Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 9
May 17, 2026 01:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cuiaba a 32% win probability (draw 37%, Novorizontino 30%). The final result was Cuiaba 0–0 Novorizontino.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
3
1.51
Actual xG
0.85
3
Saves
8
59%
Possession
41%
8
Corners
4
11
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
45'+1
Robson
Gabriel Knesowitsch
45'+3
Gabriel Knesowitsch
/ Y. Asad
46'
60'
Jordi
/
Cesar Augusto
60'
Tavinho
/
Romulo
Kauan Cristtyan
/ Mateus Santos
61'
David Miguel
66'
76'
Carlao
/
Robson
76'
Marlon
/
Matheus Bianqui
Rodrigo Rodrigues
/ Vinicius Peixoto
76'
Vinicius Peixoto
77'
85'
C. Ortiz
/
Juninho
90'+4
Maykon Jesus
Pre-match prediction
32.6%
Cuiaba
37.12%
X ←
30.28%
Novorizontino
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
37.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
1.51
+0.66
0.80
0.85
+0.05
Cuiaba dominated by xG (1.51 vs 0.85).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Marcelo Carné
G
Marcelo Carné
G
6
Marlon
D
Marlon
D
13
João Basso
D
João Basso
D
44
Gabriel Knesowitsch
45'
D
Gabriel Knesowitsch
45'
D
53
Weverson
M
Weverson
M
5
Calebe Costa
M
Calebe Costa
M
30
Raul
M
Raul
M
2
Nino Paraíba
M
Nino Paraíba
M
88
David Miguel
F
David Miguel
F
41
Kauan Cristtyan
61'
F
Kauan Cristtyan
61'
F
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
76'
F
Rodrigo Rodrigues
76'
F
Bench
1
João Carlos
G
João Carlos
G
91
Luisão
D
Luisão
D
19
Mateus Criciuma
29'
F
Mateus Criciuma
29'
F
99
Nathan Cruz
F
Nathan Cruz
F
37
Railan
M
Railan
M
17
Victor Hugo
M
Victor Hugo
M
29
Vinicius Peixoto
14'
F
Vinicius Peixoto
14'
F
7
Yamil Asad
45'
F
Yamil Asad
45'
F
31
César
60'
G
César
60'
G
66
Maykon Jesus
D
Maykon Jesus
D
4
Patrick
D
Patrick
D
3
Carlinhos
D
Carlinhos
D
20
Nilson Castrillón
D
Nilson Castrillón
D
18
Leo Naldi
M
Leo Naldi
M
50
Juninho
85'
M
Juninho
85'
M
16
Vinicius Paiva
M
Vinicius Paiva
M
10
Romulo
60'
M
Romulo
60'
M
17
Matheus Bianqui
76'
M
Matheus Bianqui
76'
M
11
Robson
76'
F
Robson
76'
F
Bench
21
Alemão
D
Alemão
D
22
Alexis Alvarino
M
Alexis Alvarino
M
9
Carlão
14'
F
Carlão
14'
F
8
Christian Ortíz
10'
F
Christian Ortíz
10'
F
19
Diego Galo
M
Diego Galo
M
77
Hélio Borges
F
Hélio Borges
F
93
Jordi
30'
G
Jordi
30'
G
28
Marlon
14'
M
Marlon
14'
M
33
Renato Silveira
D
Renato Silveira
D
7
Ronald Barcellos
F
Ronald Barcellos
F
15
Tavinho
30'
F
Tavinho
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Weverson
M · Cuiaba
8.00
· 34 pass
Carlinhos
D · Novorizontino
7.70
· 36 pass
César
G · Novorizontino
7.70
· 7 pass
Nilson Castrillón
D · Novorizontino
7.50
· 30 pass
Jordi
G · Novorizontino
7.30
· 17 pass
Marlon
D · Cuiaba
7.20
· 46 pass
Cuiaba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Carné | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Marlon | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| João Basso | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Knesowitsch | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Weverson | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Calebe Costa | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Raul | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Nino Paraíba | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| David Miguel | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kauan Cristtyan | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | F | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateus Criciuma | F | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius Peixoto | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Yamil Asad | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César | G | 60 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Maykon Jesus | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Patrick | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Carlinhos | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Nilson Castrillón | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Leo Naldi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Juninho | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius Paiva | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Romulo | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bianqui | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Robson | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlão | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Christian Ortíz | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jordi | G | 30 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Marlon | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Tavinho | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Novorizontino?
The final score was Cuiaba 0–0 Novorizontino.
What did the model predict before Cuiaba vs Novorizontino?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Cuiaba win, 37% to a draw, and 30% to an Novorizontino win.