← Conference League
Conference League · Quarter-finals April 09, 2026 21:00
Crystal Palace
#10 · 10 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Fiorentina
#15 · 9 pts
J. Mateta 24' (pen.)
T. Mitchell 31'
I. Sarr (ast. D. Kamada) 90'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Crystal Palace a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Fiorentina 27%). The final result was Crystal Palace 3–0 Fiorentina. In 1 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fiorentina.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
3.05
Actual xG
0.45
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
1
13
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
21'
Dodo
⚽J. Mateta (pen.)
24'
⚽T. Mitchell
31'
↕ E. Guessand / Y. Pino
65'
69'
R. Piccoli
C. Richards
76'
78'
L. Balbo / R. Gosens ↕
78'
J. Fazzini / J. Harrison ↕
82'
P. Comuzzo / M. Pongracic ↕
↕ J. Mateta / J. Lerma
83'
90'+1
G. Puzzoli / A. Gudmundsson ↕
90'+1
R. Mandragora / N. Fagioli ↕
↕ D. Kamada / B. Johnson
90'+4
↕ A. Wharton / W. Hughes
90'+4
⚽I. Sarr · ast. D. Kamada
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.94%
Crystal ←
28.0%
X
27.07%
Fiorentina
we assigned to the actual result (Crystal Palace) 44.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Crystal
1.42
3.05
+1.63
Fiorentina
1.05
0.45
-0.6
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (3.05 vs 0.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Strasbourg Strasbourg 6 16
2 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 6 14
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 6 13
4 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 6 13
5 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 6 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 6 13
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 6 13
8 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 6 12
9 Lausanne Lausanne 6 11
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 6 10
11 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 6 10
12 Samsunspor Samsunspor 6 10
13 Celje Celje 6 10
14 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 10
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 6 9
16 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 6 9
17 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 6 9
18 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 6 8
19 FC Noah FC Noah 6 8
20 Drita Drita 6 8
21 KuPS KuPS 6 7
22 Shkendija Shkendija 6 7
23 Zrinjski Zrinjski 6 7
24 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 6 7
25 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 6 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 7
27 Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv 6 6
28 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 6 6
29 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 6 6
30 Breidablik Breidablik 6 5
31 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 6 4
32 BK Hacken BK Hacken 6 3
33 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 6 3
34 Shelbourne Shelbourne 6 2
35 Aberdeen Aberdeen 6 2
36 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 6 1
Lineups
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-4-3
1 Dean Henderson Dean Henderson G 7.00
23 Jaydee Canvot Jaydee Canvot D 7.20
5 Maxence Lacroix Maxence Lacroix D 6.90
26 Chris Richards Chris Richards D 7.20
3 Tyrick Mitchell Tyrick Mitchell 1 ⚽ M 7.50
18 Daichi Kamada Daichi Kamada 1 👟 89' M 7.70
20 Adam Wharton Adam Wharton 89' M 7.50
2 Daniel Muñoz Daniel Muñoz M 7.30
29
E. Guessand 65' F 7.50
14 Jean Philippe Mateta Jean Philippe Mateta 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.70
7 Ismaïla Sarr Ismaïla Sarr 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
11 Brennan Johnson Brennan Johnson 1' F
24
B. Sosa D
34 Chadi Riad Chadi Riad D
8 Jefferson Lerma Jefferson Lerma 13' M 6.70
19 Will Hughes Will Hughes 1' M
10 Yéremy Pino Yéremy Pino 25' M 7.90
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-3-3
43 David De Gea David De Gea G 6.90
21 Robin Gosens Robin Gosens 78' D 5.90
6 L. Ranieri L. Ranieri D 6.90
5 M. Pongračić M. Pongračić 82' D 6.20
2 Dodô Dodô D 6.30
27 C. Ndour C. Ndour M 6.90
44 Nicolò Fagioli Nicolò Fagioli 89' M 6.50
80 Giovanni Fabbian Giovanni Fabbian M 6.30
10 A. Guðmundsson A. Guðmundsson 89' F 6.50
91 Roberto Piccoli Roberto Piccoli F 6.30
17 Jack Harrison Jack Harrison 78' F 6.90
Bench
22 Jacopo Fazzini Jacopo Fazzini 12' M 6.20
62 Luís Balbo Luís Balbo 12' D 6.20
15 Pietro Comuzzo Pietro Comuzzo 8' D 6.30
8 Rolando Mandragora Rolando Mandragora 1' M
Best on the pitch
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino
M · Crystal
7.90
1 shots · 17 pass
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr
F · Crystal
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada
M · Crystal
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 43 pass
Jean Philippe Mateta
Jean Philippe Mateta
F · Crystal
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots · 9 pass
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell
M · Crystal
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton
M · Crystal
7.50
· 70 pass
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dean Henderson G 90 7.00 — — — 26 16% — — —
Jaydee Canvot D 90 7.20 — — 1 76 71% — — —
Maxence Lacroix D 90 6.90 — — 1 36 34% — — —
Chris Richards D 90 7.20 — — — 47 41% — 1 —
Tyrick Mitchell M 90 7.50 1 — 1 27 25% 3 — —
Daichi Kamada M 89 7.70 — 1 1 43 38% 2 — —
Adam Wharton M 89 7.50 — — — 70 60% — — —
Daniel Muñoz M 90 7.30 — — 1 50 42% 3 — —
E. Guessand F 65 7.50 — — 1 18 14% — — —
Jean Philippe Mateta F 83 7.70 1 — 4 9 8% 1 — —
Ismaïla Sarr F 90 7.90 1 — 3 18 13% 1 — —
Brennan Johnson F 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Jefferson Lerma M 13 6.70 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
Will Hughes M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Yéremy Pino M 25 7.90 — — 1 17 17% 2 — —
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David De Gea G 90 6.90 — — — 38 27% — — —
Robin Gosens D 78 5.90 — — 1 32 23% — — —
L. Ranieri D 90 6.90 — — — 51 44% 1 — —
M. Pongračić D 82 6.20 — — — 64 62% 1 — —
Dodô D 90 6.30 — — — 53 43% — 1 —
C. Ndour M 90 6.90 — — 1 35 32% 2 — —
Nicolò Fagioli M 89 6.50 — — — 55 42% 2 — —
Giovanni Fabbian M 90 6.30 — — 1 11 10% — — —
A. Guðmundsson F 89 6.50 — — 2 20 17% — — —
Roberto Piccoli F 90 6.30 — — 2 16 12% 1 1 —
Jack Harrison F 78 6.90 — — — 27 20% — — —
Jacopo Fazzini M 12 6.20 — — — 5 3% — — —
Luís Balbo D 12 6.20 — — — 7 7% — — —
Pietro Comuzzo D 8 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Rolando Mandragora M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina?
The final score was Crystal Palace 3–0 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Crystal Palace win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Fiorentina win.