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Premier League · Regular Season - 4 August 15, 2026 15:15
CSKA Moscow
#3 · 16 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Fakel
#16 · 3 pts
I. Oblyakov 71' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fakel a 36% win probability (draw 29%, CSKA Moscow 34%). The final result was CSKA Moscow 1–0 Fakel.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
0
0
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
4
8
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
↕ T. Musaev / L. Gondou
46'
Matheus Alves
46'
52'
V. Yakimov
V. Torop
54'
54'
A. Gnapi Dable
64'
A. Bagamaev / A. Sutormin ↕
64'
B. Magomedov / N. Giorgobiani ↕
↕ M. Popovic / I. Firov
65'
↕ Matheus Alves / D. Kozlov
66'
⚽I. Oblyakov (pen.)
71'
73'
A. Kovalev / I. Alshin ↕
73'
B. Pusi / A. Gnapi Dable ↕
I. Firov
76'
84'
M. Uridia / I. Yurganov ↕
90'+4
A. Gabaraev
↕ D. Krugovoy / K. Glebov
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.11%
CSKA ←
29.84%
X
36.06%
Fakel
we assigned to the actual result (CSKA Moscow) 34.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CSKA
1.10
—
—
Fakel
2.10
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 7 19
2 Dynamo Dynamo 8 16
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 8 16
4 Zenit Zenit 8 15
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 7 13
6 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 7 12
7 Baltika Baltika 8 11
8 Rubin Rubin 8 11
9 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 8 10
10 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 8 8
11 FC Rostov FC Rostov 7 8
12 Akhmat Akhmat 7 7
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 8 6
14 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 8 4
15 Akron Akron 7 4
16 Fakel Fakel 8 3
Lineups
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 4-1-4-1
49 V. Torop V. Torop G 6.60
27 Moisés Moisés D 6.90
79 M. Zea M. Zea D 7.90
4 João Victor João Victor D 7.20
22 Milan Gajić Milan Gajić D 7.30
31 M. Kislyak M. Kislyak M 6.90
20 Matija Popović Matija Popović 65' M 6.30
7 Matheus Alves Matheus Alves 66' M 6.90
10 I. Oblyakov I. Oblyakov 1 ⚽ M 7.90
3 D. Krugovoy D. Krugovoy 89' M 6.30
11 T. Musaev T. Musaev 45' F 6.30
Bench
52 A. Bandikyan A. Bandikyan M
18 D. Kozlov D. Kozlov 24' M 6.70
6 Dmitriy Barinov Dmitriy Barinov M
23 Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov D
37 Henrique Carmo Henrique Carmo M
62 I. Firov I. Firov 25' M 6.20
17 K. Glebov K. Glebov 1' F
32 L. Gondou L. Gondou 45' F 7.50
2 Matheus Reis Matheus Reis D
39 M. Borisko M. Borisko G
90 M. Lukin M. Lukin D
99 Nikolay Barovskiy Nikolay Barovskiy G
Fakel Fakel 3-4-3
1 D. Frolkin D. Frolkin G 6.30
53 M. Bardachev M. Bardachev D 7.50
20 I. Yurganov I. Yurganov 84' D 6.50
5 A. Gabaraev A. Gabaraev D 6.60
10 I. Alshin I. Alshin 73' M 6.90
52 R. Netfullin R. Netfullin M 6.30
23 V. Yakimov V. Yakimov M 7.30
55 D. Todorović D. Todorović M 7.30
11 A. Sutormin A. Sutormin 64' F 6.30
9 A. Gnapi Dable A. Gnapi Dable 73' F 6.90
99 N. Giorgobiani N. Giorgobiani 64' F 6.90
Bench
8 A. Bagamaev A. Bagamaev 26' M 6.20
25 A. Belyaev A. Belyaev F
17 A. Kovalev A. Kovalev 17' M 6.90
97 B. Magomedov B. Magomedov 26' M 6.30
19 B. Pusi B. Pusi 17' F 6.30
22 H. El Mahasni H. El Mahasni D
96 I. Obukhov I. Obukhov G
18 Kirill Simonov Kirill Simonov M
93 M. Uridia M. Uridia 11' F 6.30
35 V. Dorovskikh V. Dorovskikh G
44 Y. Zhuravlev Y. Zhuravlev D
Best on the pitch
M. Zea
M. Zea
D · CSKA
7.90
· 78 pass
I. Oblyakov
I. Oblyakov
M · CSKA
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 57 pass
L. Gondou
L. Gondou
F · CSKA
7.50
· 7 pass
M. Bardachev
M. Bardachev
D · Fakel
7.50
· 40 pass
Milan Gajić
Milan Gajić
D · CSKA
7.30
· 50 pass
D. Todorović
D. Todorović
M · Fakel
7.30
· 39 pass
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Torop G 90 6.60 — — — 26 20% — 1 —
Moisés D 90 6.90 — — — 49 42% — — —
M. Zea D 90 7.90 — — — 78 65% 1 — —
João Victor D 90 7.20 — — — 63 59% 1 — —
Milan Gajić D 90 7.30 — — — 50 38% — — —
M. Kislyak M 90 6.90 — — 1 47 38% — — —
Matija Popović M 65 6.30 — — 1 10 7% 1 — —
Matheus Alves M 66 6.90 — — 2 26 23% 1 1 —
I. Oblyakov M 90 7.90 1 — 4 57 48% 2 — —
D. Krugovoy M 89 6.30 — — 1 19 14% — — —
T. Musaev F 45 6.30 — — — 10 7% — — —
D. Kozlov M 24 6.70 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
I. Firov M 25 6.20 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
K. Glebov F 1 — — — — — — 1 — —
L. Gondou F 45 7.50 — — — 7 4% — — —
Fakel Fakel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Frolkin G 90 6.30 — — — 33 17% — — —
M. Bardachev D 90 7.50 — — — 40 35% 3 — —
I. Yurganov D 84 6.50 — — — 31 23% 1 — —
A. Gabaraev D 90 6.60 — — 1 43 31% 2 1 —
I. Alshin M 73 6.90 — — — 21 13% 2 — —
R. Netfullin M 90 6.30 — — — 27 19% 4 — —
V. Yakimov M 90 7.30 — — 1 39 30% 4 1 —
D. Todorović M 90 7.30 — — — 39 30% 2 — —
A. Sutormin F 64 6.30 — — — 21 14% 1 — —
A. Gnapi Dable F 73 6.90 — — 2 10 6% 2 1 —
N. Giorgobiani F 64 6.90 — — — 19 14% 1 — —
A. Bagamaev M 26 6.20 — — — 5 5% — — —
A. Kovalev M 17 6.90 — — — 10 7% — — —
B. Magomedov M 26 6.30 — — — 13 10% — — —
B. Pusi F 17 6.30 — — 2 4 3% — — —
M. Uridia F 11 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
The final score was CSKA Moscow 1–0 Fakel.
What did the model predict before CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
The model assigned 34% probability to a CSKA Moscow win, 29% to a draw, and 36% to an Fakel win.