Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 9
April 02, 2026 03:00
Christian
(ast. Matheus Pereira)
33'
Kaua Moraes
(ast. Matheus Cunha)
36'
Kaio Jorge
(ast. Christian)
39'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 40% win probability (draw 30%, Vitoria 29%). The final result was Cruzeiro 3–0 Vitoria.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
2
6
Shots on target
1
1.97
Actual xG
0.12
1
Saves
2
59%
Possession
41%
5
Corners
6
13
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
29'
Emmanuel Martínez
⚽Christian
· ast. Matheus Pereira
33'
⚽Kaua Moraes
· ast. Matheus Cunha
36'
⚽Kaio Jorge
· ast. Christian
39'
46'
Ze Vitor
/
Matheuzinho
46'
Rene
/
R. Lopez
46'
Edenilson
/
Emmanuel Martinez
56'
Cacá
64'
Gabriel Baralhas
K. Arroyo
/ Wanderson
68'
William Furtado
/ Fagner
75'
Kaio Jorge
/ Chico
75'
75'
D. Tarzia
/
A. Cantalapiedra
Christian
/ Bruno Rodrigues
82'
Gerson
/ L. Romero
82'
82'
Lucas Silva
/
Erick
Matheus Pereira
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
40.01%
Cruzeiro ←
30.99%
X
29.01%
Vitoria
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro)
40.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
1.97
+0.66
0.88
0.12
-0.76
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (1.97 vs 0.12).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Matheus Cunha
1 👟
G
Matheus Cunha
1 👟
G
2
Kauã Moraes
1 ⚽
D
Kauã Moraes
1 ⚽
D
25
Lucas Villalba
D
Lucas Villalba
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
D
Fabrício Bruno
D
12
William Furtado
75'
D
11
Gerson
82'
M
Gerson
82'
M
8
Matheus Henrique
M
Matheus Henrique
M
88
Christian
1 ⚽
1 👟
82'
M
Christian
1 ⚽
1 👟
82'
M
10
Matheus Pereira
1 👟
M
Matheus Pereira
1 👟
M
99
K. Arroyo
68'
M
K. Arroyo
68'
M
19
Kaio Jorge
1 ⚽
75'
F
Kaio Jorge
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
9
Bruno Rodrigues
8'
F
Bruno Rodrigues
8'
F
23
Fágner
15'
D
Fágner
15'
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
D
Jonathan Jesus
D
29
Lucas Romero
8'
M
Lucas Romero
8'
M
16
Lucas Silva
M
Lucas Silva
M
22
Néiser Villarreal
M
Néiser Villarreal
M
94
Wanderson
22'
F
Wanderson
22'
F
1
G
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
4
Camutanga
D
45
Nathan Mendes
D
Nathan Mendes
D
44
Gabriel Baralhas
M
Gabriel Baralhas
M
6
E. Martínez
45'
M
E. Martínez
45'
M
17
A. Cantalapiedra
75'
M
10
Matheuzinho
45'
M
Matheuzinho
45'
M
33
Erick
82'
M
Erick
82'
M
31
Renzo López
45'
F
Renzo López
45'
F
Bench
28
Anderson Pato
M
95
Caique Gonçalves
M
Caique Gonçalves
M
12
Diego Tarzia
15'
D
Diego Tarzia
15'
D
26
Edenilson
45'
M
Edenilson
45'
M
20
Lucas Silva
8'
F
Lucas Silva
8'
F
91
Rene
45'
F
Rene
45'
F
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
88
Zé Vitor
45'
M
Zé Vitor
45'
M
Best on the pitch
Christian
M · Cruzeiro
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 22 pass
Fabrício Bruno
D · Cruzeiro
8.20
2 shots
· 76 pass
Kauã Moraes
D · Cruzeiro
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
Matheus Cunha
G · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 👟
· 19 pass
Kaio Jorge
F · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Gerson
M · Cruzeiro
7.20
1 shots
· 80 pass
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Cunha | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Kauã Moraes | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Villalba | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 76 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| William Furtado | D | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Gerson | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 69% | — | — | — |
| Christian | M | 82 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 58 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Arroyo | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 75 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Fágner | D | 15 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Romero | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Wanderson | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Ramon | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Cacá | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Camutanga | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Nathan Mendes | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Cantalapiedra | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Erick | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Renzo López | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Diego Tarzia | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Rene | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Vitoria?
The final score was Cruzeiro 3–0 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an Vitoria win.