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← Brasileirão Série B
Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 33 October 11, 2026 23:30 Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá, Mato Grosso
Cuiaba
#13 · 47 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Avai
#17 · 40 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Cuiaba, result Avai wins
40' (ast. João Vitor) Daniel Penha
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cuiaba a 61% win probability (draw 24%, Avai 13%). The final result was Cuiaba 0–1 Avai. In 1 previous meetings, Cuiaba have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Avai.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
1.77
Actual xG
0.15
2
Saves
5
68%
Possession
32%
13
Corners
5
9
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo
29'
40'
ast. João Vitor · Daniel Penha⚽
↕ Raul Lô Gonçalves / Luiz Otavio
45'
↕ David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo / Vinicius Peixoto
45'
54'
João Vitor
↕ Igor / Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho
61'
↕ Fabio Gomes / Pedro Henrique
61'
61'
Pedro Henrique Franklim da Silva / Wenderson ↕
61'
Paulo Vitor / Luiz Henrique ↕
66'
Léo Gamalho / Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira ↕
↕ Jean Dias da Costa / Rodrigo Antonio Rodrigues
74'
74'
Wallison / João Vitor ↕
74'
Gaspar / Jean Lucas Figueiredo ↕
90'
Daniel Penha
Pre-match prediction
61.08%
Cuiaba
24.97%
X
13.95%
Avai ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Avai) 13.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cuiaba
1.49
1.77
+0.28
Avai
0.49
0.15
-0.34
Cuiaba dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.15). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Novorizontino Novorizontino 37 70
2 Juventude Juventude 37 68
3 Vila Nova Vila Nova 37 66
4 Criciuma Criciuma 37 62
5 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 37 62
6 CRB CRB 37 58
7 Goias Goias 37 58
8 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 37 58
9 Sport Recife Sport Recife 37 55
10 Operario-PR Operario-PR 37 54
11 São Bernardo São Bernardo 37 52
12 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 37 51
13 Cuiaba Cuiaba 37 47
14 Athletic Club Athletic Club 37 47
15 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 37 46
16 Ceara Ceara 37 43
17 Avai Avai 37 40
18 Londrina Londrina 37 32
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 37 29
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 37 15
Lineups
Cuiaba Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
1 João Carlos João Carlos G 6.42
4 Vitor Mendes Vitor Mendes D 6.74
5 Calebe Calebe D 7.46
13 João Basso João Basso D 6.53
36 Lorenzo Lorenzo M 7.00
20 David Miguel David Miguel 45' M 6.53
30 Raul Raul 45' M 7.20
2 Igor Inocêncio Igor Inocêncio 61' M 6.25
77 Jean Dias Jean Dias 74' M 6.12
41 Kauan Kauan M 6.34
90 Fábio Gomes Fábio Gomes 61' F 6.26
Bench
12 Busatto Busatto G 0.00
11 Eliel Eliel F 0.00
14 Eric Eric D 0.00
26 João Vitor João Vitor 1 👟 M 0.00
91 Luisão Luisão D 0.00
97 Luiz Otávio Luiz Otávio 45' M 7.20
96 Pedro Henrique Pedro Henrique 29' F 6.66
27 Rodrigo Farofa Rodrigo Farofa 16' F 6.64
29 Vinicius Peixoto Vinicius Peixoto 45' F 6.93
70 Wesley Dias Wesley Dias M 0.00
53 Weverson Weverson M 0.00
Avai Avai 4-1-4-1
94 Bruno Ferreira Bruno Ferreira G 7.80
36 DG DG D 6.69
38 Jefferson Maciel Jefferson Maciel D 7.00
3 Allyson Allyson D 7.26
22 João Vitor Cardoso de Souza João Vitor Cardoso de Souza 1 👟 74' D 7.01
77 Zé Ricardo Zé Ricardo M 6.43
10 Jean Lucas Jean Lucas 74' M 6.67
8 Luiz Henrique Luiz Henrique 61' M 6.53
95 Wenderson Wenderson 61' M 6.60
14 Daniel Penha Daniel Penha 1 ⚽ M 8.14
19
29' F 6.77
Bench
5 Del Piage Del Piage M 0.00
70 Gaspar Gaspar 16' F 6.78
18 Hyan Hyan M 0.00
1 Igor Bohn Igor Bohn G 0.00
7 Léo Chú Léo Chú F 0.00
9 Léo Gamalho Léo Gamalho 24' F 6.55
25 Paulo Vitor Paulo Vitor 29' M 7.08
35 Pedrão Pedrão 29' D 7.11
66 Quaresma Quaresma D 0.00
2 Wallison Wallison 16' D 6.94
Best on the pitch
Daniel Penha
Daniel Penha
M · Avai
8.14
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
Bruno Ferreira
Bruno Ferreira
G · Avai
7.80
· 37 pass
Calebe
Calebe
D · Cuiaba
7.46
1 shots · 93 pass
Allyson
Allyson
D · Avai
7.26
· 35 pass
Luiz Otávio
Luiz Otávio
M · Cuiaba
7.20
1 shots · 60 pass
Raul
Raul
M · Cuiaba
7.20
1 shots · 38 pass
Cuiaba Cuiaba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
João Carlos G 90 6.42 — — 0 18 17% 0 — —
Vitor Mendes D 90 6.74 — — 0 82 76% 0 — —
Calebe D 90 7.46 — — 1 93 81% 2 — —
João Basso D 90 6.53 — — 0 106 95% 0 — —
Lorenzo M 90 7.00 — — 2 60 53% 3 — —
David Miguel M 45 6.53 — — 1 27 25% 1 1 —
Raul M 45 7.20 — — 1 38 35% 0 — —
Igor Inocêncio M 61 6.25 — — 1 28 23% 0 — —
Jean Dias M 74 6.12 — — 3 20 15% 0 — —
Kauan M 90 6.34 — — 3 19 16% 2 — —
Fábio Gomes F 61 6.26 — — 2 5 3% 0 — —
Luiz Otávio M 45 7.20 — — 1 60 56% 0 — —
Pedro Henrique F 29 6.66 — — 3 0 0% 0 — —
Rodrigo Farofa F 16 6.64 — — 1 9 9% 0 — —
Vinicius Peixoto F 45 6.93 — — 2 17 17% 1 — —
Avai Avai — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bruno Ferreira G 90 7.80 — — 0 37 16% 0 — —
DG D 90 6.69 — — 0 26 19% 1 — —
Jefferson Maciel D 90 7.00 — — 1 24 19% 1 — —
Allyson D 90 7.26 — — 0 35 29% 1 — —
João Vitor Cardoso de Souza D 74 7.01 — 1 0 29 22% 3 1 —
Zé Ricardo M 90 6.43 — — 1 24 18% 0 — —
Jean Lucas M 74 6.67 — — 0 25 20% 1 — —
Luiz Henrique M 61 6.53 — — 0 19 17% 2 — —
Wenderson M 61 6.60 — — 0 7 6% 1 — —
Daniel Penha M 90 8.14 1 — 1 41 31% 3 1 —
F 29 6.77 — — 1 12 12% 0 — —
Gaspar F 16 6.78 — — 1 3 1% 0 — —
Léo Gamalho F 24 6.55 — — 0 8 5% 0 — —
Paulo Vitor M 29 7.08 — — 0 9 8% 2 — —
Pedrão D 29 7.11 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Wallison D 16 6.94 — — 0 4 3% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Avai?
The final score was Cuiaba 0–1 Avai.
What did the model predict before Cuiaba vs Avai?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Cuiaba win, 24% to a draw, and 13% to an Avai win.