Primera División
· Clausura - 5
September 05, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Penarol
15'
L. Umpierrez
54'
M. Arezo
55'
M. Arezo
59'
L. Umpierrez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 57% win probability (draw 28%, Danubio 14%). The final result was Danubio 0–4 Penarol. In 1 previous meetings, Danubio have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Penarol.
Match statistics
Match Events
15'
L. Umpierrez⚽
J. Trasante
/ J. Millan
46'
E. Femia
/ C. Tizon
46'
54'
M. Arezo⚽
55'
M. Arezo⚽
I. Rossi
/ E. Cabrera
57'
M. Peralta
/ E. Figueroa
57'
59'
L. Umpierrez⚽
60'
G. Pezzella
/
M. Lemos
60'
A. Hernandez
/
M. Arezo
60'
T. Olase
/
E. Remedi
69'
J. Rodriguez
/
E. Darias
76'
G. Gelini
/
L. Umpierrez
S. Fernandez
/ M. Ferreira
79'
Pre-match prediction
14.02%
Danubio
28.31%
X
57.68%
Penarol ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
57.68%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.30
—
—
1.29
—
—
Lineups
1
Mauro Goicoechea
G
2
Emiliano Velázquez
D
31
Tomás Cavanagh
D
19
Mauro Brasil
D
18
Facundo Balatti
D
28
Luis Femia
M
38
Joaquín Trasante
M
10
Mateo Peralta
M
16
Iván Rossi
M
30
Sebastián Fernández
F
27
Ivo Costantino
F
Bench
15
Emiliano Figueroa
M
25
Felipe Cabrera
D
11
John Kleber
F
5
Juan Millán
M
32
Kevin Martínez
G
6
Leandro Sosa
D
20
Maicol Ferreira
F
4
Mateo Rinaldi
D
8
Sebastián Rodríguez
M
29
Washington Aguerre
G
15
Maximiliano Olivera
D
6
Lucas Ferreira
D
3
Mauricio Lemos
D
26
Thiago Espinosa
M
13
Eduardo Darias
M
5
Eric Remedi
M
8
Nicolás Fernández
M
32
Leandro Umpierrez
2 ⚽
M
11
Cristian Jaime
F
19
Matías Arezo
2 ⚽
F
Bench
99
Abel Hernández
F
36
Brian Barboza
D
4
Franco Romero
D
2
Germán Pezzella
D
23
Gonzalo Gelini
F
28
Ignacio Alegre
D
33
Jonathan Rodríguez
M
27
Lucas Hernández
D
1
Sebastián Britos
G
16
Tomas Olase
M
Danubio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Goicoechea | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Velázquez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Cavanagh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Brasil | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Balatti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Femia | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Trasante | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Peralta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Rossi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Fernández | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivo Costantino | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Lemos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Espinosa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Darias | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Remedi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Umpierrez | M | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Jaime | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Arezo | F | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Danubio vs Penarol?
The final score was Danubio 0–4 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Danubio vs Penarol?
The model assigned 14% probability to a Danubio win, 28% to a draw, and 57% to an Penarol win.