Primera División
· Torneo Intermedio - 3
May 30, 2026 20:00
J. Pereyra
27'
81'
G. Silva
90'+6
(ast. F. De Leon)
M. Copelotti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Danubio a 43% win probability (draw 40%, Progreso 16%). The final result was Danubio 1–2 Progreso. In 2 previous meetings, Danubio have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Progreso.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽J. Pereyra
27'
41'
F. Kidd
46'
F. De Leon
/
F. Kidd
N. Azambuja
46'
54'
M. Copelotti
/
G. Silva
58'
G. Trasante
M. Ferreira
/ D. Garcia
68'
M. Peralta
/ E. Femia
69'
F. Balatti
/ M. Jourdan
77'
N. Azambuja
/ S. Fernandez
77'
77'
F. Andueza
/
A. Cougo
80'
G. Silva
/
J. Dos Santos
80'
I. Lemmo
/
A. Pinheiro
81'
G. Silva⚽
D. Garcia
90'+4
90'+6
ast. F. De Leon ·
M. Copelotti⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.13%
Danubio
40.07%
X
16.79%
Progreso ←
we assigned to the actual result (Progreso)
16.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.77
—
—
0.35
—
—
Lineups
1
M. Goicoechea
G
M. Goicoechea
G
31
T. Cavanagh
D
4
M. Rinaldi
D
3
J. Pereyra
1 ⚽
D
J. Pereyra
1 ⚽
D
40
F. Balatti
D
10
M. Peralta
M
16
I. Rossi
M
I. Rossi
M
18
C. Mayada
M
20
M. Ferreira
F
21
Nicolas Azambuja
F
7
E. Cabrera
F
Bench
22
Axel Montaña
M
33
Damina Garcia
28
E. Femia
M
15
E. Figueroa
M
5
J. Millán
M
32
K. Martínez
G
6
L. Sosa
D
29
M. Jourdan
D
30
S. Fernández
F
33
Agustín Requena
G
14
Facundo Kidd
D
13
H. Carroso
D
27
G. Silva
1 ⚽
D
16
G. Trasante
D
5
A. Pinheiro
M
8
Adrián Colombino
M
40
A. Cougo
D
18
G. Silva
1 ⚽
M
11
N. López
M
25
Jonathan Dos Santos
F
Bench
30
Agustin Codagnone
M
1
A. Mehring
G
A. Mehring
G
7
Fabricio Fernandez
M
17
F. de León
1 👟
M
6
Federico Andueza
D
9
Gary Silva
F
10
Ignacio Lemmo
M
21
Juan Rivero
M
23
M. Copelotti
1 ⚽
F
2
S. Cardozo
D
Danubio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Goicoechea | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Cavanagh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Rinaldi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Balatti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Peralta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Rossi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Mayada | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ferreira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Azambuja | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Cabrera | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Progreso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Requena | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Kidd | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Carroso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Silva | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Trasante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Pinheiro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Colombino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cougo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Silva | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. López | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Dos Santos | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Danubio vs Progreso?
The final score was Danubio 1–2 Progreso.
What did the model predict before Danubio vs Progreso?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Danubio win, 40% to a draw, and 16% to an Progreso win.