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Cuba - Grenada

CONCACAF Nations League November 16, 2026 21:00
Cuba
vs
Grenada
⚡ Pre-match analysis
80.3%
Win
Cuba
14.01%
Draw
5.69%
Win
Grenada
2.24
Expected xG
0.34
Most likely outcome
Cuba
80.3%
Probability
85.2%
1X2 accuracy · 27 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (19.12%)
1X2 Result
1 80%
X 14%
2 6%
Double Chance
1X 94%
X2 20%
12 86%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cuba a 80% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 5% for Grenada. Expected goals are 2.2 for Cuba and 0.3 for Grenada (total 2.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 19.12% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Cuba have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Grenada.

Season Stats

Cuba
3W 2D 0L
Grenada
2W 0D 3L
Averages per game
3.4
Goals
1.4
1.2
Conceded
2.8
8.2
Shots OT
3.6
5.8
Corners
6.4
58%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
100%
60%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Cuba
1W 1D 0L · at home
Grenada
1W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
2.5
50%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cuba Grenada →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6% 2.6% 0.4% — — —
1 17.1% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% — —
2 19.1% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% — —
3 14.2% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% — —
4 7.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 3.6% 1.2% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Cuba Cuba
W Bonaire 1–7
D St. Kitts and Nevis 2–2
D St. Kitts and Nevis 3–3
W Bonaire 2–0
W Grenada 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Grenada Grenada
W St. Kitts and Nevis 3–2
L Bonaire 1–4
W Bonaire 2–3
L St. Kitts and Nevis 3–0
L Cuba 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Cuba Cuba
Attack
71
Defence
68
Form
69
Grenada Grenada
Attack
23
Defence
26
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Cuba
0
Draw
0
Grenada
25 Sep 2026 CONCACAF Nations League 3–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cuba vs Grenada?
The model gives Cuba a 80% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 5% for an Grenada win.
How many goals are expected in Cuba vs Grenada?
Expected goals: Cuba 2.2, Grenada 0.3 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Cuba vs Grenada?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.12%.