Daejeon Citizen - Kyoto Sanga
AFC Champions League
September 15, 2026 12:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.45%
Win
Daejeon Citizen
22.34%
Draw
21.2%
Win
Kyoto Sanga
3.18
1.06
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Daejeon Citizen
56.45%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.66%)
1X2 Result
1
56%
X
22%
2
21%
Double Chance
1X
79%
X2
44%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
69%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Daejeon Citizen a 56% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Kyoto Sanga. Expected goals are 3.2 for Daejeon Citizen and 1.1 for Kyoto Sanga (total 4.2), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.66% probability.
Season Stats
6W
5D
4L
3W
3D
9L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.0
1.5
Conceded
2.1
4.4
Shots OT
4.1
5.7
Corners
4.0
56%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
4W
4D
2L
· at home
1W
3D
6L
· away
1.7
gls/g
0.6
1.3
Conceded
1.7
40%
Win %
10%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
90%
O 1.5
80%
70%
O 2.5
40%
40%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Daejeon Citizen
Kyoto Sanga →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Daejeon Citizen
Attack
57
Defence
67
Form
68
Kyoto Sanga
Attack
36
Defence
41
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
East Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Vissel Kobe
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Jeonbuk Motors
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Daejeon Citizen
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Pohang Steelers
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Buriram United
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Port FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Ratchaburi
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
SHANGHAI SIPG
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Beijing Guoan
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Newcastle Jets
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Johor Darul Takzim FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Gamba Osaka
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Công An Nhân Dân
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · East Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #6 | #4 |
| → Daejeon Citizen | #1 | #5 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Kyoto Sanga | #6 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Kyoto Sanga?
The model gives Daejeon Citizen a 56% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 21% for an Kyoto Sanga win.
How many goals are expected in Daejeon Citizen vs Kyoto Sanga?
Expected goals: Daejeon Citizen 3.2, Kyoto Sanga 1.1 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Daejeon Citizen vs Kyoto Sanga?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.66%.