Primera División
· Clausura - 1
August 09, 2026 16:00
24'
A. Severo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Danubio a 33% win probability (draw 43%, Cerro 22%). The final result was Danubio 0–1 Cerro. In 1 previous meetings, Danubio have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cerro.
Match statistics
Match Events
24'
A. Severo⚽
M. Jourdan
38'
J. Trasante
/ A. Velazquez
46'
M. Jourdan
/ E. Cabrera
46'
M. Ferreira
/ S. Fernandez
46'
54'
N. Arena
62'
Leonardo Pais
/
A. Severo
62'
R. Mederos
/
A. Miranda
66'
A. Cambon
/
B. Aleman
B. Tomatis
/ B. Pereira
69'
70'
A. Macelli
S. Rodriguez
/ John Kleber
83'
86'
C. Barros
Pre-match prediction
33.44%
Danubio
43.98%
X
22.58%
Cerro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro)
22.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.57
—
—
0.44
—
—
Lineups
1
M. Goicoechea
G
M. Goicoechea
G
29
M. Jourdan
D
19
M. Brasil
D
2
E. Velázquez
D
E. Velázquez
D
15
E. Figueroa
M
8
S. Rodríguez
M
38
J. Trasante
M
10
M. Peralta
M
20
M. Ferreira
F
77
B. Tomatis
F
9
H. Silveira
F
Bench
17
Alexander Velazquez
M
14
Bautista Pereira
F
7
E. Cabrera
F
28
E. Femia
M
16
I. Rossi
M
I. Rossi
M
11
John Kleber
F
32
K. Martínez
G
6
L. Sosa
D
4
M. Rinaldi
D
30
S. Fernández
F
12
Y. Irrazábal
G
6
F. Bregante
D
21
N. Arena
D
16
J. Guasone
D
22
D. Suárez
D
8
A. Miranda
M
5
A. Macelli
M
31
J. Amaro
M
27
C. Barros
M
10
B. Alemán
M
7
A. Severo
1 ⚽
M
Bench
3
A. Lima
D
28
Augusto Cambón
F
77
B. Morales
F
1
D. Denis
G
19
E. Sosa
M
17
Gianni Rodríguez
D
70
L. Pais
M
4
Mateo Argüello
D
35
P. Nongoy
M
32
R. Mederos
M
Danubio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Goicoechea | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jourdan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Brasil | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Velázquez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Figueroa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Trasante | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Peralta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ferreira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Tomatis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Silveira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cerro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Irrazábal | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Bregante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Arena | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Guasone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Suárez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Miranda | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Macelli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Barros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Alemán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Severo | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Danubio vs Cerro?
The final score was Danubio 0–1 Cerro.
What did the model predict before Danubio vs Cerro?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Danubio win, 43% to a draw, and 22% to an Cerro win.