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Premier League · Regular Season - 2 August 28, 2026 21:00 Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace
#16 · 3 pts
1 – 4
Final score
Manchester City
#1 · 9 pts
G. Donnarumma 56' (og)
17' (ast. A. Semenyo) E. Haaland
54' (ast. P. Foden) R. Cherki
59' (ast. J. Gvardiol) R. Cherki
84' (ast. P. Foden) E. Haaland
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Crystal Palace 31%). The final result was Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City. In 2 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Manchester City.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
16
1
Shots on target
9
0.57
Actual xG
1.45
4
Saves
1
27%
Possession
73%
2
Corners
6
32
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
ast. A. Semenyo · E. Haaland⚽
33'
R. Cherki
54'
ast. P. Foden · R. Cherki⚽
55'
E. Anderson
⚽G. Donnarumma (og)
56'
59'
ast. J. Gvardiol · R. Cherki⚽
↕ J. Larsen / E. Guessand
63'
A. Khalaili
68'
↕ E. Nketiah / D. McNeil
68'
↕ Y. Pino / Z. Gozo
68'
↕ T. Tomiyasu / A. Disasi
74'
75'
M. Kovacic / J. Gvardiol ↕
↕ A. Khalaili / O. Mingueza
77'
82'
R. McAidoo / R. Cherki ↕
82'
A. Bouaddi / E. Anderson ↕
84'
ast. P. Foden · E. Haaland⚽
89'
Vitor Reis / A. Khusanov ↕
89'
K. Braithwaite / N. O'Reilly ↕
Pre-match prediction
31.04%
Crystal
31.08%
X
37.88%
Manchester ←
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 37.88% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Crystal
1.44
0.57
-0.87
Manchester
1.12
1.45
+0.33
Manchester City dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 3 9
2 Arsenal Arsenal 3 9
3 Hull City Hull City 4 8
4 Chelsea Chelsea 4 7
5 Brentford Brentford 4 6
6 Liverpool Liverpool 4 6
7 Ipswich Ipswich 4 6
8 Newcastle Newcastle 3 5
9 Everton Everton 3 5
10 Leeds Leeds 3 5
11 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4 5
12 Brighton Brighton 3 4
13 Manchester United Manchester United 3 4
14 Sunderland Sunderland 3 4
15 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 3
16 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 3
17 Fulham Fulham 4 1
18 Tottenham Tottenham 3 1
19 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 1
20 Coventry Coventry 3 0
Lineups
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson D. Henderson G 6.50
17 T. Tomiyasu T. Tomiyasu 74' D 5.60
26 C. Richards C. Richards D 5.90
6 J. Canvot J. Canvot D 6.30
3 T. Mitchell T. Mitchell M 6.60
18 D. Kamada D. Kamada M 7.30
20 A. Wharton A. Wharton M 7.20
25 A. Khalaili A. Khalaili 75' M 7.50
9 E. Nketiah E. Nketiah 68' F 6.20
10 Yeremy Pino Yeremy Pino 68' F 6.90
22 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen 63' F 7.20
Bench
5 A. Disasi A. Disasi 20' D 6.30
11 D. McNeil D. McNeil 26' F 6.50
2 D. Muñoz D. Muñoz D
29 E. Guessand E. Guessand 31' F 6.50
8 J. Lerma J. Lerma M
30 Óscar Mingueza Óscar Mingueza 19' D 6.20
44 W. Benítez W. Benítez G
19 W. Hughes W. Hughes M
12 Z. Gozo Z. Gozo 26' F 6.20
Manchester City Manchester City 4-2-3-1
1 G. Donnarumma G. Donnarumma 1 ⚽ G 6.20
24 J. Gvardiol J. Gvardiol 1 👟 75' D 6.70
6 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi D 7.60
3 Rúben Dias Rúben Dias D 7.50
45 A. Khusanov A. Khusanov 89' D 7.20
5 E. Anderson E. Anderson 82' M 7.60
33 N. O'Reilly N. O'Reilly 89' M 6.20
42 A. Semenyo A. Semenyo 1 👟 M 6.50
10 R. Cherki R. Cherki 2 ⚽ 82' M 8.70
47 P. Foden P. Foden 2 👟 M 6.90
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
32 A. Bouaddi A. Bouaddi 12' M 6.70
30 C. Echeverri C. Echeverri M
28 G. Rulli G. Rulli G
61 Kaden Braithwaite Kaden Braithwaite 5' D
8 M. Kovačić M. Kovačić 19' M 6.70
21 R. Aït-Nouri R. Aït-Nouri D
82 R. Lewis R. Lewis D
56 R. McAidoo R. McAidoo 12' F 6.30
22 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes 5' D
Best on the pitch
R. Cherki
R. Cherki
M · Manchester
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 63 pass
E. Haaland
E. Haaland
F · Manchester
8.20
2 ⚽
5 shots · 5 pass
E. Anderson
E. Anderson
M · Manchester
7.60
2 shots · 98 pass
M. Guéhi
M. Guéhi
D · Manchester
7.60
· 106 pass
Rúben Dias
Rúben Dias
D · Manchester
7.50
1 shots · 102 pass
A. Khalaili
A. Khalaili
M · Crystal
7.50
1 shots · 25 pass
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Henderson G 94 6.50 — — — 15 11% — — —
T. Tomiyasu D 74 5.60 — — — 23 20% 1 — —
C. Richards D 94 5.90 — — 1 29 24% 2 — —
J. Canvot D 94 6.30 — — — 42 38% 1 — —
T. Mitchell M 94 6.60 — — 2 22 20% 2 — —
D. Kamada M 94 7.30 — — — 36 31% 5 — —
A. Wharton M 94 7.20 — — — 25 21% 4 — —
A. Khalaili M 75 7.50 — — 1 25 22% 10 1 —
E. Nketiah F 68 6.20 — — 2 8 7% 2 — —
Yeremy Pino F 68 6.90 — — 1 23 15% 1 — —
J. Strand Larsen F 63 7.20 — — 1 9 6% 1 — —
A. Disasi D 20 6.30 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
D. McNeil F 26 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
E. Guessand F 31 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Óscar Mingueza D 19 6.20 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Z. Gozo F 26 6.20 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Manchester City Manchester City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Donnarumma G 94 6.20 1 — — 35 28% — — —
J. Gvardiol D 75 6.70 — 1 — 52 42% 1 — —
M. Guéhi D 94 7.60 — — — 106 104% 1 — —
Rúben Dias D 94 7.50 — — 1 102 102% — — —
A. Khusanov D 89 7.20 — — — 82 77% 4 — —
E. Anderson M 82 7.60 — — 2 98 89% 5 1 —
N. O'Reilly M 89 6.20 — — 1 57 52% 1 — —
A. Semenyo M 94 6.50 — 1 1 43 40% 1 — —
R. Cherki M 82 8.70 2 — 3 63 58% — 1 —
P. Foden M 94 6.90 — 2 2 48 44% 1 — —
E. Haaland F 94 8.20 2 — 5 5 3% — — —
A. Bouaddi M 12 6.70 — — — 21 21% — — —
Kaden Braithwaite D 5 — — — — 10 10% — — —
M. Kovačić M 19 6.70 — — — 27 27% — — —
R. McAidoo F 12 6.30 — — 1 5 2% — — —
Vitor Nunes D 5 — — — — 12 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
The final score was Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City.
What did the model predict before Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Crystal Palace win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Manchester City win.