CSKA Sofia - Qarabag
Europa League
July 30, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.26%
Win
CSKA Sofia
31.68%
Draw
39.06%
Win
Qarabag
1.05
1.55
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(15.57%)
1X2 Result
1
29%
X
32%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
71%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Qarabag a 39% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 29% for CSKA Sofia. Expected goals are 1.0 for CSKA Sofia and 1.6 for Qarabag (total 2.6), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.57% probability. In 1 previous meetings, CSKA Sofia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Qarabag.
Season Stats
2W
1D
0L
2W
1D
0L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
2.0
1.0
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ CSKA Sofia
Qarabag →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
CSKA Sofia
Attack
43
Defence
67
Form
65
Qarabag
Attack
57
Defence
77
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
23 Jul 2026
0–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
The model gives CSKA Sofia a 29% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 39% for an Qarabag win.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
Expected goals: CSKA Sofia 1.0, Qarabag 1.6 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.57%.