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Crystal Palace - Sparta Praha

Europa League January 21, 2027 21:00
#15 · 4 pts
vs
#16 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.63%
Win
Crystal Palace
29.86%
Draw
36.51%
Win
Sparta Praha
1.24
Expected xG
1.43

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.63%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 34%
X 30%
2 37%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 64%
X2 66%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sparta Praha a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Crystal Palace. Expected goals are 1.2 for Crystal Palace and 1.4 for Sparta Praha (total 2.7), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.63% probability.

Season Stats

Crystal Palace
1W 1D 1L
Sparta Praha
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
1.7
1.7
Conceded
1.0
4.3
Shots OT
5.7
4.0
Corners
7.3
48%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Crystal Palace
1W 0D 0L · at home
Sparta Praha
1W 0D 1L · away
4.0
gls/g
2.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Crystal Palace Sparta Praha →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0% 9.9% 7.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.3% 8.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.2% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

D Beşiktaş 2–2
L Lyon 3–2
W Lech Poznan 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
L Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0
D Lillestrom 1–1
W Ararat-Armenia 1–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
Attack
30
Defence
56
Form
39
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
Attack
57
Defence
65
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha?
The model gives Crystal Palace a 33% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Sparta Praha win.
How many goals are expected in Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha?
Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.2, Sparta Praha 1.4 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Crystal Palace vs Sparta Praha?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.63%.