Czechia - Croatia
Weather at kick-off
⛅
Partly cloudy
26.7°C
💨 17 km/h
🌧️ 52%
· Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
62.16%
Win
Czechia
17.09%
Draw
20.74%
Win
Croatia
2.72
1.43
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Czechia
62.16%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.39%)
1X2 Result
1
62%
X
17%
2
21%
Double Chance
1X
79%
X2
38%
12
83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
84%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Czechia a 62% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Croatia. Expected goals are 2.7 for Czechia and 1.4 for Croatia (total 4.2), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.39% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Czechia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Croatia.
Season Stats
3W
2D
1L
3W
2D
3L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
1.3
Conceded
1.2
5.0
Shots OT
5.0
4.8
Corners
4.5
50%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
38%
67%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
3W
0D
0L
· at home
0W
1D
3L
· away
2.3
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
25%
100%
O 1.5
75%
67%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
25%
67%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Czechia
Croatia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Czechia
Attack
39
Defence
60
Form
17
Croatia
Attack
29
Defence
60
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Unavailable
Czechia
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 3
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 3
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #2 |
| → Czechia | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Croatia | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Czechia vs Croatia?
The model gives Czechia a 62% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 20% for an Croatia win.
How many goals are expected in Czechia vs Croatia?
Expected goals: Czechia 2.7, Croatia 1.4 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Czechia vs Croatia?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.39%.