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Primera División · Regular Season - 25 October 24, 2026 17:30 Estadio La Portada, La Serena
D. La Serena
#9 · 33 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Concepción
#10 · 32 pts
Matías Marín 14'
Matías Marín (ast. Rafael Delgado) 37'
Jeisson Vargas 84' (pen.)
21' Jorge Henríquez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave D. La Serena a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Concepción 32%). The final result was D. La Serena 3–1 Concepción. In 1 previous meetings, D. La Serena have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Concepción.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
1
2.76
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
11
Corners
3
15
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
5'
Y. Rodríguez
⚽Matías Marín
14'
Francis Mac Allister
20'
21'
Jorge Henríquez⚽
⚽Matías Marín · ast. Rafael Delgado
37'
39'
Ariel Cáceres
41'
Y. Rodríguez
Matías Marín
42'
45'+2
Fausto Grillo
45'
Misael Dávila / Aldrix Jara ↕
Diego Rubio
57'
↕ Francis Mac Allister / Sebastián Díaz
65'
72'
Diego Acosta / Jorge Henríquez ↕
72'
Cristian Riquelme / Mario Sandoval ↕
81'
⚽Jeisson Vargas (pen.)
84'
↕ Yahir Salazar / Matias Pinto
86'
↕ Diego Rubio / Matías Pérez
86'
90'+1
Joaquín Montecinos / Ethan Espinoza ↕
90'+1
Carlos Escobar / Joaquín Larrivey ↕
↕ Matías Marín / Ángelo Henríquez
90'+2
↕ G. Figueroa / Milovan Joseph Velásquez Blaset
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
38.56%
D. ←
28.7%
X
32.74%
Concepción
we assigned to the actual result (D. La Serena) 38.56% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
D.
1.07
2.76
+1.69
Concepción
1.00
0.18
-0.82
D. La Serena dominated by xG (2.76 vs 0.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 26 58
2 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 25 48
3 U. Catolica U. Catolica 25 43
4 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 25 39
5 Palestino Palestino 25 38
6 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 25 37
7 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 25 35
8 Nublense Nublense 25 35
9 D. La Serena D. La Serena 25 33
10 Concepción Concepción 25 32
11 Huachipato Huachipato 24 32
12 A. Italiano A. Italiano 25 30
13 O'Higgins O'Higgins 25 28
14 Cobresal Cobresal 25 26
15 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 26 23
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 26 21
Lineups
D. La Serena D. La Serena 3-4-1-2
31 J. Tapia J. Tapia G 6.36
33 R. Delgado R. Delgado 1 👟 D 7.25
5 L. Alarcón L. Alarcón D 7.05
34 I. Rasso I. Rasso D 6.82
17 Y. Salazar Y. Salazar M 0.00
8 G. Escalante G. Escalante M 6.50
4 F. Mac Allister F. Mac Allister 65' M 6.48
23 M. Marín M. Marín 2 ⚽ 89' M 9.25
10 J. Vargas J. Vargas 1 ⚽ M 7.69
2 G. Figueroa G. Figueroa 89' F 6.39
11 D. Rubio D. Rubio 86' F 6.74
Bench
9 Á. Henríquez Á. Henríquez 1' F 0.00
7 A. Oroz A. Oroz F 0.00
38 I. Sáez I. Sáez G 0.00
16 J. Gutiérrez J. Gutiérrez D 0.00
20 Milovan Velasquez Milovan Velasquez 1' M 0.00
3 M. Pérez M. Pérez 4' D 6.32
29 M. Pinto M. Pinto 4' D 6.31
6 S. Diaz S. Diaz 25' M 6.63
28 Y. Salazar Y. Salazar M 0.00
Concepción Concepción 4-3-3
25 N. Araya N. Araya G 6.36
29 D. Varas D. Varas D 6.18
37 F. Grillo F. Grillo D 5.00
21 N. Rodríguez N. Rodríguez D 6.12
4 A. Cáceres A. Cáceres D 5.31
16 M. Sandoval M. Sandoval 72' M 6.31
20 J. Henríquez J. Henríquez 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.28
18 Y. Rodríguez Y. Rodríguez 41' M 5.06
30 E. Espinoza E. Espinoza 89' F 6.02
32 J. Larrivey J. Larrivey 89' F 6.23
19 A. Jara A. Jara 45' F 5.73
Bench
9 C. Escobar C. Escobar 1' F 0.00
23 C. Riquelme C. Riquelme 18' D 5.73
27 D. Acosta D. Acosta 18' F 6.34
3 D. Carrasco D. Carrasco D 0.00
40 Franco Caceres Franco Caceres F 0.00
15 J. Montecinos J. Montecinos 1' F 0.00
24 M. Cavalleri M. Cavalleri F 0.00
22 M. Dávila M. Dávila 45' M 5.75
12 N. Veloso N. Veloso G 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Marín
M. Marín
M · D.
9.25
2 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
J. Vargas
J. Vargas
M · D.
7.69
1 ⚽
5 shots · 55 pass
J. Henríquez
J. Henríquez
M · Concepción
7.28
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
R. Delgado
R. Delgado
D · D.
7.25
1 👟
· 70 pass
L. Alarcón
L. Alarcón
D · D.
7.05
· 63 pass
I. Rasso
I. Rasso
D · D.
6.82
· 39 pass
D. La Serena D. La Serena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Tapia G 90 6.36 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
R. Delgado D 90 7.25 — 1 0 70 67% 1 — —
L. Alarcón D 90 7.05 — — 0 63 57% 0 — —
I. Rasso D 90 6.82 — — 0 39 35% 4 — —
Y. Salazar M 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
G. Escalante M 90 6.50 — — 0 43 32% 1 — —
F. Mac Allister M 65 6.48 — — 0 39 35% 3 1 —
M. Marín M 89 9.25 2 — 2 39 34% 1 1 —
J. Vargas M 90 7.69 1 — 5 55 49% 2 — —
G. Figueroa F 89 6.39 — — 7 15 11% 1 — —
D. Rubio F 86 6.74 — — 2 37 33% 2 1 —
Á. Henríquez F 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Milovan Velasquez M 1 0.00 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
M. Pérez D 4 6.32 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
M. Pinto D 4 6.31 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
S. Diaz M 25 6.63 — — 0 26 23% 0 — —
Concepción Concepción — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Araya G 90 6.36 — — 0 19 7% 0 — —
D. Varas D 90 6.18 — — 0 18 12% 3 — —
F. Grillo D 90 5.00 — — 0 24 15% 2 1 —
N. Rodríguez D 90 6.12 — — 0 31 21% 3 — —
A. Cáceres D 90 5.31 — — 0 22 12% 1 1 —
M. Sandoval M 72 6.31 — — 0 35 32% 1 — —
J. Henríquez M 72 7.28 1 — 1 26 21% 1 — —
Y. Rodríguez M 41 5.06 — — 0 9 8% 1 — 1
E. Espinoza F 89 6.02 — — 1 20 19% 0 — —
J. Larrivey F 89 6.23 — — 1 17 14% 0 — —
A. Jara F 45 5.73 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
C. Escobar F 1 0.00 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
C. Riquelme D 18 5.73 — — 0 2 0% 1 — —
D. Acosta F 18 6.34 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
J. Montecinos F 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
M. Dávila M 45 5.75 — — 0 15 13% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of D. La Serena vs Concepción?
The final score was D. La Serena 3–1 Concepción.
What did the model predict before D. La Serena vs Concepción?
The model assigned 38% probability to a D. La Serena win, 28% to a draw, and 32% to an Concepción win.