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Primera División · Regular Season - 27 November 07, 2026 19:00 La Portada, La Serena
D. La Serena
#9 · 37 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Palestino
#7 · 38 pts
Diego Rubio 65'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave D. La Serena a 43% win probability (draw 25%, Palestino 30%). The final result was D. La Serena 1–0 Palestino. In 1 previous meetings, D. La Serena have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palestino.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
1
1.61
Actual xG
0.95
1
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
11
Corners
5
27
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
8'
Nicolás Meza
31'
Jose Bizama
36'
Sebastian Gallegos
63'
Gonzalo Tapia / Ronnie Fernández ↕
63'
Bryan Carrasco / Francisco Montes ↕
⚽Diego Rubio
65'
↕ Diego Rubio / Ángelo Henríquez
65'
↕ Yahir Salazar / F. Dinamarca
65'
74'
Marcelo Eggel / Nicolás Meza ↕
74'
Joe Abrigo / Sebastian Gallegos ↕
↕ Lucas Alarcon / Matías Pérez
84'
84'
Martin Araya / Jason León ↕
↕ Felipe Chamorro / Alexander Oroz
84'
↕ Gonzalo Escalante / Milovan Joseph Velásquez Blaset
90'+4
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
43.86%
D. ←
25.55%
X
30.59%
Palestino
we assigned to the actual result (D. La Serena) 43.86% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
D.
1.40
1.61
+0.21
Palestino
1.11
0.95
-0.16
D. La Serena dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.95). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 27 61
2 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 27 51
3 U. Catolica U. Catolica 27 49
4 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 27 40
5 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 27 40
6 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 26 38
7 Palestino Palestino 27 38
8 Concepción Concepción 27 38
9 D. La Serena D. La Serena 27 37
10 Nublense Nublense 27 35
11 Huachipato Huachipato 26 33
12 O'Higgins O'Higgins 27 31
13 A. Italiano A. Italiano 27 30
14 Cobresal Cobresal 27 27
15 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 27 26
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 27 24
Lineups
D. La Serena D. La Serena 4-2-3-1
31 J. Tapia J. Tapia G 6.60
17 Y. Salazar Y. Salazar 65' D 6.77
33 R. Delgado R. Delgado D 7.17
5 L. Alarcón L. Alarcón 84' D 7.32
34 I. Rasso I. Rasso D 6.98
6 S. Diaz S. Diaz M 6.34
8 G. Escalante G. Escalante 89' M 6.11
10 J. Vargas J. Vargas M 6.60
14 F. Chamorro F. Chamorro 84' M 6.35
23 M. Marín M. Marín M 6.68
11 D. Rubio D. Rubio 1 ⚽ 65' F 7.86
Bench
9 Á. Henríquez Á. Henríquez 25' F 6.89
7 A. Oroz A. Oroz 6' F 6.40
21 B. Gutiérrez B. Gutiérrez D 0.00
26 F. Dinamarca F. Dinamarca 25' D 6.17
38 I. Sáez I. Sáez G 0.00
20 Milovan Velasquez Milovan Velasquez 1' M 6.50
3 M. Pérez M. Pérez 6' D 6.46
28 Y. Salazar Y. Salazar 65' M 6.77
Palestino Palestino 4-2-3-1
25 S. Pérez S. Pérez G 6.86
23 J. León J. León 84' D 6.45
3 E. Roco E. Roco D 7.07
16 J. Bizama J. Bizama D 7.02
2 V. Espinoza V. Espinoza D 6.68
8 N. Meza N. Meza 74' M 6.10
5 D. Glaby D. Glaby M 6.13
15 F. Montes F. Montes 63' M 5.98
18 S. Gallegos S. Gallegos 74' M 6.21
30 I. Alegria I. Alegria M 5.91
9 R. Fernández R. Fernández 63' F 6.17
Bench
4 A. Ceza A. Ceza D 0.00
10 A. Martínez A. Martínez M 0.00
7 B. Carrasco B. Carrasco 27' F 6.36
24 D. Salgado D. Salgado F 0.00
20 G. Tapia G. Tapia 27' F 5.77
14 J. Abrigo J. Abrigo 16' M 6.80
21 M. Araya M. Araya 6' F 6.33
17 M. Eggel M. Eggel 16' M 6.29
1 S. Salas S. Salas G 0.00
Best on the pitch
D. Rubio
D. Rubio
F · D.
7.86
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
L. Alarcón
L. Alarcón
D · D.
7.32
3 shots · 55 pass
R. Delgado
R. Delgado
D · D.
7.17
2 shots · 49 pass
E. Roco
E. Roco
D · Palestino
7.07
· 52 pass
J. Bizama
J. Bizama
D · Palestino
7.02
4 shots · 54 pass
I. Rasso
I. Rasso
D · D.
6.98
3 shots · 38 pass
D. La Serena D. La Serena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Tapia G 90 6.60 — — 0 26 18% 0 — —
Y. Salazar D 65 6.77 — — 2 19 16% 3 — —
R. Delgado D 90 7.17 — — 2 49 43% 2 — —
L. Alarcón D 84 7.32 — — 3 55 49% 1 — —
I. Rasso D 90 6.98 — — 3 38 31% 5 — —
S. Diaz M 90 6.34 — — 0 55 43% 4 — —
G. Escalante M 89 6.11 — — 0 48 37% 2 — —
J. Vargas M 90 6.60 — — 3 34 26% 0 — —
F. Chamorro M 84 6.35 — — 1 23 16% 2 — —
M. Marín M 90 6.68 — — 0 43 33% 3 — —
D. Rubio F 65 7.86 1 — 3 16 15% 1 — —
Á. Henríquez F 25 6.89 — — 1 6 3% 1 — —
A. Oroz F 6 6.40 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
F. Dinamarca D 25 6.17 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
Milovan Velasquez M 1 6.50 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
M. Pérez D 6 6.46 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Y. Salazar M 65 6.77 — — 2 19 16% 3 — —
Palestino Palestino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Pérez G 90 6.86 — — 0 28 21% 0 — —
J. León D 84 6.45 — — 2 41 30% 2 — —
E. Roco D 90 7.07 — — 0 52 42% 3 — —
J. Bizama D 90 7.02 — — 4 54 48% 3 1 —
V. Espinoza D 90 6.68 — — 0 39 34% 1 — —
N. Meza M 74 6.10 — — 0 31 23% 2 1 —
D. Glaby M 90 6.13 — — 1 40 30% 1 — —
F. Montes M 63 5.98 — — 1 18 12% 0 — —
S. Gallegos M 74 6.21 — — 0 22 19% 1 1 —
I. Alegria M 90 5.91 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
R. Fernández F 63 6.17 — — 2 11 8% 0 — —
B. Carrasco F 27 6.36 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
G. Tapia F 27 5.77 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
J. Abrigo M 16 6.80 — — 0 11 9% 0 — —
M. Araya F 6 6.33 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
M. Eggel M 16 6.29 — — 1 12 9% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of D. La Serena vs Palestino?
The final score was D. La Serena 1–0 Palestino.
What did the model predict before D. La Serena vs Palestino?
The model assigned 43% probability to a D. La Serena win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an Palestino win.