Crystal Palace - Lech Poznan
Europa League
September 17, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.09%
Win
Crystal Palace
23.36%
Draw
50.55%
Win
Lech Poznan
1.64
3.21
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–2
(8.63%)
1X2 Result
1
26%
X
23%
2
51%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X
50%
X2
74%
12
77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
69%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lech Poznan a 50% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Crystal Palace. Expected goals are 1.6 for Crystal Palace and 3.2 for Lech Poznan (total 4.8), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.63% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Crystal Palace
Lech Poznan →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Crystal Palace
Attack
39
Defence
51
Form
51
Lech Poznan
Attack
64
Defence
77
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Anderlecht
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Benfica
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Beşiktaş
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Bournemouth
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Celje
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Celta Vigo
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Celtic
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Crystal Palace
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Jagiellonia
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Juventus
|
0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Lech Poznan
|
0 | 0 |
| 18 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
0 | 0 |
| 19 |
Levski Sofia
|
0 | 0 |
| 20 |
Lillestrom
|
0 | 0 |
| 21 |
Lyon
|
0 | 0 |
| 22 |
Marseille
|
0 | 0 |
| 23 |
AC Milan
|
0 | 0 |
| 24 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
0 | 0 |
| 25 |
OFI
|
0 | 0 |
| 26 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
0 | 0 |
| 27 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
0 | 0 |
| 28 |
Real Sociedad
|
0 | 0 |
| 29 |
Rennes
|
0 | 0 |
| 30 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
0 | 0 |
| 31 |
Sparta Praha
|
0 | 0 |
| 32 |
Sturm Graz
|
0 | 0 |
| 33 |
Sunderland
|
0 | 0 |
| 34 |
Torreense
|
0 | 0 |
| 35 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
0 | 0 |
| 36 |
Plzen
|
0 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
The model gives Crystal Palace a 26% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 50% for an Lech Poznan win.
How many goals are expected in Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.6, Lech Poznan 3.2 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.63%.