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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 October 11, 2026 15:00 Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace
#17 · 7 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Nottingham Forest
#18 · 6 pts
Daichi Kamada (ast. Quinten Timber) 41'
Jefferson Lerma (ast. Adam Wharton) 45'+4
Yeremy Pino 59'
3' Dan Ndoye
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nottingham Forest a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Crystal Palace 33%). The final result was Crystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest. In 2 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
24
7
Shots on target
6
2.42
Actual xG
2.98
4
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
8
22
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
3'
Dan Ndoye⚽
Jefferson Lerma
16'
⚽Daichi Kamada · ast. Quinten Timber
41'
⚽Jefferson Lerma · ast. Adam Wharton
45'+4
⚽Yeremy Pino
59'
Yeremy Pino
60'
66'
Ibrahim Sangaré / Xaver Schlager ↕
72'
Chris Wood / Liam Delap ↕
72'
Callum Hudson-Odoi / Dan Ndoye ↕
↕ Jefferson Lerma / Honest Ahanor
72'
73'
Ola Aina
↕ Yeremy Pino / Ismaila Sarr
83'
↕ Jörgen Strand Larsen / Eddie Nketiah
83'
83'
Arnaud Kalimuendo / Ola Aina ↕
90'+4
Murillo Santiago
↕ Daichi Kamada / Dwight McNeil
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.46%
Crystal ←
31.15%
X
35.39%
Nottingham
we assigned to the actual result (Crystal Palace) 33.46% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Crystal
1.08
2.42
+1.34
Nottingham
1.21
2.98
+1.77
Nottingham Forest dominated by xG (2.98 vs 2.42). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
44 W. Benítez W. Benítez G 6.84
6 J. Canvot J. Canvot D 6.97
26 C. Richards C. Richards D 7.01
8 J. Lerma J. Lerma 1 ⚽ 72' D 6.63
3 T. Mitchell T. Mitchell M 6.25
23 Q. Timber Q. Timber 1 👟 M 6.48
20 A. Wharton A. Wharton 1 👟 M 7.65
25 A. Khalaili A. Khalaili M 6.14
10 Yeremy Pino Yeremy Pino 1 ⚽ 83' M 8.08
18 D. Kamada D. Kamada 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.54
22 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen 83' F 6.34
Bench
28 C. Doucouré C. Doucouré M 0.00
11 D. McNeil D. McNeil 1' F 0.00
29 E. Guessand E. Guessand F 0.00
9 E. Nketiah E. Nketiah 7' F 6.44
21 H. Ahanor H. Ahanor 18' D 6.39
7 I. Sarr I. Sarr 7' F 6.46
30 Óscar Mingueza Óscar Mingueza D 0.00
31 R. Matthews R. Matthews G 0.00
19 W. Hughes W. Hughes M 0.00
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1
26 M. Sels M. Sels G 6.72
5 Murillo Murillo D 6.34
2 O. Diomande O. Diomande D 6.57
34 O. Aina O. Aina 83' D 5.71
3 N. Williams N. Williams M 7.02
24 J. McAtee J. McAtee M 5.83
21 X. Schlager X. Schlager 66' M 6.46
27 D. Muñoz D. Muñoz M 6.08
14 D. Ndoye D. Ndoye 1 ⚽ 72' M 6.65
10 M. Gibbs-White M. Gibbs-White M 6.55
19 L. Delap L. Delap 72' F 6.03
Bench
15 A. Kalimuendo A. Kalimuendo 7' F 6.38
7 C. Hudson-Odoi C. Hudson-Odoi 18' F 6.30
9 C. Wood C. Wood 18' F 6.15
6 I. Sangaré I. Sangaré 24' M 5.88
23 Jair Jair D 0.00
12 John John G 0.00
25 L. Netz L. Netz D 0.00
8 N. Domínguez N. Domínguez M 0.00
22 R. Yates R. Yates M 0.00
Best on the pitch
Yeremy Pino
Yeremy Pino
M · Crystal
8.08
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
A. Wharton
A. Wharton
M · Crystal
7.65
1 👟
· 52 pass
D. Kamada
D. Kamada
M · Crystal
7.54
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
N. Williams
N. Williams
M · Nottingham
7.02
3 shots · 54 pass
C. Richards
C. Richards
D · Crystal
7.01
1 shots · 47 pass
J. Canvot
J. Canvot
D · Crystal
6.97
· 37 pass
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
W. Benítez G 90 6.84 — — 0 42 22% 0 — —
J. Canvot D 90 6.97 — — 0 37 32% 3 — —
C. Richards D 90 7.01 — — 1 47 40% 0 — —
J. Lerma D 72 6.63 1 — 3 43 30% 1 1 —
T. Mitchell M 90 6.25 — — 1 23 16% 7 — —
Q. Timber M 90 6.48 — 1 1 35 23% 2 — —
A. Wharton M 90 7.65 — 1 0 52 42% 2 — —
A. Khalaili M 90 6.14 — — 2 27 19% 1 — —
Yeremy Pino M 83 8.08 1 — 1 29 25% 2 1 —
D. Kamada M 89 7.54 1 — 1 25 20% 2 — —
J. Strand Larsen F 83 6.34 — — 3 15 11% 1 — —
D. McNeil F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 1 — —
E. Nketiah F 7 6.44 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
H. Ahanor D 18 6.39 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
I. Sarr F 7 6.46 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Sels G 90 6.72 — — 0 22 17% 0 — —
Murillo D 90 6.34 — — 4 59 49% 3 1 —
O. Diomande D 90 6.57 — — 1 58 55% 0 — —
O. Aina D 83 5.71 — — 1 40 33% 2 1 —
N. Williams M 90 7.02 — — 3 54 48% 1 — —
J. McAtee M 90 5.83 — — 1 55 41% 0 — —
X. Schlager M 66 6.46 — — 3 35 30% 0 — —
D. Muñoz M 90 6.08 — — 2 50 38% 3 — —
D. Ndoye M 72 6.65 1 — 4 14 11% 0 — —
M. Gibbs-White M 90 6.55 — — 2 49 37% 2 — —
L. Delap F 72 6.03 — — 2 13 5% 0 — —
A. Kalimuendo F 7 6.38 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
C. Hudson-Odoi F 18 6.30 — — 0 10 10% 0 — —
C. Wood F 18 6.15 — — 1 1 0% 0 — —
I. Sangaré M 24 5.88 — — 0 28 24% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Crystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Crystal Palace win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Nottingham Forest win.