Diego Soto
(ast. Ricardo Lagos)
56'
38'
(ast. Fernando Gaibor)
Mateo Antoni Pavon
(og)
75'
Alvaro Ampuero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cusco a 45% win probability (draw 22%, Alianza Lima 32%). The final result was Cusco 1–2 Alianza Lima. In 1 previous meetings, Cusco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alianza Lima.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
4
0.27
Actual xG
0.84
3
Saves
0
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
2
12
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
38'
ast. Fernando Gaibor ·
Mateo Antoni Pavon⚽
45'+4
45'+5
Jairo Vélez
Aldair Fuentes
45'+5
José Manzaneda
/ Marlon Ruidías
45'
Carlos Diez
/ Diego Soto
45'
Nicolás Silva
/ Alvaro Ampuero
45'
⚽Diego Soto
· ast. Ricardo Lagos
56'
60'
Jesús Castillo
/
Gianfranco Chavez
60'
Federico Girotti
/
Kevin Quevedo
73'
Cristian Neira
/
Fernando Gaibor
José Zevallos
/ Lucas Colitto
73'
Ivan Colman
/ Miguel Silveira
73'
75'
(og)
Alvaro Ampuero⚽
86'
Nicolás Díaz
/
Jairo Vélez
86'
Cristian Carbajal
/
Erick Castillo
Pre-match prediction
45.2%
Cusco
22.19%
X
32.6%
Alianza ←
we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Lima)
32.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
0.27
-1.67
1.60
0.84
-0.76
Alianza Lima dominated by xG (0.84 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
P. Díaz
G
P. Díaz
G
3
R. Lagos
1 👟
D
R. Lagos
1 👟
D
2
C. Gamarra
D
C. Gamarra
D
8
A. Fuentes
45'
D
A. Fuentes
45'
D
21
J. Zevallos
73'
D
J. Zevallos
73'
D
55
J. Montaño
M
J. Montaño
M
7
J. Manzaneda
45'
M
J. Manzaneda
45'
M
10
I. Colman
73'
M
I. Colman
73'
M
14
C. Diez
45'
M
C. Diez
45'
M
26
N. Silva
45'
M
N. Silva
45'
M
9
F. Callejo
F
F. Callejo
F
Bench
6
Á. Ampuero
1 ⚽
45'
D
Á. Ampuero
1 ⚽
45'
D
13
A. Vidal
G
A. Vidal
G
88
D. Soto
1 ⚽
45'
M
D. Soto
1 ⚽
45'
M
77
J. Herrera
M
J. Herrera
M
11
J. Tévez
F
J. Tévez
F
22
L. Colitto
17'
M
L. Colitto
17'
M
99
Miguel Silveira
17'
M
Miguel Silveira
17'
M
24
M. Ruidías
45'
D
M. Ruidías
45'
D
16
O. Valenzuela
M
O. Valenzuela
M
1
A. Duarte
G
A. Duarte
G
13
M. Huamán
D
M. Huamán
D
3
M. Antoni
1 ⚽
D
M. Antoni
1 ⚽
D
6
R. Garcés
D
R. Garcés
D
17
L. Advíncula
D
L. Advíncula
D
20
J. Vélez
86'
M
J. Vélez
86'
M
7
F. Gaibor
1 👟
73'
M
F. Gaibor
1 👟
73'
M
4
G. Chávez
60'
M
G. Chávez
60'
M
25
G. Gentile
M
G. Gentile
M
8
E. Castillo
86'
F
E. Castillo
86'
F
27
K. Quevedo
60'
F
K. Quevedo
60'
F
Bench
12
Á. de la Cruz
G
Á. de la Cruz
G
31
C. Carbajal
4'
D
C. Carbajal
4'
D
22
C. Neira
17'
M
C. Neira
17'
M
14
D´Alessandro Montenegro
D
D´Alessandro Montenegro
D
99
F. Girotti
30'
F
F. Girotti
30'
F
29
J. Archimbaud
M
J. Archimbaud
M
15
J. Castillo
30'
M
J. Castillo
30'
M
9
L. Ramos
F
L. Ramos
F
2
N. Díaz
4'
D
N. Díaz
4'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Antoni
D · Alianza
7.96
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 46 pass
F. Gaibor
M · Alianza
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 40 pass
D. Soto
M · Cusco
7.62
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
L. Advíncula
D · Alianza
7.35
2 shots
· 42 pass
R. Garcés
D · Alianza
7.10
· 36 pass
R. Lagos
D · Cusco
7.06
1 👟
2 shots
· 68 pass
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Díaz | G | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Lagos | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | 1 | 2 | 68 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Gamarra | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Fuentes | D | 45 | 5.16 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | 1 |
| J. Zevallos | D | 73 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Montaño | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Manzaneda | M | 45 | 5.93 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Colman | M | 73 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Diez | M | 45 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Silva | M | 45 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Callejo | F | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Ampuero | D | 45 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Soto | M | 45 | 7.62 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Colitto | M | 17 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Miguel Silveira | M | 17 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ruidías | D | 45 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
Alianza Lima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Duarte | G | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Huamán | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Antoni | D | 90 | 7.96 | 1 | — | 2 | 46 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Garcés | D | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Advíncula | D | 90 | 7.35 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Vélez | M | 86 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Gaibor | M | 73 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Chávez | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Gentile | M | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Castillo | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Quevedo | F | 60 | 6.71 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Carbajal | D | 4 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Neira | M | 17 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Girotti | F | 30 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Castillo | M | 30 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Díaz | D | 4 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cusco vs Alianza Lima?
The final score was Cusco 1–2 Alianza Lima.
What did the model predict before Cusco vs Alianza Lima?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Cusco win, 22% to a draw, and 32% to an Alianza Lima win.