Conference League
· League Stage - 1
October 15, 2026 18:45
J. Zwarts
(ast. S. Sensi)
76'
3'
(ast. S. Idumbo)
P. Brunner
43'
(ast. P. Brunner)
A. Fati
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CSKA Sofia a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Monaco 33%). The final result was CSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
5
1.23
Actual xG
1.32
3
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
10
Corners
1
15
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. S. Idumbo ·
P. Brunner⚽
43'
ast. P. Brunner ·
A. Fati⚽
S. Sensi
51'
59'
A. Golovin
/
T. Minamino
59'
D. Zakaria
/
L. Camara
59'
Nazinho
/
M. Salisu
64'
M. Abline
/
S. Idumbo
M. Ebong
69'
Leo Pereira
/ C. Itu
73'
L. Godoy
/ J. Zwarts
73'
⚽J. Zwarts
· ast. S. Sensi
76'
77'
A. Soubeir
/
A. Fati
78'
E. Diop
M. Ebong
/ J. Eto'o
85'
I. Pittas
/ I. Solet
85'
D. Almeida
/ T. Ivanov
85'
A. Martino
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
35.42%
CSKA
30.75%
X
33.83%
Monaco ←
we assigned to the actual result (Monaco)
33.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
1.23
+0.06
0.92
1.32
+0.4
xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.32).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
21
F. Lapoukhov
87'
G
17
Á. Martino
87'
D
32
Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
87'
D
4
Dinis Almeida
85'
D
2
Pastor
87'
D
6
Bruno Jordão
87'
M
38
Léo Pereira
73'
M
Léo Pereira
73'
M
8
S. Sensi
1 👟
87'
M
7
M. Ebong
85'
M
28
I. Pittas
85'
M
9
S. Godoy
73'
F
Bench
91
A. Tunchev
D
19
A. Yordanov
D
67
C. Itu
14'
M
31
Daniel Nikolov
G
Daniel Nikolov
G
25
D. Evtimov
G
94
I. Solet Bomawoko
2'
M
99
J. Eto'o
2'
M
10
J. Zwarts
1 ⚽
14'
F
J. Zwarts
1 ⚽
14'
F
30
P. Panayotov
M
14
T. Ivanov
2'
D
34
V. Kaymakanov
F
1
L. Hrádecký
87'
G
L. Hrádecký
87'
G
13
C. Mawissa Elebi
87'
D
C. Mawissa Elebi
87'
D
22
M. Salisu
59'
D
M. Salisu
59'
D
72
Sadibou Sané
87'
D
Sadibou Sané
87'
D
4
J. Teze
87'
D
J. Teze
87'
D
17
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
1 👟
64'
M
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
1 👟
64'
M
37
E. Diop
87'
M
E. Diop
87'
M
8
L. Camara
59'
M
L. Camara
59'
M
18
T. Minamino
59'
M
T. Minamino
59'
M
31
Ansu Fati
1 ⚽
77'
F
Ansu Fati
1 ⚽
77'
F
29
Paris Josua Brunner
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
Paris Josua Brunner
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
Bench
10
A. Golovin
28'
M
A. Golovin
28'
M
46
Anis Soubeir
10'
M
Anis Soubeir
10'
M
6
D. Zakaria
28'
M
D. Zakaria
28'
M
20
Flávio Nazinho
28'
D
Flávio Nazinho
28'
D
49
I. Touré
M
I. Touré
M
11
M. Abline
23'
F
M. Abline
23'
F
28
M. Coulibaly
M
M. Coulibaly
M
7
M. Detourbet
F
M. Detourbet
F
14
Mika Biereth
F
Mika Biereth
F
19
Pape Cabral
M
Pape Cabral
M
16
P. Köhn
G
P. Köhn
G
2
Vanderson
D
Vanderson
D
Best on the pitch
Ansu Fati
F · Monaco
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 46 pass
Paris Josua Brunner
F · Monaco
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 19 pass
J. Zwarts
F · CSKA
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
Bruno Jordão
M · CSKA
7.50
3 shots
· 61 pass
E. Diop
M · Monaco
7.30
1 shots
· 42 pass
C. Mawissa Elebi
D · Monaco
7.30
· 48 pass
CSKA Sofia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Lapoukhov | G | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Á. Martino | D | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Santiago Rodríguez | D | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Dinis Almeida | D | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Pastor | D | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Jordão | M | 87 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 61 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Sensi | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Ebong | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Pittas | M | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Godoy | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Itu | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Solet Bomawoko | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Eto'o | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Zwarts | F | 14 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Ivanov | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Monaco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hrádecký | G | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| C. Mawissa Elebi | D | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Salisu | D | 59 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Sadibou Sané | D | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Teze | D | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Idumbo-Muzambo | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Diop | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Camara | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| T. Minamino | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ansu Fati | F | 77 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Paris Josua Brunner | F | 87 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Golovin | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Anis Soubeir | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Zakaria | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Flávio Nazinho | D | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Abline | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
The final score was CSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco.
What did the model predict before CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
The model assigned 35% probability to a CSKA Sofia win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Monaco win.