Premier League
· Regular Season - 12
October 25, 2026 14:00
Kirill Glebov
1'
Tamerlan Musaev
(ast. Danil Krugovoy)
24'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CSKA Moscow a 35% win probability (draw 29%, Spartak Moscow 35%). The final result was CSKA Moscow 2–0 Spartak Moscow. In 3 previous meetings, CSKA Moscow have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Spartak Moscow.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
25
6
Shots on target
10
1.69
Actual xG
1.97
10
Saves
4
31%
Possession
69%
5
Corners
5
18
Tackles
17
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Kirill Glebov
1'
Kirill Glebov
18'
⚽Tamerlan Musaev
· ast. Danil Krugovoy
24'
Matvey Lukin
36'
37'
Pablo Solari
João Victor da Silva Marcelino
62'
64'
Igor Dmitriev
/
Srdjan Babic
64'
Gedson Fernandes
/
Victor Parada
Tamerlan Musaev
/ Matheus Reis
75'
Kirill Glebov
/ Matija Popović
75'
75'
Daniil Denisov
/
Marquinhos
75'
Mirlind Daku
/
Roman Zobnin
Matija Popović
79'
Ivan Oblyakov
85'
Pre-match prediction
35.41%
CSKA ←
29.15%
X
35.44%
Spartak
we assigned to the actual result (CSKA Moscow)
35.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.08
1.69
+0.61
1.01
1.97
+0.96
xG dominance was balanced (1.69 – 1.97).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
39
M. Borisko
G
M. Borisko
G
3
D. Krugovoy
1 👟
D
D. Krugovoy
1 👟
D
90
M. Lukin
D
M. Lukin
D
79
M. Zea
D
M. Zea
D
4
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
21
M. Azzi
D
M. Azzi
D
19
I. Oleynikov
M
I. Oleynikov
M
31
M. Kislyak
M
M. Kislyak
M
10
I. Oblyakov
M
I. Oblyakov
M
11
T. Musaev
1 ⚽
75'
F
T. Musaev
1 ⚽
75'
F
17
K. Glebov
1 ⚽
75'
F
K. Glebov
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
52
A. Bandikyan
M
A. Bandikyan
M
84
A. Vakulich
M
A. Vakulich
M
18
D. Kozlov
M
D. Kozlov
M
23
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
D
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
D
85
Egor Besaev
G
Egor Besaev
G
37
Henrique
M
Henrique
M
62
I. Firov
F
I. Firov
F
7
Matheus Alves
M
Matheus Alves
M
2
Matheus Reis
15'
D
Matheus Reis
15'
D
20
Matija Popovic
15'
M
Matija Popovic
15'
M
49
V. Torop
G
V. Torop
G
98
A. Maksimenko
G
A. Maksimenko
G
33
Víctor Parada
64'
D
Víctor Parada
64'
D
6
S. Babić
64'
D
S. Babić
64'
D
68
R. Litvinov
D
R. Litvinov
D
47
R. Zobnin
75'
D
R. Zobnin
75'
D
18
N. Umyarov
M
N. Umyarov
M
10
Marquinhos
75'
M
Marquinhos
75'
M
5
E. Barco
M
E. Barco
M
25
D. Prutsev
M
D. Prutsev
M
7
P. Solari
M
P. Solari
M
9
M. Ugalde
F
M. Ugalde
F
Bench
4
A. Djiku
D
A. Djiku
D
56
A. Dovbnya
G
A. Dovbnya
G
3
C. Wooh
D
C. Wooh
D
97
D. Denisov
15'
D
D. Denisov
15'
D
83
Gedson Fernandes
26'
M
Gedson Fernandes
26'
M
27
I. Dmitriev
26'
M
I. Dmitriev
26'
M
1
I. Pomazun
G
I. Pomazun
G
40
I. Sorokin
M
I. Sorokin
M
19
M. Daku
15'
F
M. Daku
15'
F
24
Nikita Massalyga
M
Nikita Massalyga
M
62
P. Polekh
F
P. Polekh
F
17
V. Saus
M
V. Saus
M
Best on the pitch
M. Borisko
G · CSKA
9.04
· 35 pass
T. Musaev
F · CSKA
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
K. Glebov
F · CSKA
7.66
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
M. Azzi
D · CSKA
7.36
1 shots
· 22 pass
M. Kislyak
M · CSKA
7.20
3 shots
· 37 pass
Gedson Fernandes
M · Spartak
7.01
2 shots
· 26 pass
CSKA Moscow — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Borisko | G | 90 | 9.04 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Krugovoy | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lukin | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Zea | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Azzi | D | 90 | 7.36 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| I. Oleynikov | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kislyak | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Oblyakov | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Musaev | F | 75 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Glebov | F | 75 | 7.66 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Reis | D | 15 | 7.01 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Matija Popovic | M | 15 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
Spartak Moscow — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Maksimenko | G | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Víctor Parada | D | 64 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Babić | D | 64 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 69 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Litvinov | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 89 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Zobnin | D | 75 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Umyarov | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 3 | 69 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Marquinhos | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Barco | M | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 2 | 90 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Prutsev | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Solari | M | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 5 | 27 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Ugalde | F | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 7 | 31 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Denisov | D | 15 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Gedson Fernandes | M | 26 | 7.01 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Dmitriev | M | 26 | 5.89 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Daku | F | 15 | 6.54 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
The final score was CSKA Moscow 2–0 Spartak Moscow.
What did the model predict before CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
The model assigned 35% probability to a CSKA Moscow win, 29% to a draw, and 35% to an Spartak Moscow win.