Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 04:00
G. Choi
(ast. I. Colman)
78'
A. Fuentes
(ast. L. Colitto)
90'+4
13'
(ast. Yony Gonzalez)
F. Fydriszewski
90'+1
(ast. F. Chaverra)
B. Perlaza
90'+7
(ast. H. Loboa)
A. Serna
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cusco a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 31%). The final result was Cusco 2–3 Independiente Medellin. In 1 previous meetings, Cusco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente Medellin.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
5
1.30
Actual xG
2.03
2
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
9
Corners
2
8
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
13'
ast. Yony Gonzalez ·
F. Fydriszewski⚽
D. Soto
/ Herrera Joel
46'
J. Bolivar
/ M. Ruidias
46'
51'
J. Ortiz
G. Choi
55'
60'
F. Fydriszewski
63'
A. Serna
/
D. Catano
67'
A. Serna
J. Manzaneda
/ N. Silva
70'
O. Valenzuela
/ G. Carabajal
71'
J. Zevallos
/ J. D. Ali Gutierrez
76'
78'
H. Palacios
/
F. Fydriszewski
78'
B. Perlaza
/
D. Moreno
⚽G. Choi
· ast. I. Colman
78'
88'
F. Chaverra
/
F. Fabra
89'
L. Escorcia
/
Yony Gonzalez
90'+1
ast. F. Chaverra ·
B. Perlaza⚽
⚽A. Fuentes
· ast. L. Colitto
90'+4
90'+7
ast. H. Loboa ·
A. Serna⚽
Pre-match prediction
38.09%
Cusco
30.62%
X
31.29%
Independiente ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
31.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
1.30
+0.3
0.88
2.03
+1.15
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (2.03 vs 1.30).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
P. Díaz
G
P. Díaz
G
15
J. Bolívar
45'
D
J. Bolívar
45'
D
37
Gu-rum Choi
1 ⚽
D
Gu-rum Choi
1 ⚽
D
8
A. Fuentes
1 ⚽
D
A. Fuentes
1 ⚽
D
21
J. Zevallos
76'
D
J. Zevallos
76'
D
16
O. Valenzuela
71'
M
O. Valenzuela
71'
M
7
J. Manzaneda
70'
M
J. Manzaneda
70'
M
88
D. Soto
45'
M
D. Soto
45'
M
10
I. Colman
1 👟
M
I. Colman
1 👟
M
22
L. Colitto
1 👟
M
L. Colitto
1 👟
M
11
J. Tévez
F
J. Tévez
F
Bench
6
Á. Ampuero
D
Á. Ampuero
D
13
A. Vidal
G
A. Vidal
G
14
C. Diez
M
C. Diez
M
2
C. Gamarra
D
C. Gamarra
D
27
Gabriel Carabajal
26'
M
Gabriel Carabajal
26'
M
77
J. Herrera
52'
M
J. Herrera
52'
M
17
José Alí Gutiérrez
21'
M
José Alí Gutiérrez
21'
M
32
Julinho Astudillo
D
Julinho Astudillo
D
24
M. Ruidías
52'
D
M. Ruidías
52'
D
26
N. Silva
27'
F
N. Silva
27'
F
1
Rodolfo Anderson
G
30
Sergio Quillahuaman
M
Sergio Quillahuaman
M
25
E. Chaux
G
E. Chaux
G
33
D. Londoño
D
D. Londoño
D
24
José Ortiz
D
José Ortiz
D
2
L. Chaverra
D
L. Chaverra
D
18
F. Fabra
88'
M
F. Fabra
88'
M
6
D. Moreno
78'
M
D. Moreno
78'
M
16
H. Loboa
1 👟
M
H. Loboa
1 👟
M
26
E. Mena
M
E. Mena
M
10
Daniel Cataño
63'
F
Daniel Cataño
63'
F
19
F. Fydriszewski
1 ⚽
78'
F
F. Fydriszewski
1 ⚽
78'
F
11
Y. González
1 👟
89'
F
Y. González
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
45
Alan Valdelamar
D
Alan Valdelamar
D
8
Alexis Serna
1 ⚽
34'
M
Alexis Serna
1 ⚽
34'
M
28
Andrés Dávila
F
Andrés Dávila
F
14
B. Perlaza
1 ⚽
19'
M
B. Perlaza
1 ⚽
19'
M
13
F. Chaverra
1 👟
9'
M
F. Chaverra
1 👟
9'
M
30
H. Palacios
19'
D
H. Palacios
19'
D
20
J. Montaño
F
J. Montaño
F
88
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
5
L. Escorcia
8'
D
L. Escorcia
8'
D
23
Málcom Palacios
D
Málcom Palacios
D
1
S. Ichazo
G
S. Ichazo
G
Best on the pitch
A. Fuentes
D · Cusco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
F. Fydriszewski
F · Independiente
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Y. González
F · Independiente
7.30
1 👟
· 21 pass
I. Colman
M · Cusco
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 75 pass
B. Perlaza
M · Independiente
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Daniel Cataño
F · Independiente
7.20
· 27 pass
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Díaz | G | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Bolívar | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Gu-rum Choi | D | 97 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Fuentes | D | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Zevallos | D | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Valenzuela | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| J. Manzaneda | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D. Soto | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Colman | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 75 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Colitto | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tévez | F | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Carabajal | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Herrera | M | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| José Alí Gutiérrez | M | 21 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Ruidías | D | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| N. Silva | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Chaux | G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Londoño | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| José Ortiz | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Chaverra | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Fabra | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Loboa | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 29 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Mena | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Cataño | F | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Fydriszewski | F | 78 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Y. González | F | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Serna | M | 34 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Perlaza | M | 19 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Chaverra | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Escorcia | D | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cusco vs Independiente Medellin?
The final score was Cusco 2–3 Independiente Medellin.
What did the model predict before Cusco vs Independiente Medellin?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Cusco win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Independiente Medellin win.