I. Sarr
34'
J. Mateta
77'
6'
J. Tarkowski
47'
(ast. J. Tarkowski)
Beto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Everton a 40% win probability (draw 26%, Crystal Palace 32%). The final result was Crystal Palace 2–2 Everton. In 2 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Everton.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
6
2.66
Actual xG
1.44
5
Saves
6
59%
Possession
41%
5
Corners
10
21
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
J. Tarkowski⚽
30'
J. Garner
⚽I. Sarr
34'
45'
V. Mykolenko
47'
ast. J. Tarkowski ·
Beto⚽
J. S. Larsen
/ J. Mateta
65'
70'
T. Barry
/
Beto
⚽J. Mateta
77'
81'
T. George
/
M. Rohl
B. Johnson
/ J. Lerma
81'
90'+4
C. Alcaraz
/
K. Dewsbury-Hall
Pre-match prediction
32.39%
Crystal
26.86%
X ←
40.76%
Everton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
2.66
+1.33
1.62
1.44
-0.18
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.66 vs 1.44).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Henderson
G
D. Henderson
G
23
J. Canvot
D
J. Canvot
D
5
M. Lacroix
D
M. Lacroix
D
26
Chris Richards
D
Chris Richards
D
3
T. Mitchell
M
T. Mitchell
M
18
Daichi Kamada
M
Daichi Kamada
M
20
A. Wharton
M
A. Wharton
M
2
D. Muñoz
M
D. Muñoz
M
11
B. Johnson
80'
F
B. Johnson
80'
F
7
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
F
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
F
22
J. Strand Larsen
65'
F
J. Strand Larsen
65'
F
Bench
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
55
J. Devenny
M
J. Devenny
M
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
1 ⚽
32'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
1 ⚽
32'
F
8
J. Lerma
17'
M
J. Lerma
17'
M
17
Nathaniel Clyne
D
Nathaniel Clyne
D
59
Rio Cardines
M
Rio Cardines
M
44
W. Benítez
G
W. Benítez
G
19
W. Hughes
M
W. Hughes
M
10
Yeremy Pino
M
Yeremy Pino
M
1
J. Pickford
G
J. Pickford
G
16
V. Mykolenko
D
V. Mykolenko
D
5
M. Keane
D
M. Keane
D
6
J. Tarkowski
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
J. Tarkowski
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
15
J. O'Brien
D
J. O'Brien
D
37
J. Garner
M
J. Garner
M
42
T. Iroegbunam
M
T. Iroegbunam
M
10
I. Ndiaye
M
I. Ndiaye
M
22
K. Dewsbury-Hall
M
K. Dewsbury-Hall
M
34
M. Röhl
80'
M
M. Röhl
80'
M
9
Beto
1 ⚽
70'
F
Beto
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
24
C. Alcaraz
3'
M
C. Alcaraz
3'
M
7
D. McNeil
F
D. McNeil
F
45
H. Armstrong
M
H. Armstrong
M
12
M. Travers
G
M. Travers
G
2
N. Patterson
D
N. Patterson
D
23
Séamus Coleman
D
Séamus Coleman
D
11
T. Barry
27'
F
T. Barry
27'
F
20
T. Dibling
M
T. Dibling
M
19
Tyrique George
17'
F
Tyrique George
17'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Pickford
G · Everton
8.50
· 43 pass
D. Muñoz
M · Crystal
8.20
· 35 pass
J. Tarkowski
D · Everton
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
I. Sarr
F · Crystal
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Daichi Kamada
M · Crystal
7.50
1 shots
· 48 pass
A. Wharton
M · Crystal
7.50
2 shots
· 63 pass
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Henderson | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 61% | — | — | — |
| M. Lacroix | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Chris Richards | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Daichi Kamada | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Wharton | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 52% | 6 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| B. Johnson | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 97 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 32 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Everton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford | G | 97 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 17% | — | — | — |
| V. Mykolenko | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Keane | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Tarkowski | D | 97 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| J. O'Brien | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Garner | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Iroegbunam | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Ndiaye | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Röhl | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Beto | F | 70 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Alcaraz | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Barry | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tyrique George | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Everton?
The final score was Crystal Palace 2–2 Everton.
What did the model predict before Crystal Palace vs Everton?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Crystal Palace win, 26% to a draw, and 40% to an Everton win.