AFC Champions League
· League Phase - 1
September 15, 2026 12:00
Victor Bobsin
78'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Daejeon Citizen a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Kyoto Sanga 23%). The final result was Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Kyoto Sanga.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
1
2
Shots on target
1
1.40
Actual xG
0.05
1
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
2
9
Tackles
21
Match Events
46'
Souza Alex
/
Everton Maceio
49'
57'
R. Kato
/
T. Matsuda
63'
Joao Pedro
/
S. Fukuoka
63'
R. Nakano
/
Thiago
Jeong Jae-Hee
/ Seo Jin-Su
68'
Joo Min-Kyu
/ Diogo Oliveira
68'
⚽Victor Bobsin
78'
Victor Bobsin
/ Um Won-Sang
80'
M. Ishida
/ Kim Bong-Soo
80'
80'
Rafael Elias
/
S. Nagasawa
G. Ludwigson
/ Kim Jun-Beom
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
52.4%
Daejeon ←
23.98%
X
23.62%
Kyoto
we assigned to the actual result (Daejeon Citizen)
52.4%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.88
1.40
-1.48
1.12
0.05
-1.08
Daejeon Citizen dominated by xG (1.40 vs 0.05).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lee Chang-Geun
G
Lee Chang-Geun
G
16
Lee Myung-Jae
D
Lee Myung-Jae
D
98
A. Krivotsyuk
D
A. Krivotsyuk
D
45
Ha Chang-Rae
D
Ha Chang-Rae
D
6
Kang Yun-Sung
D
Kang Yun-Sung
D
8
Victor Bobsin
1 ⚽
80'
M
Victor Bobsin
1 ⚽
80'
M
44
Lee Soon-Min
M
Lee Soon-Min
M
17
G. Ludwigson
M
G. Ludwigson
M
7
M. Ishida
80'
M
M. Ishida
80'
M
27
Jeong Jae-Hee
68'
M
Jeong Jae-Hee
68'
M
10
Joo Min-Kyu
68'
F
Joo Min-Kyu
68'
F
Bench
9
Diogo de Oliveira
25'
F
Diogo de Oliveira
25'
F
77
João Victor
F
João Victor
F
30
Kim Bong-Soo
13'
M
Kim Bong-Soo
13'
M
13
Kim Jin-Ya
D
Kim Jin-Ya
D
14
Kim Jun-Bum
1'
M
Kim Jun-Bum
1'
M
3
Kim Min-Duk
D
Kim Min-Duk
D
31
Kim Min-Soo
G
Kim Min-Soo
G
25
Lee Jun-Seo
G
Lee Jun-Seo
G
41
Park Byung-chan
M
Park Byung-chan
M
2
Park Kyu-Hyun
D
Park Kyu-Hyun
D
19
Seo Jin-Su
25'
F
Seo Jin-Su
25'
F
11
Um Won-Sang
13'
M
Um Won-Sang
13'
M
90
Halls
G
Halls
G
15
K. Nagata
D
K. Nagata
D
40
Y. Ishida
D
Y. Ishida
D
5
H. Tawiah
D
H. Tawiah
D
44
K. Sato
D
K. Sato
D
14
Thiago
63'
M
Thiago
63'
M
10
S. Fukuoka
63'
M
S. Fukuoka
63'
M
18
T. Matsuda
57'
M
T. Matsuda
57'
M
38
Everton
45'
M
Everton
45'
M
77
H. Arai
M
H. Arai
M
93
S. Nagasawa
80'
F
S. Nagasawa
80'
F
Bench
17
Alex Negueba
48'
F
Alex Negueba
48'
F
19
David Da Silva Costa
F
David Da Silva Costa
F
1
G. Ota
G
G. Ota
G
6
João Pedro
30'
M
João Pedro
30'
M
21
K. Kakoi
G
K. Kakoi
G
9
Rafael Elias
13'
F
Rafael Elias
13'
F
26
R. Kato
36'
D
R. Kato
36'
D
48
R. Nakano
30'
M
R. Nakano
30'
M
31
Sora Hiraga
F
Sora Hiraga
F
62
T. Shichi
D
T. Shichi
D
50
Y. Suzuki
D
Y. Suzuki
D
Best on the pitch
Lee Myung-Jae
D · Daejeon
7.50
· 59 pass
Victor Bobsin
M · Daejeon
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 52 pass
A. Krivotsyuk
D · Daejeon
7.20
· 64 pass
Kang Yun-Sung
D · Daejeon
7.00
· 59 pass
K. Nagata
D · Kyoto
7.00
· 42 pass
Y. Ishida
D · Kyoto
7.00
· 50 pass
Daejeon Citizen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Chang-Geun | G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Lee Myung-Jae | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | — | — | — |
| A. Krivotsyuk | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Ha Chang-Rae | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Kang Yun-Sung | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Bobsin | M | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 52 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Lee Soon-Min | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 54% | — | — | — |
| G. Ludwigson | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ishida | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jeong Jae-Hee | M | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Joo Min-Kyu | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Diogo de Oliveira | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Kim Bong-Soo | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Kim Jun-Bum | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Seo Jin-Su | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Um Won-Sang | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Kyoto Sanga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halls | G | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 14% | — | — | — |
| K. Nagata | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Ishida | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Tawiah | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Sato | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Thiago | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Fukuoka | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Matsuda | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Everton | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| H. Arai | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Nagasawa | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Negueba | F | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| João Pedro | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Elias | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Kato | D | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Nakano | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Kyoto Sanga?
The final score was Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Kyoto Sanga.
What did the model predict before Daejeon Citizen vs Kyoto Sanga?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Daejeon Citizen win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an Kyoto Sanga win.