✓Model correct — prediction Cusco
I. Colman
32'
(pen.)
F. Callejo
(ast. J. Zevallos)
61'
F. Callejo
(ast. C. Montano)
67'
L. Colitto
(ast. J. Manzaneda)
70'
71'
(ast. D. Camacho)
A. Munoz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cusco a 68% win probability (draw 18%, UTC Cajamarca 12%). The final result was Cusco 4–1 UTC Cajamarca. In 1 previous meetings, Cusco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for UTC Cajamarca.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
1
Corners
3
7
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
D. Soto
23'
28'
B. Duarte
⚽I. Colman
(pen.)
32'
33'
A. Munoz
60'
L. Arce
/
D. Dioses
⚽F. Callejo
· ast. J. Zevallos
61'
D. Soto
/ C. Diez
62'
Miguel Silveira
/ J. Manzaneda
62'
64'
A. Figuera
⚽F. Callejo
· ast. C. Montano
67'
⚽L. Colitto
· ast. J. Manzaneda
70'
71'
J. Nunez
/
G. Paredes
71'
ast. D. Camacho ·
A. Munoz⚽
C. Montano
/ O. Valenzuela
79'
L. Colitto
/ N. Silva
79'
83'
B. Duarte
83'
B. Duarte
90'+1
M. de Jesus
/
M. Lliuya
90'+1
F. Cavagna
/
A. Munoz
⚽F. Callejo
(missed pen.)
90'
I. Colman
/ Herrera Joel
90'
Pre-match prediction
68.3%
Cusco ←
18.77%
X
12.93%
UTC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cusco)
68.3%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.97
—
—
0.44
—
—
Lineups
28
Pedro Diaz
G
Pedro Diaz
G
3
Ricardo Lagos
D
Ricardo Lagos
D
6
Alvaro Ampuero
D
Alvaro Ampuero
D
8
Aldair Fuentes
D
Aldair Fuentes
D
21
José Zevallos
1 👟
D
José Zevallos
1 👟
D
55
Jean Carlos Montaño
1 👟
79'
M
Jean Carlos Montaño
1 👟
79'
M
99
Miguel Silveira
62'
M
Miguel Silveira
62'
M
10
Iván Colman
1 ⚽
89'
M
Iván Colman
1 ⚽
89'
M
88
Diego Soto
62'
M
Diego Soto
62'
M
22
Lucas Colitto
1 ⚽
79'
M
Lucas Colitto
1 ⚽
79'
M
9
Facundo Callejo
2 ⚽
F
Facundo Callejo
2 ⚽
F
Bench
13
Andy Vidal
G
Andy Vidal
G
14
Carlo Diez
28'
M
Carlo Diez
28'
M
2
Carlos Gamarra
D
Carlos Gamarra
D
77
Joel Herrera
1'
M
Joel Herrera
1'
M
15
Jose Bolivar
D
Jose Bolivar
D
7
José Miguel Manzaneda
1 👟
28'
F
José Miguel Manzaneda
1 👟
28'
F
11
Juan Tévez
F
Juan Tévez
F
26
Nicolás Silva
11'
F
Nicolás Silva
11'
F
16
Oswaldo Valenzuela
11'
M
Oswaldo Valenzuela
11'
M
29
Ignacio Barrios
G
Ignacio Barrios
G
13
Dylan Caro
D
Dylan Caro
D
2
Bruno Duarte
83'
D
Bruno Duarte
83'
D
3
Manuel Ganoza
D
Manuel Ganoza
D
17
Luis Garro
D
Luis Garro
D
8
David Dioses
60'
M
David Dioses
60'
M
16
Arquímedes Figuera
M
Arquímedes Figuera
M
19
Adolfo Muñoz
1 ⚽
89'
M
Adolfo Muñoz
1 ⚽
89'
M
35
Gilmar Paredes
71'
M
Gilmar Paredes
71'
M
22
David Camacho
1 👟
M
David Camacho
1 👟
M
10
Marcos Lliuya
89'
F
Marcos Lliuya
89'
F
Bench
11
Abdiel Arroyo
F
Abdiel Arroyo
F
5
Carlos Junior Huerto
D
Carlos Junior Huerto
D
6
Francesco Cavagna
1'
D
Francesco Cavagna
1'
D
7
Jhosep Nuñez
19'
F
Jhosep Nuñez
19'
F
15
Joshua Cantt
M
Joshua Cantt
M
88
Luis Arce
30'
M
Luis Arce
30'
M
9
Marlon de Jesús
1'
F
Marlon de Jesús
1'
F
21
Ricardo Bettocchi
G
Ricardo Bettocchi
G
18
Santiago Gálvez
F
Santiago Gálvez
F
Best on the pitch
Facundo Callejo
F · Cusco
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 7 pass
Lucas Colitto
M · Cusco
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 29 pass
Adolfo Muñoz
M · UTC
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Marcos Lliuya
F · UTC
7.30
2 shots
· 50 pass
Jean Carlos Montaño
M · Cusco
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 52 pass
José Zevallos
D · Cusco
7.00
1 👟
· 45 pass
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Diaz | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Lagos | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Ampuero | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Aldair Fuentes | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| José Zevallos | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Montaño | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 52 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Silveira | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Colman | M | 89 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 64 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Diego Soto | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Colitto | M | 79 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Callejo | F | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Carlo Diez | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Joel Herrera | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| José Miguel Manzaneda | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Silva | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Oswaldo Valenzuela | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
UTC Cajamarca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Barrios | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Caro | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Duarte | D | 83 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Manuel Ganoza | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Garro | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| David Dioses | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Arquímedes Figuera | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Adolfo Muñoz | M | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gilmar Paredes | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| David Camacho | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Lliuya | F | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Francesco Cavagna | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhosep Nuñez | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Luis Arce | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Marlon de Jesús | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
The final score was Cusco 4–1 UTC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Cusco win, 18% to a draw, and 12% to an UTC Cajamarca win.