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Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 5 May 21, 2026 04:00
Cusco
#4 · 1 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Independiente Medellin
#3 · 7 pts
G. Choi (ast. I. Colman) 78'
A. Fuentes (ast. L. Colitto) 90'+4
13' (ast. Yony Gonzalez) F. Fydriszewski
90'+1 (ast. F. Chaverra) B. Perlaza
90'+7 (ast. H. Loboa) A. Serna
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cusco a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 31%). The final result was Cusco 2–3 Independiente Medellin. In 1 previous meetings, Cusco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente Medellin.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
5
1.30
Actual xG
2.03
2
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
9
Corners
2
8
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
13'
ast. Yony Gonzalez · F. Fydriszewski⚽
↕ D. Soto / Herrera Joel
46'
↕ J. Bolivar / M. Ruidias
46'
51'
J. Ortiz
G. Choi
55'
60'
F. Fydriszewski
63'
A. Serna / D. Catano ↕
67'
A. Serna
↕ J. Manzaneda / N. Silva
70'
↕ O. Valenzuela / G. Carabajal
71'
↕ J. Zevallos / J. D. Ali Gutierrez
76'
78'
H. Palacios / F. Fydriszewski ↕
78'
B. Perlaza / D. Moreno ↕
⚽G. Choi · ast. I. Colman
78'
88'
F. Chaverra / F. Fabra ↕
89'
L. Escorcia / Yony Gonzalez ↕
90'+1
ast. F. Chaverra · B. Perlaza⚽
⚽A. Fuentes · ast. L. Colitto
90'+4
90'+7
ast. H. Loboa · A. Serna⚽
Pre-match prediction
38.09%
Cusco
30.62%
X
31.29%
Independiente ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 31.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cusco
1.00
1.30
+0.3
Independiente
0.88
2.03
+1.15
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (2.03 vs 1.30). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 6 16
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 6 9
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 6 7
4 Cusco Cusco 6 1
Lineups
Cusco Cusco 4-1-4-1
28 Pedro Diaz Pedro Diaz G 6.00
15 Jose Bolivar Jose Bolivar 45' D 6.50
37 Gu-rum Choi Gu-rum Choi 1 ⚽ D 6.90
8 A. Fuentes A. Fuentes 1 ⚽ D 7.90
21 J. Zevallos J. Zevallos 76' D 6.50
16 Oswaldo Valenzuela Oswaldo Valenzuela 71' M 6.70
7 J. Manzaneda J. Manzaneda 70' M 6.30
88 Diego Soto Diego Soto 45' M 7.20
10 Iván Colman Iván Colman 1 👟 M 7.30
22 Lucas Colitto Lucas Colitto 1 👟 M 6.60
11 Juan Tévez Juan Tévez F 6.20
Bench
6 Alvaro Ampuero Alvaro Ampuero D
13 Andy Vidal Andy Vidal G
14 Carlo Diez Carlo Diez M
2 Carlos Gamarra Carlos Gamarra D
27 Gabriel Carabajal Gabriel Carabajal 26' M 6.30
77 Joel Herrera Joel Herrera 52' M 6.20
17 José Alí Gutiérrez José Alí Gutiérrez 21' M 5.90
32 Julinho Astudillo Julinho Astudillo D
24 Marlon Ruidías Marlon Ruidías 52' D 6.20
26 Nicolás Silva Nicolás Silva 27' F 6.70
1 Rodolfo Anderson Rodolfo Anderson G
30 Sergio Quillahuaman Sergio Quillahuaman M
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-4-3
25 Eder Chaux Eder Chaux G 7.00
33 Daniel Londoño Daniel Londoño D 6.20
24 José Ortiz José Ortiz D 6.30
2 Léyser Chaverra Léyser Chaverra D 6.20
