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Premier League · Regular Season - 8 October 25, 2026 15:00 Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace
#17 · 7 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Newcastle
#8 · 11 pts
47' (ast. Jacob Murphy) William Osula
58' (ast. Amar Dedić) Harvey Barnes
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Crystal Palace a 35% win probability (draw 28%, Newcastle 35%). The final result was Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle. In 2 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Newcastle.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
2
1.78
Actual xG
1.03
0
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
4
21
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
36'
Nico González
45'+1
Fabian Schär
47'
ast. Jacob Murphy · William Osula⚽
53'
58'
ast. Amar Dedić · Harvey Barnes⚽
↕ Jean-Philippe Mateta / Eddie Nketiah
62'
↕ Dwight McNeil / Dario Osorio
63'
Yeremy Pino
75'
77'
Yoane Wissa / William Osula ↕
77'
Jacob Ramsey / Joe Willock ↕
77'
Anthony Elanga / Harvey Barnes ↕
78'
Lewis Hall
Anan Khalaili
79'
85'
Sean Steur / Joelinton ↕
Jaydee Canvot
90'+3
90'+5
Malick Thiaw / Amar Dedić ↕
Pre-match prediction
35.9%
Crystal
28.37%
X
35.73%
Newcastle ←
we assigned to the actual result (Newcastle) 35.73% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Crystal
1.50
1.78
+0.28
Newcastle
1.47
1.03
-0.44
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.03). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
44 W. Benítez W. Benítez G 5.96
6 J. Canvot J. Canvot D 6.21
5 A. Disasi A. Disasi D 6.87
26 C. Richards C. Richards D 5.89
3 T. Mitchell T. Mitchell M 5.85
18 D. Kamada D. Kamada M 6.27
20 A. Wharton A. Wharton M 5.60
25 A. Khalaili A. Khalaili M 6.08
10 Yeremy Pino Yeremy Pino M 5.88
11 D. McNeil D. McNeil 63' M 6.25
14 J. Mateta J. Mateta 62' F 6.41
Bench
33 B. Chilwell B. Chilwell D 0.00
28 C. Doucouré C. Doucouré M 0.00
24 D. Osorio D. Osorio 27' M 6.60
29 E. Guessand E. Guessand F 0.00
9 E. Nketiah E. Nketiah 28' F 6.55
8 J. Lerma J. Lerma M 0.00
30 Óscar Mingueza Óscar Mingueza D 0.00
31 R. Matthews R. Matthews G 0.00
19 W. Hughes W. Hughes M 0.00
Newcastle Newcastle 4-2-3-1
21 L. Horníček L. Horníček G 7.58
3 L. Hall L. Hall D 6.12
33 D. Burn D. Burn D 7.60
5 F. Schär F. Schär D 6.80
37 A. Dedić A. Dedić 1 👟 D 7.09
7 Joelinton Joelinton 85' M 6.48
6 Nico González Nico González M 6.41
11 H. Barnes H. Barnes 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.83
28 J. Willock J. Willock 77' M 6.42
23 J. Murphy J. Murphy 1 👟 M 7.70
10 W. Osula W. Osula 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.87
Bench
8 A. Bamba A. Bamba M 0.00
19 A. Elanga A. Elanga 13' F 6.61
17 B. Touré B. Touré F 0.00
41 J. Ramsey J. Ramsey 13' M 6.91
12 M. Thiaw M. Thiaw 1' D 0.00
1 N. Pope N. Pope G 0.00
4 S. Botman S. Botman D 0.00
14 Sean Steur Sean Steur 5' M 6.78
9 Y. Wissa Y. Wissa 13' F 6.59
Best on the pitch
W. Osula
W. Osula
F · Newcastle
7.87
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
H. Barnes
H. Barnes
M · Newcastle
7.83
1 ⚽
5 shots · 18 pass
J. Murphy
J. Murphy
M · Newcastle
7.70
1 👟
· 14 pass
D. Burn
D. Burn
D · Newcastle
7.60
1 shots · 40 pass
L. Horníček
L. Horníček
G · Newcastle
7.58
· 38 pass
A. Dedić
A. Dedić
D · Newcastle
7.09
1 👟
· 40 pass
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
W. Benítez G 90 5.96 — — 0 31 12% 0 — —
J. Canvot D 90 6.21 — — 0 48 39% 4 1 —
A. Disasi D 90 6.87 — — 4 33 26% 3 — —
C. Richards D 90 5.89 — — 1 45 29% 4 — —
T. Mitchell M 90 5.85 — — 1 30 22% 0 — —
D. Kamada M 90 6.27 — — 1 33 26% 2 — —
A. Wharton M 90 5.60 — — 1 39 23% 2 — —
A. Khalaili M 90 6.08 — — 0 37 27% 2 1 —
Yeremy Pino M 90 5.88 — — 1 45 30% 2 1 —
D. McNeil M 63 6.25 — — 1 13 11% 1 — —
J. Mateta F 62 6.41 — — 3 8 4% 0 — —
D. Osorio M 27 6.60 — — 3 12 11% 1 — —
E. Nketiah F 28 6.55 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
Newcastle Newcastle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Horníček G 90 7.58 — — 0 38 18% 0 — —
L. Hall D 90 6.12 — — 0 39 28% 0 1 —
D. Burn D 90 7.60 — — 1 40 34% 0 — —
F. Schär D 90 6.80 — — 0 45 35% 1 1 —
A. Dedić D 95 7.09 — 1 0 40 28% 0 — —
Joelinton M 85 6.48 — — 2 32 21% 2 — —
Nico González M 90 6.41 — — 0 43 30% 2 1 —
H. Barnes M 77 7.83 1 — 5 18 15% 1 — —
J. Willock M 77 6.42 — — 0 20 14% 1 — —
J. Murphy M 90 7.70 — 1 0 14 13% 1 — —
W. Osula F 77 7.87 1 — 2 5 4% 0 — —
A. Elanga F 13 6.61 — — 0 6 4% 1 — —
J. Ramsey M 13 6.91 — — 0 5 2% 1 — —
M. Thiaw D 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Sean Steur M 5 6.78 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
Y. Wissa F 13 6.59 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The final score was Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle.
What did the model predict before Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Crystal Palace win, 28% to a draw, and 35% to an Newcastle win.