Europa League
· 1st Qualifying Round
July 09, 2026 20:00
I. Pittas
19'
B. Jordao
(ast. S. Sensi)
41'
I. Pittas
(ast. Pastor)
53'
31'
(ast. M. Duffy)
L. Boyce
89'
(ast. P. McClean)
J. Olayinka
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CSKA Sofia a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Derry City 27%). The final result was CSKA Sofia 3–2 Derry City. In 1 previous meetings, CSKA Sofia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Derry City.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽I. Pittas
19'
31'
ast. M. Duffy ·
L. Boyce⚽
⚽B. Jordao
· ast. S. Sensi
41'
⚽I. Pittas
· ast. Pastor
53'
64'
N. Twisk
/
C. Dummigan
71'
J. Stott
/
C. Grogan
L. Godoy
/ J. Zwarts
72'
I. Solet
/ M. Brahimi
72'
75'
B. Cotter
83'
J. McClean
/
R. Slevin
S. Sensi
/ A. Piedrahita
85'
89'
ast. P. McClean ·
J. Olayinka⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.36%
CSKA ←
29.1%
X
27.54%
Derry
we assigned to the actual result (CSKA Sofia)
43.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
—
—
0.99
—
—
Lineups
21
Fedor Lapoukhov
G
17
Ángelo Martino
D
14
Teodor Ivanov
D
32
Facundo Rodríguez
D
2
Pastor
1 👟
D
8
Stefano Sensi
1 👟
M
6
Bruno Jordão
1 ⚽
M
30
Petko Panayotov
M
94
Isaac Solet
M
28
Ioannis Pittas
2 ⚽
F
9
Leandro Godoy
F
Bench
77
Alejandro Piedrahita
M
91
Aleks Tunchev
D
19
Andrey Yordanov
D
25
Dimitar Evtimov
G
80
Georgi Chorbadzhiyski
M
99
James Eto'o
M
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
D
10
Joël Zwarts
F
38
Léo Pereira
M
11
Mohamed Amine Brahimi
M
3
Tamimou Ouorou
D
34
Vasil Kaymakanov
M
1
Brian Maher
G
6
Robert Slevin
D
3
Patrick McClean
1 👟
D
Patrick McClean
1 👟
D
25
Christy Grogan
D
22
Conor Barr
D
7
M. Duffy
1 👟
M
M. Duffy
1 👟
M
23
C. Dummigan
D
C. Dummigan
D
28
James Olayinka
1 ⚽
M
2
Barry Cotter
M
27
Liam Boyce
1 ⚽
F
14
Ellis Chapman
M
Bench
20
Carl Winchester
M
4
Jamie Stott
D
16
J. McClean
M
J. McClean
M
21
Kévin Santos
M
35
Liam Kelly
M
17
Nick Twisk
M
26
Shea Callister
G
32
Terence Doherty
F
13
Tom Norcott
G
CSKA Sofia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fedor Lapoukhov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángelo Martino | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teodor Ivanov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pastor | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefano Sensi | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Jordão | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petko Panayotov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac Solet | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ioannis Pittas | F | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Godoy | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Maher | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Slevin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christy Grogan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conor Barr | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Duffy | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Dummigan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Olayinka | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Barry Cotter | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Boyce | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ellis Chapman | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Derry City?
The final score was CSKA Sofia 3–2 Derry City.
What did the model predict before CSKA Sofia vs Derry City?
The model assigned 43% probability to a CSKA Sofia win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an Derry City win.