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra 88' M 6.70
6 Didier Moreno Didier Moreno 78' M 6.20
16 Halam Loboa Halam Loboa 1 👟 M 7.00
26 Esneyder Mena Esneyder Mena M 6.90
10 Daniel Cataño Daniel Cataño 63' F 7.20
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.70
11 Y. González Y. González 1 👟 89' F 7.30
Bench
45 Alan Valdelamar Alan Valdelamar D
8 Alexis Serna Alexis Serna 1 ⚽ 34' M 6.30
28 Andrés Dávila Andrés Dávila F
14 Baldomero Perlaza Baldomero Perlaza 1 ⚽ 19' M 7.30
13 F. Chaverra F. Chaverra 1 👟 9' M 6.60
30 Hayen Palacios Hayen Palacios 19' D 6.30
20 John Edwin Montaño John Edwin Montaño F
88 Juan Viveros Juan Viveros D
5 Luis Escorcia Luis Escorcia 8' D 6.20
23 Málcom Palacios Málcom Palacios D
1 Salvador Ichazo Salvador Ichazo G
Best on the pitch
A. Fuentes
A. Fuentes
D · Cusco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
F. Fydriszewski
F. Fydriszewski
F · Independiente
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
Y. González
Y. González
F · Independiente
7.30
1 👟
· 21 pass
Iván Colman
Iván Colman
M · Cusco
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 75 pass
Baldomero Perlaza
Baldomero Perlaza
M · Independiente
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
Daniel Cataño
Daniel Cataño
F · Independiente
7.20
· 27 pass
Cusco Cusco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Diaz G 97 6.00 — — — 22 20% — — —
Jose Bolivar D 45 6.50 — — — 23 19% — — —
Gu-rum Choi D 97 6.90 1 — 1 36 34% 1 1 —
A. Fuentes D 97 7.90 1 — 1 41 38% 1 — —
J. Zevallos D 76 6.50 — — — 38 33% 1 — —
Oswaldo Valenzuela M 71 6.70 — — — 37 33% — — —
J. Manzaneda M 70 6.30 — — 2 31 25% — — —
Diego Soto M 45 7.20 — — — 30 28% 3 — —
Iván Colman M 97 7.30 — 1 1 75 66% 1 — —
Lucas Colitto M 97 6.60 — 1 1 31 27% 1 — —
Juan Tévez F 97 6.20 — — 2 5 5% — — —
Gabriel Carabajal M 26 6.30 — — — 16 13% — — —
Joel Herrera M 52 6.20 — — 1 10 8% — — —
José Alí Gutiérrez M 21 5.90 — — — 4 4% — — —
Marlon Ruidías D 52 6.20 — — 1 18 18% — — —
Nicolás Silva F 27 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Eder Chaux G 97 7.00 — — — 27 15% — — —
Daniel Londoño D 97 6.20 — — — 26 19% — — —
José Ortiz D 97 6.30 — — — 19 18% 1 1 —
Léyser Chaverra D 97 6.20 — — — 27 21% 1 — —
F. Fabra M 88 6.70 — — 1 16 13% — — —
Didier Moreno M 78 6.20 — — — 17 10% 2 — —
Halam Loboa M 97 7.00 — 1 2 29 26% 3 — —
Esneyder Mena M 97 6.90 — — — 27 23% 2 — —
Daniel Cataño F 63 7.20 — — — 27 23% 3 — —
F. Fydriszewski F 78 7.70 1 — 2 15 10% — 1 —
Y. González F 89 7.30 — 1 — 21 20% — — —
Alexis Serna M 34 6.30 1 — 1 4 3% 2 1 —
Baldomero Perlaza M 19 7.30 1 — 1 2 1% 1 — —
F. Chaverra M 9 6.60 — 1 1 2 2% — — —
Hayen Palacios D 19 6.30 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Luis Escorcia D 8 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cusco vs Independiente Medellin?
The final score was Cusco 2–3 Independiente Medellin.
What did the model predict before Cusco vs Independiente Medellin?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Cusco win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Independiente Medellin win.