
Dodi
M
Dodi
M
2
Fabián Balbuena
D
Fabián Balbuena
D
37
Gabriel Mec
19'
F
Gabriel Mec
19'
F
33
Leonel Pérez
19'
M
Leonel Pérez
19'
M
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
22
M. Braithwaite
13'
F
M. Braithwaite
13'
F
11
Miguel Monsalve
33'
M
Miguel Monsalve
33'
M
21
Tetê
19'
F
Tetê
19'
F
Best on the pitch
Lucas Romero
M · Cruzeiro
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
Gerson
M · Cruzeiro
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 46 pass
Keny Arroyo
M · Cruzeiro
7.60
5 shots
· 29 pass
Arthur
M · Gremio
7.50
· 68 pass
Kaiki
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 21 pass
Bruno Rodrigues
F · Cruzeiro
7.20
· 6 pass
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Cunha | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kaiki | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Fagner | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Romero | M | 75 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Gerson | M | 61 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Christian | M | 75 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 68 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 30 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Keny Arroyo | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 5 | 29 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 22 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Néiser Villarreal | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| Wanderson | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cristian Pavón | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juan Nardoni | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| F. Amuzu | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| José Enamorado | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Braithwaite | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Monsalve | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
The final score was Cruzeiro 2–0 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Gremio win.