I. Sarr
34'
J. Mateta
77'
6'
J. Tarkowski
47'
(ast. J. Tarkowski)
Beto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Everton a 40% win probability (draw 26%, Crystal Palace 32%). The final result was Crystal Palace 2–2 Everton. In 1 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Everton.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
6
2.66
Actual xG
1.44
5
Saves
6
59%
Possession
41%
5
Corners
10
21
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
J. Tarkowski⚽
30'
J. Garner
⚽I. Sarr
34'
45'
V. Mykolenko
47'
ast. J. Tarkowski ·
Beto⚽
J. S. Larsen
/ J. Mateta
65'
70'
T. Barry
/
Beto
⚽J. Mateta
77'
81'
T. George
/
M. Rohl
B. Johnson
/ J. Lerma
81'
90'+4
C. Alcaraz
/
K. Dewsbury-Hall
Pre-match prediction
32.39%
Crystal
26.86%
X ←
40.76%
Everton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
2.66
+1.33
1.62
1.44
-0.18
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.66 vs 1.44).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
23
Jaydee Canvot
D
Jaydee Canvot
D
5
Maxence Lacroix
D
Maxence Lacroix
D
26
C. Richards
D
C. Richards
D
3
Tyrick Mitchell
M
Tyrick Mitchell
M
18
D. Kamada
M
D. Kamada
M
20
Adam Wharton
M
Adam Wharton
M
2
D. Muñoz
M
D. Muñoz
M
11
Brennan Johnson
80'
F
Brennan Johnson
80'
F
7
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
F
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
F
22
J. Strand Larsen
65'
F
J. Strand Larsen
65'
F
Bench
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
1 ⚽
32'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
1 ⚽
32'
F
8
J. Lerma
17'
M
J. Lerma
17'
M
55
Justin Devenny
M
Justin Devenny
M
17
Nathaniel Clyne
D
Nathaniel Clyne
D
59
Rio Cardines
M
Rio Cardines
M
44
Walter Benítez
G
Walter Benítez
G
19
Will Hughes
M
Will Hughes
M
10
Yeremy Pino
M
Yeremy Pino
M
1
Jordan Pickford
G
Jordan Pickford
G
16
Vitaliy Mykolenko
D
Vitaliy Mykolenko
D
5
Michael Keane
D
Michael Keane
D
6
James Tarkowski
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
James Tarkowski
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
15
J. O'Brien
D
J. O'Brien
D
37
J. Garner
M
J. Garner
M
42
Tim Iroegbunam
M
Tim Iroegbunam
M
10
I. Ndiaye
M
I. Ndiaye
M
22
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
M
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
M
34
Merlin Röhl
80'
M
Merlin Röhl
80'
M
9
Beto
1 ⚽
70'
F
Beto
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
24
Carlos Alcaraz
3'
M
Carlos Alcaraz
3'
M
7
Dwight McNeil
F
Dwight McNeil
F
45
Harrison Armstrong
M
Harrison Armstrong
M
12
Mark Travers
G
Mark Travers
G
2
Nathan Patterson
D
Nathan Patterson
D
23
Séamus Coleman
D
Séamus Coleman
D
11
Thierno Barry
27'
F
Thierno Barry
27'
F
20
Tyler Dibling
M
Tyler Dibling
M
19
Tyrique George
17'
F
Tyrique George
17'
F
Best on the pitch
Jordan Pickford
G · Everton
8.50
· 43 pass
D. Muñoz
M · Crystal
8.20
· 35 pass
James Tarkowski
D · Everton
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
I. Sarr
F · Crystal
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
D. Kamada
M · Crystal
7.50
1 shots
· 48 pass
Adam Wharton
M · Crystal
7.50
2 shots
· 63 pass
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Henderson | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaydee Canvot | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Tyrick Mitchell | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Adam Wharton | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 52% | 6 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| Brennan Johnson | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 97 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 32 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Everton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | G | 97 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Vitaliy Mykolenko | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Michael Keane | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| James Tarkowski | D | 97 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| J. O'Brien | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Garner | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tim Iroegbunam | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Ndiaye | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Merlin Röhl | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Beto | F | 70 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Alcaraz | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thierno Barry | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tyrique George | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Everton?
The final score was Crystal Palace 2–2 Everton.
What did the model predict before Crystal Palace vs Everton?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Crystal Palace win, 26% to a draw, and 40% to an Everton win.