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Cuba - Bonaire

CONCACAF Nations League September 28, 2026 23:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
73.31%
Win
Cuba
15.15%
Draw
11.54%
Win
Bonaire
3.49
Expected xG
0.69
Most likely outcome
Cuba
73.31%
Probability

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–0 (10.0%)
1X2 Result
1 73%
X 15%
2 12%
Double Chance
1X 89%
X2 27%
12 85%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 60%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cuba a 73% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Bonaire. Expected goals are 3.5 for Cuba and 0.7 for Bonaire (total 4.2), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 10.0% probability.

Season Stats

Cuba
1W 0D 0L
Bonaire
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
1.0
0.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 1 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Cuba Bonaire →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% — —
1 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% — —
2 9.3% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 10.9% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 9.5% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 6.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

W Grenada 0–3
L St. Kitts and Nevis 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Cuba Cuba
Attack
59
Defence
87
Form
75
Bonaire Bonaire
Attack
24
Defence
49
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cuba vs Bonaire?
The model gives Cuba a 73% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 11% for an Bonaire win.
How many goals are expected in Cuba vs Bonaire?
Expected goals: Cuba 3.5, Bonaire 0.7 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Cuba vs Bonaire?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.0%.