✗Model wrong — prediction Czechia, result Croatia wins
Adam Karabec
(ast. Adam Hložek)
54'
47'
(ast. Igor Matanovic)
Luka Modrić
77'
(ast. Ivan Perišić)
Marco Pašalić
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Czechia a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Croatia 20%). The final result was Czechia 1–2 Croatia. In 2 previous meetings, Czechia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Croatia.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
16
2
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
1
Corners
6
5
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Lukáš Červ
36'
47'
ast. Igor Matanovic ·
Luka Modrić⚽
⚽Adam Karabec
· ast. Adam Hložek
54'
63'
Ante Budimir
/
Igor Matanovic
63'
Marco Pašalić
/
Franjo Ivanovic
63'
Mario Pašalić
/
Luka Sučić
66'
Luka Vuskovic
Lukáš Červ
/ Alex Král
67'
Lukas Ambros
/ Matej Radosta
67'
Adam Karabec
/ Martin Šubert
74'
76'
Josip Mišić
/
Luka Modrić
77'
ast. Ivan Perišić ·
Marco Pašalić⚽
79'
Jiri Slama
/ Ondrej Zmrzly
83'
Pavel Šulc
/ Vaclav Sejk
83'
88'
Nikola Vlašić
/
Petar Sučić
Alex Král
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
58.09%
Czechia
21.05%
X
20.87%
Croatia ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Croatia)
20.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.05
—
—
0.93
—
—
Lineups
16
L. Horníček
G
L. Horníček
G
20
J. Sláma
83'
D
J. Sláma
83'
D
6
Š. Chaloupek
D
Š. Chaloupek
D
4
R. Hranáč
D
R. Hranáč
D
5
V. Coufal
D
V. Coufal
D
12
L. Červ
67'
M
L. Červ
67'
M
8
M. Sadílek
M
M. Sadílek
M
9
A. Karabec
1 ⚽
74'
M
A. Karabec
1 ⚽
74'
M
15
P. Šulc
83'
M
P. Šulc
83'
M
13
Lukáš Ambros
67'
M
Lukáš Ambros
67'
M
10
A. Hložek
1 👟
F
A. Hložek
1 👟
F
Bench
23
A. Kinský
G
A. Kinský
G
21
A. Král
23'
M
A. Král
23'
M
1
M. Kovář
G
M. Kovář
G
18
M. Radosta
23'
M
M. Radosta
23'
M
22
M. Sáček
D
M. Sáček
D
7
M. Šubert
16'
M
M. Šubert
16'
M
14
M. Vitík
D
M. Vitík
D
2
O. Kričfaluši
D
O. Kričfaluši
D
3
O. Zmrzlý
7'
D
O. Zmrzlý
7'
D
17
P. Bucha
M
P. Bucha
M
19
R. Macek
M
R. Macek
M
11
V. Sejk
7'
F
V. Sejk
7'
F
1
D. Livaković
G
D. Livaković
G
14
I. Perišić
1 👟
D
I. Perišić
1 👟
D
4
J. Gvardiol
D
J. Gvardiol
D
5
L. Vušković
D
L. Vušković
D
2
J. Stanišić
D
J. Stanišić
D
8
M. Kovačić
M
M. Kovačić
M
10
L. Modrić
1 ⚽
76'
M
L. Modrić
1 ⚽
76'
M
16
F. Ivanović
63'
M
F. Ivanović
63'
M
17
P. Sučić
88'
M
P. Sučić
88'
M
21
L. Sučić
63'
M
L. Sučić
63'
M
20
I. Matanović
1 👟
63'
F
I. Matanović
1 👟
63'
F
Bench
11
A. Budimir
27'
F
A. Budimir
27'
F
9
A. Kramarić
F
A. Kramarić
F
18
D. Beljo
F
D. Beljo
F
23
D. Kotarski
G
D. Kotarski
G
12
I. Pandur
G
I. Pandur
G
3
I. Smolčić
D
I. Smolčić
D
22
J. Mišić
14'
M
J. Mišić
14'
M
6
J. Šutalo
D
J. Šutalo
D
7
L. Majer
M
L. Majer
M
19
Marco Pasalic
1 ⚽
27'
F
Marco Pasalic
1 ⚽
27'
F
15
Mario Pasalic
27'
M
Mario Pasalic
27'
M
13
N. Vlašić
2'
M
N. Vlašić
2'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Modrić
M · Croatia
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 66 pass
Marco Pasalic
F · Croatia
7.65
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
I. Perišić
D · Croatia
7.37
1 👟
1 shots
· 44 pass
I. Matanović
F · Croatia
7.26
1 👟
4 shots
· 10 pass
M. Kovačić
M · Croatia
7.20
1 shots
· 73 pass
A. Karabec
M · Czechia
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Czechia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Sláma | D | 83 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Š. Chaloupek | D | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Hranáč | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Coufal | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Červ | M | 67 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Sadílek | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Karabec | M | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Šulc | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Lukáš Ambros | M | 67 | 5.82 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Hložek | F | 90 | 6.73 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Král | M | 23 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Radosta | M | 23 | 5.68 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Šubert | M | 16 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Zmrzlý | D | 7 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Sejk | F | 7 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Croatia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Livaković | G | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Perišić | D | 90 | 7.37 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gvardiol | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Vušković | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 2 | 88 | 79% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Stanišić | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 66% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Modrić | M | 76 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 66 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ivanović | M | 63 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 88 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Sučić | M | 63 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 63 | 7.26 | — | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Budimir | F | 27 | 6.78 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mišić | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Pasalic | F | 27 | 7.65 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Mario Pasalic | M | 27 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Vlašić | M | 2 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Czechia vs Croatia?
The final score was Czechia 1–2 Croatia.
What did the model predict before Czechia vs Croatia?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Czechia win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Croatia win.