Jean-Philippe Mateta
(ast. Tyrick Mitchell)
80'
Jean-Philippe Mateta
90'+4
(pen.)
43'
(ast. Lewis Miley)
William Osula
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Crystal Palace a 45% win probability (draw 26%, Newcastle 27%). The final result was Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle. In 2 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Newcastle.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
3
2.34
Actual xG
1.13
2
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
4
20
Tackles
6
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
43'
ast. Lewis Miley ·
William Osula⚽
Will Hughes
/ Adam Wharton
64'
Brennan Johnson
/ Ismaïla Sarr
64'
Jørgen Strand Larsen
/ Jean-Philippe Mateta
65'
68'
Malick Thiaw
71'
Harvey Barnes
/
Anthony Gordon
74'
Joelinton
Yéremy Pino
/ Daichi Kamada
76'
⚽Jean-Philippe Mateta
· ast. Tyrick Mitchell
80'
84'
Nick Woltemade
/
William Osula
84'
Jacob Ramsey
/
Joelinton
90'+3
Aaron Ramsdale
⚽Jean-Philippe Mateta
(pen.)
90'+4
Tyrick Mitchell
/ Borna Sosa
90'
90'
Yoane Wissa
/
Jacob Murphy
90'
Anthony Elanga
/
Sandro Tonali
Pre-match prediction
45.88%
Crystal ←
26.56%
X
27.56%
Newcastle
we assigned to the actual result (Crystal Palace)
45.88%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
2.34
+0.68
1.30
1.13
-0.17
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.34 vs 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Henderson
G
D. Henderson
G
23
J. Canvot
D
J. Canvot
D
5
M. Lacroix
D
M. Lacroix
D
26
C. Richards
D
C. Richards
D
3
T. Mitchell
1 👟
89'
M
T. Mitchell
1 👟
89'
M
19
W. Hughes
64'
M
W. Hughes
64'
M
8
J. Lerma
M
J. Lerma
M
2
D. Muñoz
M
D. Muñoz
M
10
Yeremy Pino
76'
F
Yeremy Pino
76'
F
22
J. Strand Larsen
65'
F
J. Strand Larsen
65'
F
11
B. Johnson
64'
F
B. Johnson
64'
F
Bench
20
A. Wharton
26'
M
A. Wharton
26'
M
24
B. Sosa
1'
D
B. Sosa
1'
D
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
18
D. Kamada
14'
M
D. Kamada
14'
M
7
I. Sarr
26'
F
I. Sarr
26'
F
14
J. Mateta
2 ⚽
25'
F
J. Mateta
2 ⚽
25'
F
32
Aaron Ramsdale
G
Aaron Ramsdale
G
3
L. Hall
D
L. Hall
D
4
S. Botman
D
S. Botman
D
12
M. Thiaw
D
M. Thiaw
D
21
T. Livramento
D
T. Livramento
D
10
A. Gordon
71'
M
A. Gordon
71'
M
7
Joelinton
84'
M
Joelinton
84'
M
8
S. Tonali
89'
M
S. Tonali
89'
M
67
1 👟
M
23
J. Murphy
89'
M
J. Murphy
89'
M
18
W. Osula
1 ⚽
84'
F
W. Osula
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
20
A. Elanga
1'
F
A. Elanga
1'
F
33
D. Burn
D
D. Burn
D
11
H. Barnes
19'
M
H. Barnes
19'
M
41
J. Ramsey
16'
M
J. Ramsey
16'
M
28
J. Willock
M
J. Willock
M
2
K. Trippier
D
K. Trippier
D
1
N. Pope
G
N. Pope
G
27
N. Woltemade
16'
F
N. Woltemade
16'
F
9
Y. Wissa
1'
F
Y. Wissa
1'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Mateta
F · Crystal
8.50
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
Yeremy Pino
F · Crystal
8.20
2 shots
· 35 pass
W. Osula
F · Newcastle
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Aaron Ramsdale
G · Newcastle
7.30
· 38 pass
T. Mitchell
M · Crystal
7.30
1 👟
· 33 pass
J. Canvot
D · Crystal
7.30
1 shots
· 57 pass
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Henderson | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Lacroix | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| W. Hughes | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 6 | — | — |
| Yeremy Pino | F | 76 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| B. Johnson | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Wharton | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Sosa | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mateta | F | 25 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Newcastle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ramsdale | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Hall | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 52% | — | — | — |
| S. Botman | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 76% | — | — | — |
| M. Thiaw | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Livramento | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | — | — | — |
| A. Gordon | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Joelinton | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 68 | 50% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Murphy | M | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Osula | F | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Elanga | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| H. Barnes | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Ramsey | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| N. Woltemade | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The final score was Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle.
What did the model predict before Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Crystal Palace win, 26% to a draw, and 27% to an Newcastle win.