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Premier League · Regular Season - 10 October 11, 2026 15:30
CSKA Moscow
#3 · 25 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Rodina Moskva
#15 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction CSKA Moscow
Danil Krugovoy (ast. Ivan Oblyakov) 24'
Ivan Oblyakov (ast. Ivan Oleynikov) 35'
Ivan Oblyakov (ast. Danil Krugovoy) 80'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CSKA Moscow a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Rodina Moskva 19%). The final result was CSKA Moscow 3–0 Rodina Moskva.

Match statistics
28
Total shots
11
11
Shots on target
3
2.26
Actual xG
0.93
3
Saves
8
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
4
16
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Danil Krugovoy · ast. Ivan Oblyakov
24'
⚽Ivan Oblyakov · ast. Ivan Oleynikov
35'
45'
Kirill Ushatov / Ruslan Fishchenko ↕
45'
Leon Musaev / Brian Mansilla ↕
61'
German Onugkha / Ivan Timoshenko ↕
↕ Matheus Alves / Kirill Glebov
63'
↕ Luciano Gondou / Tamerlan Musaev
68'
71'
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov / Soltmurad Bakaev ↕
Matija Popović
75'
76'
Igor Silva
79'
Deiver Machado
80'
Kerfala Cissoko / Artem Maksimenko ↕
⚽Ivan Oblyakov · ast. Danil Krugovoy
80'
↕ Ivan Oleynikov / Danila Kozlov
82'
Pre-match prediction
55.71%
CSKA ←
24.99%
X
19.31%
Rodina
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (CSKA Moscow) 55.71% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CSKA
1.80
2.26
+0.46
Rodina
0.48
0.93
+0.45
CSKA Moscow dominated by xG (2.26 vs 0.93). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zenit Zenit 12 27
2 Dynamo Dynamo 12 25
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 12 25
4 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 12 23
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 12 23
6 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 12 16
7 FC Rostov FC Rostov 12 15
8 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 12 15
9 Baltika Baltika 12 14
10 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 12 13
11 Rubin Rubin 12 12
12 Akron Akron 12 12
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 12 11
14 Akhmat Akhmat 12 11
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 12 9
16 Fakel Fakel 12 6
Lineups
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 5-3-2
49 V. Torop V. Torop G 7.47
3 D. Krugovoy D. Krugovoy 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.57
23 Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov D 6.79
90 M. Lukin M. Lukin D 6.72
4 João Victor João Victor D 7.02
21 M. Azzi M. Azzi D 6.43
19 I. Oleynikov I. Oleynikov 1 👟 82' M 7.70
10 I. Oblyakov I. Oblyakov 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.76
31 M. Kislyak M. Kislyak M 7.20
32 L. Gondou L. Gondou 68' F 6.81
7 Matheus Alves Matheus Alves 63' F 6.47
Bench
84 A. Vakulich A. Vakulich M 0.00
18 D. Kozlov D. Kozlov 8' M 6.62
37 Henrique Henrique M 0.00
62 I. Firov I. Firov F 0.00
17 K. Glebov K. Glebov 27' F 6.64
20 Matija Popovic Matija Popovic M 0.00
39 M. Borisko M. Borisko G 0.00
79 M. Zea M. Zea D 0.00
99 Nikolay Barovskiy Nikolay Barovskiy G 0.00
61 P. Filyushin P. Filyushin D 0.00
11 T. Musaev T. Musaev 22' F 6.92
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 5-4-1
13 S. Volkov S. Volkov G 6.64
20 D. Machado D. Machado D 5.30
75 M. Nadé M. Nadé D 6.67
6 R. Fishchenko R. Fishchenko 45' D 5.93
26 A. Meshchaninov A. Meshchaninov D 5.83
2 Igor Silva Igor Silva D 5.42
17 S. Bakaev S. Bakaev 71' M 6.20
11 B. Mansilla B. Mansilla 45' M 6.12
10 Y. Reyna Y. Reyna M 6.34
9 A. Maksimenko A. Maksimenko 80' M 5.88
99 I. Timoshenko I. Timoshenko 61' F 6.04
Bench
88 A. Sokol A. Sokol D 0.00
19 D. Tananeev D. Tananeev D 0.00
7 G. Onugkha G. Onugkha 29' F 6.36
95 K. Cissoko K. Cissoko 10' F 6.24
23 K. Ushatov K. Ushatov 45' M 6.45
3 L. Goglichidze L. Goglichidze D 0.00
38 L. Musaev L. Musaev 45' M 6.41
18 M. Abdusalamov M. Abdusalamov 19' F 6.81
55 M. Križan M. Križan D 0.00
50 Rodrigo Becão Rodrigo Becão D 0.00
1 S. Aydarov S. Aydarov G 0.00
80 S. Bessmertny S. Bessmertny D 0.00
Best on the pitch
I. Oblyakov
I. Oblyakov
M · CSKA
9.76
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 94 pass
D. Krugovoy
D. Krugovoy
D · CSKA
8.57
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 42 pass
I. Oleynikov
I. Oleynikov
M · CSKA
7.70
1 👟
4 shots · 32 pass
V. Torop
V. Torop
G · CSKA
7.47
· 29 pass
M. Kislyak
M. Kislyak
M · CSKA
7.20
2 shots · 73 pass
João Victor
João Victor
D · CSKA
7.02
1 shots · 95 pass
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Torop G 90 7.47 — — 0 29 22% 0 — —
D. Krugovoy D 90 8.57 1 1 3 42 36% 3 — —
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov D 90 6.79 — — 1 62 55% 1 — —
M. Lukin D 90 6.72 — — 0 51 46% 0 — —
João Victor D 90 7.02 — — 1 95 86% 0 — —
M. Azzi D 90 6.43 — — 0 34 22% 5 — —
I. Oleynikov M 82 7.70 — 1 4 32 23% 0 — —
I. Oblyakov M 90 9.76 2 1 2 94 85% 1 — —
M. Kislyak M 90 7.20 — — 2 73 67% 1 — —
L. Gondou F 68 6.81 — — 6 13 12% 1 — —
Matheus Alves F 63 6.47 — — 3 39 33% 2 — —
D. Kozlov M 8 6.62 — — 2 7 5% 1 — —
K. Glebov F 27 6.64 — — 0 9 9% 1 — —
T. Musaev F 22 6.92 — — 4 8 5% 0 — —
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Volkov G 90 6.64 — — 0 51 31% 0 — —
D. Machado D 90 5.30 — — 1 40 28% 4 1 —
M. Nadé D 90 6.67 — — 0 49 46% 0 — —
R. Fishchenko D 45 5.93 — — 0 10 10% 0 — —
A. Meshchaninov D 90 5.83 — — 0 35 30% 0 — —
Igor Silva D 90 5.42 — — 0 24 20% 2 1 —
S. Bakaev M 71 6.20 — — 1 15 9% 1 — —
B. Mansilla M 45 6.12 — — 0 17 12% 2 — —
Y. Reyna M 90 6.34 — — 1 28 23% 1 — —
A. Maksimenko M 80 5.88 — — 2 13 11% 0 — —
I. Timoshenko F 61 6.04 — — 2 14 7% 1 — —
G. Onugkha F 29 6.36 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
K. Cissoko F 10 6.24 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
K. Ushatov M 45 6.45 — — 1 21 19% 3 — —
L. Musaev M 45 6.41 — — 1 33 28% 0 — —
M. Abdusalamov F 19 6.81 — — 1 6 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
The final score was CSKA Moscow 3–0 Rodina Moskva.
What did the model predict before CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
The model assigned 55% probability to a CSKA Moscow win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Rodina Moskva win.