✓Model correct — prediction Cucuta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cucuta a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Chico 17%). The final result was Cucuta 1–0 Chico.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
0.59
Actual xG
1.57
36%
Possession
64%
2
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
61.34%
Cucuta ←
21.57%
X
17.09%
Chico
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cucuta)
61.34%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.33
0.59
-1.74
0.60
1.57
+0.97
Chico dominated by xG (1.57 vs 0.59).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cucuta vs Chico?
The final score was Cucuta 1–0 Chico.
What did the model predict before Cucuta vs Chico?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Cucuta win, 21% to a draw, and 17% to an Chico win.