MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 14, 2026 01:30
T. Baribo
41'
62'
(ast. P. Zinckernagel)
R. Lod
71'
H. Cuypers
87'
M. Haile-Selassie
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 38% win probability (draw 25%, DC United 36%). The final result was DC United 1–3 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, DC United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chicago Fire.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
8
0.69
Actual xG
2.29
5
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
8
21
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
19'
D. D'Avilla
⚽T. Baribo
41'
48'
J. Bamba
62'
ast. P. Zinckernagel ·
R. Lod⚽
62'
P. Dithejane
/
J. Bamba
63'
M. Haile-Selassie
/
R. Lod
T. Baribo
/ J. Stroud
64'
71'
(missed pen.)
P. Zinckernagel⚽
71'
H. Cuypers⚽
75'
J. Elliott
87'
M. Haile-Selassie⚽
J. Hopkins
/ J. Murrell
87'
89'
J. Dean
90'+4
C. Mueller
/
P. Zinckernagel
90'+5
J. Shokalook
/
H. Cuypers
90'+8
A. Gutman
Pre-match prediction
36.01%
DC
25.68%
X
38.31%
Chicago ←
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
38.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
0.69
-1.08
1.89
2.29
+0.4
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (2.29 vs 0.69).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Sean Johnson
G
Sean Johnson
G
6
Keisuke Kurokawa
D
Keisuke Kurokawa
D
15
Kye Rowles
D
Kye Rowles
D
3
Lucas Bartlett
D
Lucas Bartlett
D
27
Nikola Markovic
D
Nikola Markovic
D
7
João Peglow
M
João Peglow
M
23
Brandon Servania
M
Brandon Servania
M
4
Matti Peltola
M
Matti Peltola
M
25
Jackson Hopkins
87'
M
Jackson Hopkins
87'
M
9
T. Baribo
1 ⚽
64'
F
T. Baribo
1 ⚽
64'
F
11
Louis Munteanu
F
Louis Munteanu
F
Bench
22
Aaron Herrera
D
Aaron Herrera
D
26
Alex Bono
G
Alex Bono
G
30
Caden Clark
M
Caden Clark
M
12
C. Antley
D
48
Gavin Turner
M
Gavin Turner
M
77
Hosei Kijima
M
Hosei Kijima
M
8
Jared Stroud
26'
M
Jared Stroud
26'
M
17
J. Murrell
11'
F
J. Murrell
11'
F
24
Jordan Farr
G
Jordan Farr
G
1
C. Brady
G
C. Brady
G
15
A. Gutman
D
A. Gutman
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
3
J. Elliott
D
J. Elliott
D
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
42
T. D'Avilla
M
T. D'Avilla
M
22
M. Pineda
M
M. Pineda
M
19
Jonathan Bamba
62'
M
Jonathan Bamba
62'
M
17
R. Lod
1 ⚽
63'
M
R. Lod
1 ⚽
63'
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
1 👟
89'
M
P. Zinckernagel
1 👟
89'
M
9
H. Cuypers
1 ⚽
89'
F
H. Cuypers
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
8
Chris Mueller
1'
F
Chris Mueller
1'
F
27
Dylan Borso
F
Dylan Borso
F
20
Jason Shokalook
1'
F
Jason Shokalook
1'
F
44
J. Cohen
G
J. Cohen
G
16
J. Waterman
D
J. Waterman
D
7
M. Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
27'
M
M. Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
27'
M
12
P. Dithejane
28'
F
P. Dithejane
28'
F
5
S. Rogers
D
S. Rogers
D
14
Viktor Radojević
D
Viktor Radojević
D
Best on the pitch
H. Cuypers
F · Chicago
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
T. Baribo
F · DC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
R. Lod
M · Chicago
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Sean Johnson
G · DC
7.30
· 24 pass
M. Haile-Selassie
M · Chicago
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
P. Dithejane
F · Chicago
6.90
1 shots
· 10 pass
DC United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Johnson | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Kye Rowles | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Bartlett | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Nikola Markovic | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| João Peglow | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Brandon Servania | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Matti Peltola | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 7 | — | — |
| Jackson Hopkins | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Baribo | F | 64 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Louis Munteanu | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Murrell | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Gutman | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | — | — | — |
| J. Elliott | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Dean | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Pineda | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Lod | M | 63 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 5 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Chris Mueller | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Haile-Selassie | M | 27 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of DC United vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was DC United 1–3 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before DC United vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 36% probability to a DC United win, 25% to a draw, and 38% to an Chicago Fire win.