Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 21
August 09, 2026 23:00
Jean Dias
(ast. Eliel)
9'
(pen.)
54'
Mailton
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cuiaba a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Fortaleza EC 31%). The final result was Cuiaba 1–1 Fortaleza EC. In 1 previous meetings, Cuiaba have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fortaleza EC.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
2
2
Shots on target
1
1.42
Actual xG
0.97
0
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
2
Corners
3
9
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Jean Dias
· ast. Eliel
9'
17'
Pierre
H. Pedro
39'
42'
Luiz Fernando
Pepe
44'
46'
Paulo Baya
/
Luiz Fernando
46'
Rodrigo
/
Vitinho
Eliel
/ Kauan Cristtyan
46'
54'
(pen.)
Mailton⚽
63'
J. B. Miritello
65'
Mauricio Junior
/
G. Fuentes
65'
T. Cardona
/
Lucas Sasha
Pepe
/ Vinicius Peixoto
70'
Jean Dias
/ Marcos Junior
84'
Calebe Costa
/ Luiz Otavio
84'
87'
Ryan
/
Rodriguinho
Igor Inocencio
/ Rodrigo Rodrigues
89'
Pre-match prediction
39.7%
Cuiaba
29.11%
X ←
31.19%
Fortaleza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
1.42
+0.33
0.94
0.97
+0.03
Cuiaba dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.97).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
Marcelo Carné
G
Marcelo Carné
G
4
Vitor Mendes
D
Vitor Mendes
D
5
Calebe
84'
D
Calebe
84'
D
13
João Basso
D
João Basso
D
36
Lorenzo
M
Lorenzo
M
30
Raul
M
Raul
M
2
Igor Inocêncio
89'
M
Igor Inocêncio
89'
M
8
Pepê
70'
M
Pepê
70'
M
77
Jean Dias
1 ⚽
84'
F
Jean Dias
1 ⚽
84'
F
96
Pedro Henrique
F
Pedro Henrique
F
11
Eliel
1 👟
45'
F
Eliel
1 👟
45'
F
Bench
39
Guilherme Mansano
F
Guilherme Mansano
F
1
João Carlos
G
João Carlos
G
26
João Vitor
M
João Vitor
M
41
Kauan
51'
F
Kauan
51'
F
91
Luisão
D
Luisão
D
97
Luiz Otávio
12'
M
Luiz Otávio
12'
M
23
Marcos Júnior
12'
F
Marcos Júnior
12'
F
6
Marlon
D
Marlon
D
37
Railan
M
Railan
M
27
Rodrigo Farofa
7'
F
Rodrigo Farofa
7'
F
29
Vinicius Peixoto
26'
F
Vinicius Peixoto
26'
F
70
Wesley Dias
M
Wesley Dias
M
1
João Ricardo
G
João Ricardo
G
18
G. Fuentes
65'
D
G. Fuentes
65'
D
3
Lucas Gazal
D
Lucas Gazal
D
23
Neris
D
Neris
D
22
Maílton
1 ⚽
D
Maílton
1 ⚽
D
5
Pierre
M
Pierre
M
88
Lucas Sasha
65'
M
Lucas Sasha
65'
M
32
Luiz Fernando
45'
M
Luiz Fernando
45'
M
75
Rodriguinho
87'
M
Rodriguinho
87'
M
11
Vitinho
45'
M
Vitinho
45'
M
9
J. Miritello
63'
F
J. Miritello
63'
F
Bench
4
Luan
D
Luan
D
10
Lucas Crispim
M
Lucas Crispim
M
19
Lucas Emanoel
F
Lucas Emanoel
F
13
Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
31'
D
Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
31'
D
17
Nathan Fogaça
F
Nathan Fogaça
F
28
Paulinho
D
Paulinho
D
77
Paulo Baya
51'
F
Paulo Baya
51'
F
29
Rodrigo
51'
M
Rodrigo
51'
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
9'
M
Ryan Gustavo
9'
M
6
T. Cardona
31'
D
T. Cardona
31'
D
25
Vinícius Silvestre
G
Vinícius Silvestre
G
31
Welliton
F
Welliton
F
Best on the pitch
Jean Dias
F · Cuiaba
8.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
Lorenzo
M · Cuiaba
7.70
· 47 pass
Maílton
D · Fortaleza
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
João Basso
D · Cuiaba
7.20
· 70 pass
Kauan
F · Cuiaba
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
Vitor Mendes
D · Cuiaba
6.90
1 shots
· 51 pass
Cuiaba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Carné | G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Vitor Mendes | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Calebe | D | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | — | — | — |
| João Basso | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Raul | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Inocêncio | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Pepê | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jean Dias | F | 84 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | F | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Eliel | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Kauan | F | 51 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Otávio | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Júnior | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Farofa | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius Peixoto | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Ricardo | G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 13% | — | — | — |
| G. Fuentes | D | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Gazal | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Neris | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Maílton | D | 96 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Pierre | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Sasha | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Fernando | M | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Miritello | F | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | 1 |
| Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Baya | F | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Gustavo | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Cardona | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Fortaleza EC?
The final score was Cuiaba 1–1 Fortaleza EC.
What did the model predict before Cuiaba vs Fortaleza EC?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Cuiaba win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Fortaleza EC win.