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Curaçao - Panama

CONCACAF Nations League November 09, 2026 22:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
61.22%
Win
Curaçao
23.99%
Draw
14.79%
Win
Panama
1.56
Expected xG
0.56
Most likely outcome
Curaçao
61.22%
Probability
83.3%
1X2 accuracy · 24 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (19.33%)
1X2 Result ✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1 61%
X 24%
2 15%
Double Chance ✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X 85%
X2 39%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 35%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Curaçao a 61% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Panama. Expected goals are 1.6 for Curaçao and 0.6 for Panama (total 2.1), with a 67% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.33% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Curaçao Panama →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1% 6.7% 1.9% 0.3% — —
1 18.8% 10.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 14.7% 8.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 7.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% — —
4 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

D Trinidad and Tobago 1–1
W Trinidad and Tobago 1–0
W Nicaragua 6–1
W Costa Rica 3–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Curaçao Curaçao
Attack
57
Defence
65
Form
59
Panama Panama
Attack
32
Defence
66
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Curaçao vs Panama?
The model gives Curaçao a 61% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 14% for an Panama win.
How many goals are expected in Curaçao vs Panama?
Expected goals: Curaçao 1.6, Panama 0.6 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 67%.
What is the most likely score in Curaçao vs Panama?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.33%.