✓Model correct — prediction Cusco
J. Manzaneda
(ast. L. Colitto)
21'
I. Colman
(ast. F. Callejo)
33'
F. Callejo
(ast. I. Colman)
81'
N. Silva
(ast. F. Callejo)
84'
58'
C. Penilla
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cusco a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Alianza Atletico 21%). The final result was Cusco 4–1 Alianza Atletico. In 1 previous meetings, Cusco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alianza Atletico.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
6
5
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
2
12
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Manzaneda
· ast. L. Colitto
21'
J. Manzaneda
30'
30'
W. Guzman
⚽I. Colman
· ast. F. Callejo
33'
46'
F. Flores
/
J. Perez
46'
C. Penilla
/
H. Lupu
46'
J. Ingratti
/
G. A. Larios Saavedra
58'
C. Penilla⚽
J. Manzaneda
/ Miguel Silveira
59'
C. Diez
/ O. Valenzuela
71'
L. Colitto
/ N. Silva
71'
79'
J. Molina
/
A. Munoz
⚽F. Callejo
· ast. I. Colman
81'
⚽N. Silva
· ast. F. Callejo
84'
I. Colman
/ J. Tevez
86'
D. Soto
/ C. Gamarra
86'
87'
R. Suarez
/
J. del Castillo
Pre-match prediction
55.17%
Cusco ←
23.72%
X
21.11%
Alianza
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cusco)
55.17%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
—
—
0.85
—
—
Lineups
28
Pedro Diaz
G
Pedro Diaz
G
3
R. Lagos
D
R. Lagos
D
6
Alvaro Ampuero
D
Alvaro Ampuero
D
8
A. Fuentes
D
A. Fuentes
D
21
José Zevallos
D
José Zevallos
D
88
Diego Soto
86'
M
Diego Soto
86'
M
14
Carlo Diez
71'
M
Carlo Diez
71'
M
7
J. Manzaneda
1 ⚽
59'
M
J. Manzaneda
1 ⚽
59'
M
10
Iván Colman
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
M
Iván Colman
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
M
22
Lucas Colitto
1 👟
71'
M
Lucas Colitto
1 👟
71'
M
9
F. Callejo
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
F. Callejo
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
Bench
13
Andy Vidal
G
Andy Vidal
G
2
Carlos Gamarra
9'
D
Carlos Gamarra
9'
D
37
Gu-rum Choi
D
Gu-rum Choi
D
55
Jean Carlos Montaño
M
Jean Carlos Montaño
M
15
Jose Bolivar
D
Jose Bolivar
D
11
Juan Tévez
9'
F
Juan Tévez
9'
F
99
Miguel Silveira
31'
M
Miguel Silveira
31'
M
26
Nicolás Silva
1 ⚽
19'
F
Nicolás Silva
1 ⚽
19'
F
16
Oswaldo Valenzuela
19'
M
Oswaldo Valenzuela
19'
M
31
Steven Rivadeneyra
G
Steven Rivadeneyra
G
24
Anthony Gordillo
D
Anthony Gordillo
D
6
José Luján
D
José Luján
D
25
Williams Guzmán
D
Williams Guzmán
D
21
E. Perleche
D
E. Perleche
D
20
Jimmy Pérez
45'
M
Jimmy Pérez
45'
M
10
German Diaz
M
German Diaz
M
15
Hernan Lupú
45'
M
Hernan Lupú
45'
M
22
Jorge del Castillo
87'
F
Jorge del Castillo
87'
F
11
Guillermo Larios
45'
F
Guillermo Larios
45'
F
23
Ariel Muñoz
79'
F
Ariel Muñoz
79'
F
Bench
77
Christian Valladolid
F
Christian Valladolid
F
17
Cristian Penilla
1 ⚽
45'
M
Cristian Penilla
1 ⚽
45'
M
95
Daniel Prieto
G
Daniel Prieto
G
8
Franchesco Flores
45'
M
Franchesco Flores
45'
M
29
Jairo Molina
11'
F
Jairo Molina
11'
F
19
Jesus Mendieta
D
Jesus Mendieta
D
27
José Ingratti
45'
F
José Ingratti
45'
F
99
Mariano Barreda
F
Mariano Barreda
F
2
Román Suárez
8'
D
Román Suárez
8'
D
Best on the pitch
Iván Colman
M · Cusco
9.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 75 pass
F. Callejo
F · Cusco
9.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
6 shots
· 15 pass
J. Manzaneda
M · Cusco
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Cristian Penilla
M · Alianza
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 10 pass
A. Fuentes
D · Cusco
7.30
· 76 pass
Nicolás Silva
F · Cusco
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Diaz | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| R. Lagos | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Alvaro Ampuero | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 59% | — | — | — |
| A. Fuentes | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| José Zevallos | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Soto | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlo Diez | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Manzaneda | M | 59 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Iván Colman | M | 86 | 9.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Colitto | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Callejo | F | 90 | 9.00 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Gamarra | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Juan Tévez | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Silveira | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Silva | F | 19 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Oswaldo Valenzuela | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Rivadeneyra | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Gordillo | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| José Luján | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Williams Guzmán | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Perleche | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| German Diaz | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 75 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Hernan Lupú | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jorge del Castillo | F | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Guillermo Larios | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ariel Muñoz | F | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Penilla | M | 45 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Franchesco Flores | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Jairo Molina | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| José Ingratti | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Román Suárez | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cusco vs Alianza Atletico?
The final score was Cusco 4–1 Alianza Atletico.
What did the model predict before Cusco vs Alianza Atletico?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Cusco win, 23% to a draw, and 21% to an Alianza Atletico win.