N. Parra
18'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 44% win probability (draw 23%, Cucuta 32%). The final result was Cucuta 1–0 Atletico Nacional. In 1 previous meetings, Cucuta have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Atletico Nacional.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
15
1
Shots on target
7
0.38
Actual xG
0.94
7
Saves
1
30%
Possession
70%
3
Corners
9
10
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽N. Parra
(og)
18'
27'
M. Uribe
M. B. Carabali Lopez
/ Y. Abonia
46'
Y. Abonia
52'
61'
R. Escorcia
/
N. Rodriguez
61'
J. Rengifo
/
K. Parra Atehortua
D. Calcaterra
/ K. Londono
61'
D. Perez
/ E. M. Duarte Barajas
64'
69'
E. Echeverria
/
M. Uribe
S. Tamara
/ J. Ceballos
70'
L. Berdugo
/ L. Rios
70'
82'
X. Rios
/
A. Roman
82'
M. Lozano
/
J. Campuzano
Pre-match prediction
32.22%
Cucuta ←
23.6%
X
44.18%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Cucuta)
32.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
0.38
-0.98
1.50
0.94
-0.56
Atletico Nacional dominated by xG (0.94 vs 0.38).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Federico Abadía
G
Federico Abadía
G
30
Brayan Montaño
D
Brayan Montaño
D
4
Jhon Quiñónes
D
Jhon Quiñónes
D
2
Hernán Lópes
D
Hernán Lópes
D
33
Sebastián Tamara
70'
D
Sebastián Tamara
70'
D
3
Diego Calcaterra
61'
M
Diego Calcaterra
61'
M
20
Dayan Pérez
64'
M
Dayan Pérez
64'
M
77
Carlos Rentería
M
Carlos Rentería
M
10
Leider Berdugo
70'
M
Leider Berdugo
70'
M
21
Marlon Carabali
45'
M
Marlon Carabali
45'
M
11
Gustavo Torres
F
Gustavo Torres
F
Bench
7
Jader Manyoma
M
Jader Manyoma
M
32
Jhonatan Agudelo
F
Jhonatan Agudelo
F
8
Juan Ceballos
20'
M
Juan Ceballos
20'
M
1
Juan David Ramírez
G
Juan David Ramírez
G
16
Kevin Londoño
29'
M
Kevin Londoño
29'
M
29
Lucas Ríos
20'
M
Lucas Ríos
20'
M
27
Mauricio Duarte
26'
D
Mauricio Duarte
26'
D
26
Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez
45'
D
Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez
45'
D
25
Luis Marquinez
G
Luis Marquinez
G
33
Samuel Velásquez
D
Samuel Velásquez
D
4
César Haydar
D
César Haydar
D
3
Neider Parra
1 ⚽
D
Neider Parra
1 ⚽
D
6
Andrés Román
82'
D
Andrés Román
82'
D
30
Kevin Parra
61'
M
Kevin Parra
61'
M
21
Jorman Campuzano
82'
M
Jorman Campuzano
82'
M
26
Felipe Marin
M
Felipe Marin
M
13
Nicolás Rodríguez
61'
M
Nicolás Rodríguez
61'
M
8
Matheus Uribe
69'
F
Matheus Uribe
69'
F
23
James Rodríguez
F
James Rodríguez
F
Bench
44
Edimer Zea
G
Edimer Zea
G
39
Edwin Echeverria
21'
F
Edwin Echeverria
21'
F
14
Elkin Rivero
M
Elkin Rivero
M
38
Jhan Moreno
D
Jhan Moreno
D
36
Jose Rafael Escorcia
29'
F
Jose Rafael Escorcia
29'
F
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
29'
F
Juan Manuel Rengifo
29'
F
35
Matias Lozano
8'
M
Matias Lozano
8'
M
20
Milton Casco
D
Milton Casco
D
31
Xavi Rios
8'
M
Xavi Rios
8'
M
Best on the pitch
Federico Abadía
G · Cucuta
8.30
· 41 pass
César Haydar
D · Atletico
7.70
1 shots
· 108 pass
James Rodríguez
F · Atletico
7.50
2 shots
· 82 pass
Jorman Campuzano
M · Atletico
7.30
1 shots
· 76 pass
Diego Calcaterra
M · Cucuta
7.00
1 shots
· 16 pass
Jhon Quiñónes
D · Cucuta
7.00
· 19 pass
Cucuta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Abadía | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Montaño | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jhon Quiñónes | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Hernán Lópes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Tamara | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Diego Calcaterra | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Dayan Pérez | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Rentería | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Leider Berdugo | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Marlon Carabali | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Torres | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Ceballos | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Londoño | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ríos | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Duarte | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Marquinez | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Velásquez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| César Haydar | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 108 | 97% | 1 | — | — |
| Neider Parra | D | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 55 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrés Román | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Parra | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Jorman Campuzano | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Marin | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 77 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolás Rodríguez | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Uribe | F | 69 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| James Rodríguez | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 82 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Edwin Echeverria | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jose Rafael Escorcia | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Rengifo | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Matias Lozano | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Xavi Rios | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Cucuta 1–0 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Cucuta win, 23% to a draw, and 44% to an Atletico Nacional win.