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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 22 August 09, 2026 16:00
Cruzeiro
#3 · 57 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Mirassol
#16 · 37 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cruzeiro
Joao Marcelo (ast. Bruno Rodrigues) 12'
Kaio Jorge (ast. Fagner) 76'
Wesley (ast. L. Villalba) 84'
(pen.) 27' Reinaldo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Mirassol 19%). The final result was Cruzeiro 3–1 Mirassol. In 1 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mirassol.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
0.68
Actual xG
1.31
3
Saves
0
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
1
19
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Joao Marcelo · ast. Bruno Rodrigues
12'
Gerson
26'
27'
(pen.) Reinaldo⚽
Kenji
48'
59'
Shaylon / Denilson ↕
↕ K. Arroyo / J. Costa
59'
↕ Ze Lucas / Lucas Silva
59'
↕ Kenji / Wesley
59'
↕ Matheus Pereira / Kaio Jorge
67'
68'
Elias
69'
Andre Luis / Bruno Santos ↕
69'
Edson Carioca / Eduardo ↕
⚽Kaio Jorge · ast. Fagner
76'
80'
Igor Formiga / Elias ↕
80'
Alesson / Wallisson ↕
⚽Wesley · ast. L. Villalba
84'
Wesley
85'
90'+4
Shaylon
↕ L. Villalba / G. Rojas
90'
Pre-match prediction
54.88%
Cruzeiro ←
26.07%
X
19.05%
Mirassol
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 54.88% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cruzeiro
1.42
0.68
-0.75
Mirassol
0.70
1.31
+0.61
Mirassol dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
81 Otávio Costa Otávio Costa G 6.60
25 Lucas Villalba Lucas Villalba 1 👟 89' D 6.70
34 Jonathan Jesus Jonathan Jesus D 7.20
43 João Marcelo João Marcelo 1 ⚽ D 7.90
23 Fagner Fagner 1 👟 D 7.30
5 Zé Lucas Zé Lucas 59' M 6.70
29 Lucas Romero Lucas Romero M 6.90
70 Kenji Kenji 59' M 6.60
10 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira 67' M 7.30
99 Keny Arroyo Keny Arroyo 59' M 6.90
9 Bruno Rodrigues Bruno Rodrigues 1 👟 F 6.90
Bench
15 Fabrício Bruno Fabrício Bruno D
38 Felipe Morais Felipe Morais M
27 Gabriel Rojas Gabriel Rojas 1' D
8 Gerson Gerson M
67 João Gabriel e Costa Cesco João Gabriel e Costa Cesco 31' F 6.30
19 Kaio Jorge Kaio Jorge 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.60
2 Kauã Moraes Kauã Moraes D
16 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva 31' M 7.20
97 Luciano Rodríguez Luciano Rodríguez F
51 Vitor Lamounier Rego Vitor Lamounier Rego G
20 Wesley Wesley 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.70
12 William Furtado William Furtado D
Mirassol Mirassol 4-3-1-2
90 Thomazella Thomazella G 5.90
6 Reinaldo Reinaldo 1 ⚽ D 6.30
44 Gabriel Gabriel D 6.20
34 João Victor João Victor D 6.50
18 Elias Elias 80' D 6.20
8 Denilson Denilson 59' M 6.50
55 Gustavo Cazonatti Gustavo Cazonatti M 6.90
80 Wallisson Wallisson 80' M 6.60
33 Eduardo Eduardo 69' M 6.60
17 Fernandinho Fernandinho F 7.30
30 Bruno Santos Bruno Santos 69' F 6.00
Bench
77 Alesson Alesson 10' F 6.50
23 Alex Muralha Alex Muralha G
9 André Luís André Luís 21' F 6.50
10 Chico Chico M
95 Edson Edson 21' F 6.70
19 Gustavo Silva Gustavo Silva M
32 Igor Formiga Igor Formiga 10' D 6.30
2 Lucas Oliveira Lucas Oliveira D
25 Neto Moura Neto Moura M
7 Shaylon Shaylon 31' M 6.50
12 Victor Luís Victor Luís D
3 Willian Machado Willian Machado D
Best on the pitch
João Marcelo
João Marcelo
D · Cruzeiro
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 49 pass
Wesley
Wesley
F · Cruzeiro
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Kaio Jorge
Kaio Jorge
F · Cruzeiro
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 32 pass
Fernandinho
Fernandinho
F · Mirassol
7.30
1 shots · 25 pass
Fagner
Fagner
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 25 pass
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Otávio Costa G 90 6.60 — — — 30 20% — — —
Lucas Villalba D 89 6.70 — 1 — 34 30% 2 — —
Jonathan Jesus D 90 7.20 — — — 49 47% 4 — —
João Marcelo D 90 7.90 1 — 1 49 47% 2 — —
Fagner D 90 7.30 — 1 2 25 18% 2 — —
Zé Lucas M 59 6.70 — — — 20 14% — — —
Lucas Romero M 90 6.90 — — 1 54 46% 2 — —
Kenji M 59 6.60 — — — 5 3% 1 1 —
Matheus Pereira M 67 7.30 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
Keny Arroyo M 59 6.90 — — 1 16 14% 1 — —
Bruno Rodrigues F 90 6.90 — 1 1 15 9% — — —
Gabriel Rojas D 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco F 31 6.30 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Kaio Jorge F 23 7.60 1 — 1 5 3% — — —
Lucas Silva M 31 7.20 — — — 21 19% 2 — —
Wesley F 31 7.70 1 — 2 9 7% 1 1 —
Mirassol Mirassol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Thomazella G 90 5.90 — — — 32 26% — — —
Reinaldo D 90 6.30 1 — 1 32 24% — — —
Gabriel D 90 6.20 — — — 42 37% 1 — —
João Victor D 90 6.50 — — 1 46 42% 1 — —
Elias D 80 6.20 — — — 21 15% 2 1 —
Denilson M 59 6.50 — — — 33 31% — — —
Gustavo Cazonatti M 90 6.90 — — 1 47 42% 2 — —
Wallisson M 80 6.60 — — 1 33 25% 1 — —
Eduardo M 69 6.60 — — 1 23 20% — — —
Fernandinho F 90 7.30 — — 1 25 20% 4 — —
Bruno Santos F 69 6.00 — — 1 9 9% — — —
Alesson F 10 6.50 — — — 6 6% — — —
André Luís F 21 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
Edson F 21 6.70 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Igor Formiga D 10 6.30 — — — 8 4% 2 — —
Shaylon M 31 6.50 — — 1 13 12% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
The final score was Cruzeiro 3–1 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 26% to a draw, and 19% to an Mirassol win.