Primera División
· Clausura - 5
September 05, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Penarol
15'
L. Umpierrez
54'
M. Arezo
55'
M. Arezo
59'
L. Umpierrez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 57% win probability (draw 28%, Danubio 14%). The final result was Danubio 0–4 Penarol. In 1 previous meetings, Danubio have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Penarol.
Match statistics
Match Events
15'
L. Umpierrez⚽
J. Trasante
/ J. Millan
46'
E. Femia
/ C. Tizon
46'
54'
M. Arezo⚽
55'
M. Arezo⚽
I. Rossi
/ E. Cabrera
57'
M. Peralta
/ E. Figueroa
57'
59'
L. Umpierrez⚽
60'
G. Pezzella
/
M. Lemos
60'
A. Hernandez
/
M. Arezo
60'
T. Olase
/
E. Remedi
69'
J. Rodriguez
/
E. Darias
76'
G. Gelini
/
L. Umpierrez
S. Fernandez
/ M. Ferreira
79'
Pre-match prediction
14.02%
Danubio
28.31%
X
57.68%
Penarol ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
57.68%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.30
—
—
1.29
—
—
Lineups
1
M. Goicoechea
G
2
E. Velázquez
D
31
T. Cavanagh
D
19
M. Brasil
D
18
F. Balatti
D
28
E. Femia
M
38
J. Trasante
M
10
M. Peralta
M
16
I. Rossi
M
I. Rossi
M
30
S. Fernández
F
27
I. Costantino
F
Bench
15
E. Figueroa
M
25
Felipe Cabrera
D
5
J. Millán
M
11
John Kleber
F
32
K. Martínez
G
6
L. Sosa
D
20
M. Ferreira
F
4
M. Rinaldi
D
8
S. Rodríguez
M
29
W. Aguerre
G
15
M. Olivera
D
6
L. Ferreira
D
3
M. Lemos
D
26
Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat
M
13
E. Darias
M
5
E. Remedi
M
8
N. Fernández
M
32
L. Umpiérrez
2 ⚽
M
11
C. Jaime
F
19
M. Arezo
2 ⚽
F
Bench
99
A. Hernández
F
36
B. Barboza
D
4
F. Romero
D
23
Gonzalo Gelini
F
2
G. Pezzella
D
28
I. Alegre
D
33
J. Rodríguez
M
27
L. Hernández
D
1
S. Britos
G
16
T. Olase
M
Danubio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Goicoechea | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Velázquez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Cavanagh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Brasil | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Balatti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Femia | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Trasante | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Peralta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Rossi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Fernández | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Costantino | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lemos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Darias | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Remedi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Umpiérrez | M | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Jaime | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Danubio vs Penarol?
The final score was Danubio 0–4 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Danubio vs Penarol?
The model assigned 14% probability to a Danubio win, 28% to a draw, and 57% to an Penarol win.