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CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula

Friendlies Clubs July 03, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.66%
Win
CSKA Moscow
24.14%
Draw
25.19%
Win
Arsenal Tula
4.5
Expected xG
1.82
Most likely result 4–1 (5.6%)
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
95%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives CSKA Moscow a 50% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Arsenal Tula. Expected goals are 4.5 for CSKA Moscow and 1.8 for Arsenal Tula (total 6.3), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–1 at 5.6% probability.

Season Stats

CSKA Moscow
3W 3D 1L
Arsenal Tula
3W 0D 3L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
2.2
1.9
Conceded
2.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
83%
86%
O 2.5
83%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 7 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
100%
O 1.5
90%
O 2.5
90%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
CSKA Moscow
2W 2D 1L · at home
Arsenal Tula
2W 0D 0L · away
2.4
gls/g
4.5
2.0
Conceded
2.5
40%
Win %
100%
80%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
100%
80%
O 3.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ CSKA Moscow Arsenal Tula →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.8% 3.3% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 2.7% 5.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5%
4 3.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
5 2.8% 5.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%

Recent form

W Lokomotiv 3–2
W FC Rostov 3–1
D Zenit 2–2
D Dynamo 1–1
D FC Krasnodar 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
W Atyrau 3–1
W Chayka 2–4
L Rodina Moskva II 1–4
W Volgar Astrakhan 3–5
L Dinamo Makhachkala 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
Attack
61
Defence
54
Form
63
Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula
Attack
51
Defence
38
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
The model gives CSKA Moscow a 50% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 25% for an Arsenal Tula win.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
Expected goals: CSKA Moscow 4.5, Arsenal Tula 1.8 (total 6.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
4–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.6%.