MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 14, 2026 01:30
T. Baribo
41'
62'
(ast. P. Zinckernagel)
R. Lod
71'
H. Cuypers
87'
M. Haile-Selassie
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 38% win probability (draw 25%, DC United 36%). The final result was DC United 1–3 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, DC United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chicago Fire.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
8
0.69
Actual xG
2.29
5
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
8
21
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
19'
D. D'Avilla
⚽T. Baribo
41'
48'
J. Bamba
62'
ast. P. Zinckernagel ·
R. Lod⚽
62'
P. Dithejane
/
J. Bamba
63'
M. Haile-Selassie
/
R. Lod
T. Baribo
/ J. Stroud
64'
71'
(missed pen.)
P. Zinckernagel⚽
71'
H. Cuypers⚽
75'
J. Elliott
87'
M. Haile-Selassie⚽
J. Hopkins
/ J. Murrell
87'
89'
J. Dean
90'+4
C. Mueller
/
P. Zinckernagel
90'+5
J. Shokalook
/
H. Cuypers
90'+8
A. Gutman
Pre-match prediction
36.01%
DC
25.68%
X
38.31%
Chicago ←
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
38.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
0.69
-1.08
1.89
2.29
+0.4
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (2.29 vs 0.69).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Johnson
G
S. Johnson
G
6
K. Kurokawa
D
K. Kurokawa
D
15
K. Rowles
D
K. Rowles
D
3
L. Bartlett
D
L. Bartlett
D
27
Nikola Markovic
D
Nikola Markovic
D
7
Peglow
M
Peglow
M
23
B. Servania
M
B. Servania
M
4
M. Peltola
M
M. Peltola
M
25
J. Hopkins
87'
M
J. Hopkins
87'
M
9
T. Baribo
1 ⚽
64'
F
T. Baribo
1 ⚽
64'
F
11
L. Munteanu
F
L. Munteanu
F
Bench
26
A. Bono
G
A. Bono
G
22
A. Herrera
D
A. Herrera
D
12
C. Antley
D
C. Antley
D
30
C. Clark
M
C. Clark
M
48
Gavin Turner
M
Gavin Turner
M
77
Hosei Kijima
M
Hosei Kijima
M
24
J. Farr
G
J. Farr
G
17
J. Murrell
11'
F
J. Murrell
11'
F
8
J. Stroud
26'
M
J. Stroud
26'
M
1
C. Brady
G
C. Brady
G
15
A. Gutman
D
A. Gutman
D
4
M. Mbokazi
D
M. Mbokazi
D
3
J. Elliott
D
J. Elliott
D
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
42
T. D'Avilla
M
T. D'Avilla
M
22
M. Pineda
M
M. Pineda
M
19
J. Bamba
62'
M
J. Bamba
62'
M
17
R. Lod
1 ⚽
63'
M
R. Lod
1 ⚽
63'
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
1 👟
89'
M
P. Zinckernagel
1 👟
89'
M
9
H. Cuypers
1 ⚽
89'
F
H. Cuypers
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
8
Chris Mueller
1'
F
Chris Mueller
1'
F
27
Dylan Borso
F
Dylan Borso
F
20
Jason Shokalook
1'
F
Jason Shokalook
1'
F
44
J. Cohen
G
J. Cohen
G
16
J. Waterman
D
J. Waterman
D
7
M. Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
27'
M
M. Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
27'
M
12
P. Dithejane
28'
F
P. Dithejane
28'
F
5
S. Rogers
D
S. Rogers
D
14
V. Radojević
D
V. Radojević
D
Best on the pitch
H. Cuypers
F · Chicago
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
T. Baribo
F · DC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
R. Lod
M · Chicago
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
S. Johnson
G · DC
7.30
· 24 pass
M. Haile-Selassie
M · Chicago
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
P. Dithejane
F · Chicago
6.90
1 shots
· 10 pass
DC United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johnson | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| K. Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| K. Rowles | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | — | — |
| L. Bartlett | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Nikola Markovic | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Peglow | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Servania | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Peltola | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 7 | — | — |
| J. Hopkins | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Baribo | F | 64 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Munteanu | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Murrell | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Stroud | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Gutman | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Mbokazi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | — | — | — |
| J. Elliott | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Dean | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Pineda | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 53% | — | — | — |
| J. Bamba | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Lod | M | 63 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 5 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Chris Mueller | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Haile-Selassie | M | 27 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of DC United vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was DC United 1–3 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before DC United vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 36% probability to a DC United win, 25% to a draw, and 38% to an Chicago Fire win.