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Liga 1 · Clausura - 1 July 19, 2026 01:30 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Cusco
#5 · 45 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Alianza Atletico
#4 · 19 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cusco
J. Manzaneda (ast. L. Colitto) 21'
I. Colman (ast. F. Callejo) 33'
F. Callejo (ast. I. Colman) 81'
N. Silva (ast. F. Callejo) 84'
58' C. Penilla
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cusco a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Alianza Atletico 21%). The final result was Cusco 4–1 Alianza Atletico. In 1 previous meetings, Cusco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alianza Atletico.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
6
5
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
2
12
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Manzaneda · ast. L. Colitto
21'
J. Manzaneda
30'
30'
W. Guzman
⚽I. Colman · ast. F. Callejo
33'
46'
F. Flores / J. Perez ↕
46'
C. Penilla / H. Lupu ↕
46'
J. Ingratti / G. A. Larios Saavedra ↕
58'
C. Penilla⚽
↕ J. Manzaneda / Miguel Silveira
59'
↕ C. Diez / O. Valenzuela
71'
↕ L. Colitto / N. Silva
71'
79'
J. Molina / A. Munoz ↕
⚽F. Callejo · ast. I. Colman
81'
⚽N. Silva · ast. F. Callejo
84'
↕ I. Colman / J. Tevez
86'
↕ D. Soto / C. Gamarra
86'
87'
R. Suarez / J. del Castillo ↕
Pre-match prediction
55.17%
Cusco ←
23.72%
X
21.11%
Alianza
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cusco) 55.17% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cusco
1.63
—
—
Alianza
0.85
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 27 56
2 Universitario Universitario 27 49
3 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 27 48
4 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 27 46
5 Cusco Cusco 27 45
6 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 26 41
7 Cienciano Cienciano 26 40
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 27 40
9 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 27 38
10 Sport Boys Sport Boys 27 38
11 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 27 35
12 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 27 34
13 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 27 32
14 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 27 30
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 27 27
16 ADT ADT 27 25
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 27 25
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 27 15
Lineups
Cusco Cusco 4-2-3-1
28 P. Díaz P. Díaz G 6.20
3 R. Lagos R. Lagos D 6.50
6 Á. Ampuero Á. Ampuero D 7.20
8 A. Fuentes A. Fuentes D 7.30
21 J. Zevallos J. Zevallos D 7.20
88 D. Soto D. Soto 86' M 6.90
14 C. Diez C. Diez 71' M 6.30
7 J. Manzaneda J. Manzaneda 1 ⚽ 59' M 7.90
10 I. Colman I. Colman 1 ⚽ 1 👟 86' M 9.70
22 L. Colitto L. Colitto 1 👟 71' M 7.20
9 F. Callejo F. Callejo 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 9.00
Bench
13 A. Vidal A. Vidal G
2 C. Gamarra C. Gamarra 9' D 6.30
37 Gu-rum Choi Gu-rum Choi D
15 J. Bolívar J. Bolívar D
55 J. Montaño J. Montaño M
11 J. Tévez J. Tévez 9' F 6.20
99 Miguel Silveira Miguel Silveira 31' M 6.60
26 N. Silva N. Silva 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.20
16 O. Valenzuela O. Valenzuela 19' M 6.60
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4-3-3
31 S. Rivadeneyra S. Rivadeneyra G 5.90
24 A. Gordillo A. Gordillo D 5.30
6 J. Luján J. Luján D 6.50
25 W. Guzmán W. Guzmán D 6.60
21 Erick Perleche Erick Perleche D 5.90
20 Jimmy Pérez Jimmy Pérez 45' M 6.20
10 Germán Díaz Germán Díaz M 6.70
15 H. Lupú H. Lupú 45' M 6.20
22 J. del Castillo J. del Castillo 87' F 6.60
11 G. Larios G. Larios 45' F 6.30
23 A. Muñoz A. Muñoz 79' F 7.00
Bench
17 C. Penilla C. Penilla 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.70
77 C. Valladolid C. Valladolid F
95 D. Prieto D. Prieto G
8 F. Flores F. Flores 45' M 6.70
27 J. Ingratti J. Ingratti 45' F 6.30
19 J. Mendieta J. Mendieta D
29 J. Molina J. Molina 11' F 6.30
99 Mariano Barreda Mariano Barreda F
2 R. Suarez R. Suarez 8' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
I. Colman
I. Colman
M · Cusco
9.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 75 pass
F. Callejo
F. Callejo
F · Cusco
9.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
6 shots · 15 pass
J. Manzaneda
J. Manzaneda
M · Cusco
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
C. Penilla
C. Penilla
M · Alianza
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
A. Fuentes
A. Fuentes
D · Cusco
7.30
· 76 pass
N. Silva
N. Silva
F · Cusco
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Cusco Cusco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Díaz G 90 6.20 — — — 37 31% — — —
R. Lagos D 90 6.50 — — 1 23 18% 3 — —
Á. Ampuero D 90 7.20 — — 1 67 59% — — —
A. Fuentes D 90 7.30 — — — 76 69% 1 — —
J. Zevallos D 90 7.20 — — — 44 43% 2 — —
D. Soto M 86 6.90 — — — 64 58% 1 — —
C. Diez M 71 6.30 — — — 27 25% 2 — —
J. Manzaneda M 59 7.90 1 — 2 17 14% 1 1 —
I. Colman M 86 9.70 1 1 2 75 61% — — —
L. Colitto M 71 7.20 — 1 1 27 19% 1 — —
F. Callejo F 90 9.00 1 2 6 15 13% — — —
C. Gamarra D 9 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
J. Tévez F 9 6.20 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Miguel Silveira M 31 6.60 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
N. Silva F 19 7.20 1 — 1 12 11% — — —
O. Valenzuela M 19 6.60 — — — 16 14% — — —
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Rivadeneyra G 90 5.90 — — — 20 13% — — —
A. Gordillo D 90 5.30 — — — 22 16% — — —
J. Luján D 90 6.50 — — 1 29 23% 1 — —
W. Guzmán D 90 6.60 — — — 47 38% 2 1 —
Erick Perleche D 90 5.90 — — — 35 31% 3 — —
Jimmy Pérez M 45 6.20 — — — 33 30% — — —
Germán Díaz M 90 6.70 — — — 75 58% — — —
H. Lupú M 45 6.20 — — — 15 12% — — —
J. del Castillo F 87 6.60 — — 3 25 22% 1 — —
G. Larios F 45 6.30 — — 1 4 3% — — —
A. Muñoz F 79 7.00 — — — 33 28% 2 — —
C. Penilla M 45 7.70 1 — 4 10 7% — — —
F. Flores M 45 6.70 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
J. Ingratti F 45 6.30 — — — 9 9% 1 — —
J. Molina F 11 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
R. Suarez D 8 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cusco vs Alianza Atletico?
The final score was Cusco 4–1 Alianza Atletico.
What did the model predict before Cusco vs Alianza Atletico?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Cusco win, 23% to a draw, and 21% to an Alianza Atletico win.