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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 22 August 09, 2026 16:00
Cruzeiro
#6 · 42 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Mirassol
#15 · 29 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cruzeiro
Joao Marcelo (ast. Bruno Rodrigues) 12'
Kaio Jorge (ast. Fagner) 76'
Wesley (ast. L. Villalba) 84'
(pen.) 27' Reinaldo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Mirassol 19%). The final result was Cruzeiro 3–1 Mirassol. In 1 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mirassol.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
0.68
Actual xG
1.31
3
Saves
0
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
1
19
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Joao Marcelo · ast. Bruno Rodrigues
12'
Gerson
26'
27'
(pen.) Reinaldo⚽
Kenji
48'
59'
Shaylon / Denilson ↕
↕ K. Arroyo / J. Costa
59'
↕ Ze Lucas / Lucas Silva
59'
↕ Kenji / Wesley
59'
↕ Matheus Pereira / Kaio Jorge
67'
68'
Elias
69'
Andre Luis / Bruno Santos ↕
69'
Edson Carioca / Eduardo ↕
⚽Kaio Jorge · ast. Fagner
76'
80'
Igor Formiga / Elias ↕
80'
Alesson / Wallisson ↕
⚽Wesley · ast. L. Villalba
84'
Wesley
85'
90'+4
Shaylon
↕ L. Villalba / G. Rojas
90'
Pre-match prediction
54.88%
Cruzeiro ←
26.07%
X
19.05%
Mirassol
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 54.88% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cruzeiro
1.42
0.68
-0.75
Mirassol
0.70
1.31
+0.61
Mirassol dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 27 56
2 Flamengo Flamengo 26 54
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 27 46
4 Fluminense Fluminense 27 45
5 Bahia Bahia 26 43
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 27 42
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 26 39
8 Coritiba Coritiba 27 38
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 26 36
10 Santos Santos 26 35
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 26 33
12 Vitoria Vitoria 27 33
13 Corinthians Corinthians 26 32
14 Botafogo Botafogo 26 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 27 29
16 Gremio Gremio 26 28
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 26 28
18 Internacional Internacional 27 28
19 Remo Remo 26 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 26 17
Lineups
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
81 Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa G 6.60
25 L. Villalba L. Villalba 1 👟 89' D 6.70
34 Jonathan Jesus Jonathan Jesus D 7.20
43 João Marcelo João Marcelo 1 ⚽ D 7.90
23 Fágner Fágner 1 👟 D 7.30
5 Zé Lucas Zé Lucas 59' M 6.70
29 L. Romero L. Romero M 6.90
70 Kenji Kenji 59' M 6.60
10 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira 67' M 7.30
99 K. Arroyo K. Arroyo 59' M 6.90
9 Bruno Rodrigues Bruno Rodrigues 1 👟 F 6.90
Bench
15 Fabrício Bruno Fabrício Bruno D
38 Felipe Morais Felipe Morais M
8 Gerson Gerson M
27 G. Rojas G. Rojas 1' D
67 João Gabriel e Costa Cesco João Gabriel e Costa Cesco 31' F 6.30
19 Kaio Jorge Kaio Jorge 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.60
2 Kauã Moraes Kauã Moraes D
97 L. Rodríguez L. Rodríguez F
16 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva 31' M 7.20
51 Vitor Lamounier Rego Vitor Lamounier Rego G
20 Wesley Gassova Wesley Gassova 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.70
12 William William D
Mirassol Mirassol 4-3-1-2
90 Thomazella Thomazella G 5.90
6 Reinaldo Reinaldo 1 ⚽ D 6.30
44 Gabriel Gabriel D 6.20
34 João Victor João Victor D 6.50
18 Elias Elias 80' D 6.20
8 Denilson Denilson 59' M 6.50
55 Gustavo Cazonatti Gustavo Cazonatti M 6.90
80 Wallisson Wallisson 80' M 6.60
33 Eduardo Eduardo 69' M 6.60
17 Fernandinho Fernandinho F 7.30
30 Bruno Santos Bruno Santos 69' F 6.00
Bench
77 Alesson Alesson 10' F 6.50
23 Alex Muralha Alex Muralha G
9 André Luís André Luís 21' F 6.50
10 Chico Chico M
95 Edson Edson 21' F 6.70
19 Gustavo Silva Gustavo Silva M
32 Igor Formiga Igor Formiga 10' D 6.30
2 Lucas Oliveira Lucas Oliveira D
25 Neto Moura Neto Moura M
7 Shaylon Shaylon 31' M 6.50
12 Victor Luís Victor Luís D
3 Willian Machado Willian Machado D
Best on the pitch
João Marcelo
João Marcelo
D · Cruzeiro
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 49 pass
Wesley Gassova
Wesley Gassova
F · Cruzeiro
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Kaio Jorge
Kaio Jorge
F · Cruzeiro
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 32 pass
Fernandinho
Fernandinho
F · Mirassol
7.30
1 shots · 25 pass
Fágner
Fágner
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 25 pass
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa G 90 6.60 — — — 30 20% — — —
L. Villalba D 89 6.70 — 1 — 34 30% 2 — —
Jonathan Jesus D 90 7.20 — — — 49 47% 4 — —
João Marcelo D 90 7.90 1 — 1 49 47% 2 — —
Fágner D 90 7.30 — 1 2 25 18% 2 — —
Zé Lucas M 59 6.70 — — — 20 14% — — —
L. Romero M 90 6.90 — — 1 54 46% 2 — —
Kenji M 59 6.60 — — — 5 3% 1 1 —
Matheus Pereira M 67 7.30 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
K. Arroyo M 59 6.90 — — 1 16 14% 1 — —
Bruno Rodrigues F 90 6.90 — 1 1 15 9% — — —
G. Rojas D 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco F 31 6.30 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Kaio Jorge F 23 7.60 1 — 1 5 3% — — —
Lucas Silva M 31 7.20 — — — 21 19% 2 — —
Wesley Gassova F 31 7.70 1 — 2 9 7% 1 1 —
Mirassol Mirassol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Thomazella G 90 5.90 — — — 32 26% — — —
Reinaldo D 90 6.30 1 — 1 32 24% — — —
Gabriel D 90 6.20 — — — 42 37% 1 — —
João Victor D 90 6.50 — — 1 46 42% 1 — —
Elias D 80 6.20 — — — 21 15% 2 1 —
Denilson M 59 6.50 — — — 33 31% — — —
Gustavo Cazonatti M 90 6.90 — — 1 47 42% 2 — —
Wallisson M 80 6.60 — — 1 33 25% 1 — —
Eduardo M 69 6.60 — — 1 23 20% — — —
Fernandinho F 90 7.30 — — 1 25 20% 4 — —
Bruno Santos F 69 6.00 — — 1 9 9% — — —
Alesson F 10 6.50 — — — 6 6% — — —
André Luís F 21 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
Edson F 21 6.70 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Igor Formiga D 10 6.30 — — — 8 4% 2 — —
Shaylon M 31 6.50 — — 1 13 12% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
The final score was Cruzeiro 3–1 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 26% to a draw, and 19% to an Mirassol win.