Jean-Philippe Mateta
(ast. Tyrick Mitchell)
80'
Jean-Philippe Mateta
90'+4
(pen.)
43'
(ast. Lewis Miley)
William Osula
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Crystal Palace a 45% win probability (draw 26%, Newcastle 27%). The final result was Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle. In 1 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Newcastle.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
3
2.34
Actual xG
1.13
2
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
4
20
Tackles
6
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
43'
ast. Lewis Miley ·
William Osula⚽
Will Hughes
/ Adam Wharton
64'
Brennan Johnson
/ Ismaïla Sarr
64'
Jørgen Strand Larsen
/ Jean-Philippe Mateta
65'
68'
Malick Thiaw
71'
Harvey Barnes
/
Anthony Gordon
74'
Joelinton
Yéremy Pino
/ Daichi Kamada
76'
⚽Jean-Philippe Mateta
· ast. Tyrick Mitchell
80'
84'
Nick Woltemade
/
William Osula
84'
Jacob Ramsey
/
Joelinton
90'+3
Aaron Ramsdale
⚽Jean-Philippe Mateta
(pen.)
90'+4
Tyrick Mitchell
/ Borna Sosa
90'
90'
Yoane Wissa
/
Jacob Murphy
90'
Anthony Elanga
/
Sandro Tonali
Pre-match prediction
45.88%
Crystal ←
26.56%
X
27.56%
Newcastle
we assigned to the actual result (Crystal Palace)
45.88%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
2.34
+0.68
1.30
1.13
-0.17
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.34 vs 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
23
Jaydee Canvot
D
Jaydee Canvot
D
5
Maxence Lacroix
D
Maxence Lacroix
D
26
C. Richards
D
C. Richards
D
3
Tyrick Mitchell
1 👟
89'
M
Tyrick Mitchell
1 👟
89'
M
19
Will Hughes
64'
M
Will Hughes
64'
M
8
J. Lerma
M
J. Lerma
M
2
Daniel Muñoz
M
Daniel Muñoz
M
10
Yéremy Pino
76'
F
Yéremy Pino
76'
F
22
J. Strand Larsen
65'
F
J. Strand Larsen
65'
F
11
Brennan Johnson
64'
F
Brennan Johnson
64'
F
Bench
20
Adam Wharton
26'
M
Adam Wharton
26'
M
24
Borna Sosa
1'
D
Borna Sosa
1'
D
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
18
D. Kamada
14'
M
D. Kamada
14'
M
7
I. Sarr
26'
F
I. Sarr
26'
F
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
2 ⚽
25'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
2 ⚽
25'
F
32
Aaron Ramsdale
G
Aaron Ramsdale
G
3
Lewis Hall
D
Lewis Hall
D
4
Sven Botman
D
Sven Botman
D
12
M. Thiaw
D
M. Thiaw
D
21
Tino Livramento
D
Tino Livramento
D
10
Anthony Gordon
71'
M
Anthony Gordon
71'
M
7
Joelinton
84'
M
Joelinton
84'
M
8
S. Tonali
89'
M
S. Tonali
89'
M
67
1 👟
M
23
Jacob Murphy
89'
M
Jacob Murphy
89'
M
18
W. Osula
1 ⚽
84'
F
W. Osula
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
20
A. Elanga
1'
F
A. Elanga
1'
F
33
Dan Burn
D
Dan Burn
D
11
H. Barnes
19'
M
H. Barnes
19'
M
41
Jacob Ramsey
16'
M
Jacob Ramsey
16'
M
28
Joe Willock
M
Joe Willock
M
2
K. Trippier
D
K. Trippier
D
1
Nick Pope
G
Nick Pope
G
27
N. Woltemade
16'
F
N. Woltemade
16'
F
9
Y. Wissa
1'
F
Y. Wissa
1'
F
Best on the pitch
Jean-Philippe Mateta
F · Crystal
8.50
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
Yéremy Pino
F · Crystal
8.20
2 shots
· 35 pass
W. Osula
F · Newcastle
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Aaron Ramsdale
G · Newcastle
7.30
· 38 pass
Tyrick Mitchell
M · Crystal
7.30
1 👟
· 33 pass
Jaydee Canvot
D · Crystal
7.30
1 shots
· 57 pass
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Henderson | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Jaydee Canvot | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Tyrick Mitchell | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Will Hughes | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Muñoz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 6 | — | — |
| Yéremy Pino | F | 76 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Brennan Johnson | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Adam Wharton | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Borna Sosa | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 25 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Newcastle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ramsdale | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Lewis Hall | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Sven Botman | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 76% | — | — | — |
| M. Thiaw | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Tino Livramento | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Gordon | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Joelinton | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 68 | 50% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jacob Murphy | M | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Osula | F | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Elanga | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| H. Barnes | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Ramsey | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| N. Woltemade | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The final score was Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle.
What did the model predict before Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Crystal Palace win, 26% to a draw, and 27% to an Newcastle win.