Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 13 June 14, 2026 22:00

Cuiaba

#13 · 47 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Vila Nova

#3 · 63 pts

Calebe Costa 90'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cuiaba a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Vila Nova 30%). The final result was Cuiaba 1–0 Vila Nova. In 1 previous meetings, Cuiaba have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Vila Nova.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

2.04

Actual xG

0.60

51%

Possession

49%

5

Corners

2

Match Events

↕ Rodrigo Rodrigues / Kauan Cristtyan

46'

46'

Caio Marcelo / Tiago Pagnussat ↕

↕ Vinicius Peixoto / Mateus Santos

58'

↕ Luiz Otavio / Luis Soares

58'

66'

Emerson Urso / Janderson ↕

66'

Dellatorre / Andre Luis ↕

66'

Hayner / Dodo ↕

↕ Pepe / Victor Barbara

68'

↕ Raylan / Marcos Junior

84'

84'

Bruno Xavier / Ryan ↕

85'

Joao Vieira

⚽Calebe Costa

90'+2

Marcos Junior

90'+8

Pre-match prediction

39.53%

Cuiaba ←

29.66%

X

30.81%

Vila

we assigned to the actual result (Cuiaba) 39.53% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cuiaba

1.21

2.04

+0.83

Vila

1.08

0.60

-0.48

Cuiaba dominated by xG (2.04 vs 0.60). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Novorizontino	36	67
2	Juventude	36	65
3	Vila Nova	36	63
4	Criciuma	36	62
5	Fortaleza EC	36	62
6	CRB	36	55
7	Goias	36	55
8	Atletico Goianiense	36	55
9	Sport Recife	37	55
10	Operario-PR	37	54
11	São Bernardo	36	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	51
13	Cuiaba	36	47
14	Athletic Club	36	47
15	Nautico Recife	36	46
16	Ceara	36	43
17	Avai	36	37
18	Londrina	37	32
19	America Mineiro	36	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	15