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Daejeon Citizen - Beijing Guoan

AFC Champions League November 24, 2026 11:00
Daejeon Citizen
#9 · 4 pts
vs
Beijing Guoan
#5 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.85%
Win
Daejeon Citizen
28.09%
Draw
35.06%
Win
Beijing Guoan
1.17
Expected xG
1.16

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.33%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 28%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 63%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 49%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Daejeon Citizen a 36% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Beijing Guoan. Expected goals are 1.2 for Daejeon Citizen and 1.2 for Beijing Guoan (total 2.3), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.33% probability.

Season Stats

Daejeon Citizen
1W 1D 1L
Beijing Guoan
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
2.0
0.7
Conceded
1.0
3.7
Shots OT
4.0
5.3
Corners
4.7
49%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Daejeon Citizen
1W 0D 1L · at home
Beijing Guoan
1W 0D 0L · away
0.5
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
0.0
50%
Win %
100%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
0%
O 1.5
0%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
100%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Daejeon Citizen Beijing Guoan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7% 11.2% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.2% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.7% 7.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen
L Vissel Kobe 0–1
D SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1
W Kyoto Sanga 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
D Jeonbuk Motors 2–2
W Buriram United 0–1
W Pohang Steelers 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 43%

Playing profile

Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen
Attack
42
Defence
69
Form
57
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
Attack
46
Defence
70
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

East Region

# Team G Pts
1 Kashima Kashima 3 9
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3 9
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 3 7
4 Johor Darul Takzim FC Johor Darul Takzim FC 3 7
5 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3 7
6 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3 6
7 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3 4
8 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 3 4
9 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3 4
10 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3 4
11 Công An Nhân Dân Công An Nhân Dân 3 3
12 Buriram United Buriram United 3 2
13 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3 1
14 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3 0
15 Port FC Port FC 3 0
16 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 3 0

What's at stake · East Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Daejeon Citizen Beijing Guoan
Current #9 #5
→ Daejeon Citizen #6 #5
→ Draw #7 #3
→ Beijing Guoan #9 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Beijing Guoan?
The model gives Daejeon Citizen a 36% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 35% for an Beijing Guoan win.
How many goals are expected in Daejeon Citizen vs Beijing Guoan?
Expected goals: Daejeon Citizen 1.2, Beijing Guoan 1.2 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Daejeon Citizen vs Beijing Guoan?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.33%.