DC United - Columbus Crew
MLS
September 10, 2026 01:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.54%
Win
DC United
23.95%
Draw
26.51%
Win
Columbus Crew
1.58
1.08
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.71%)
1X2 Result
1
50%
X
24%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
51%
12
76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
51%
✓ 72.4% hit rate (76 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives DC United a 49% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Columbus Crew. Expected goals are 1.6 for DC United and 1.1 for Columbus Crew (total 2.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.71% probability.
Season Stats
3W
9D
3L
5W
2D
8L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.6
1.8
Conceded
1.8
5.1
Shots OT
3.4
5.3
Corners
4.1
39%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
80%
73%
BTTS
73%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
55%
O 3.5
80%
BTTS
2W
4D
4L
· at home
1W
3D
6L
· away
1.4
gls/g
1.5
2.2
Conceded
2.2
20%
Win %
10%
60%
Win or Draw
40%
90%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
90%
50%
O 3.5
60%
70%
BTTS
90%
10%
Clean Sht
0%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ DC United
Columbus Crew →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
DC United
Attack
41
Defence
50
Form
41
Columbus Crew
Attack
38
Defence
54
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
23 | 53 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
23 | 43 |
| 3 |
Chicago Fire
|
22 | 38 |
| 4 |
New England Revolution
|
23 | 37 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
23 | 36 |
| 6 |
FC Cincinnati
|
22 | 31 |
| 7 |
New York City FC
|
23 | 29 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
23 | 28 |
| 9 |
Philadelphia Union
|
23 | 27 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
23 | 27 |
| 11 |
Toronto FC
|
23 | 26 |
| 12 |
DC United
|
22 | 25 |
| 13 |
Columbus Crew
|
23 | 23 |
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
|
23 | 22 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
23 | 21 |
What's at stake · Eastern Conference
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #12 | #13 |
| → DC United | #8 | #13 |
| → Draw | #12 | #13 |
| → Columbus Crew | #13 | #11 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win DC United vs Columbus Crew?
The model gives DC United a 49% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 26% for an Columbus Crew win.
How many goals are expected in DC United vs Columbus Crew?
Expected goals: DC United 1.6, Columbus Crew 1.1 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in DC United vs Columbus Crew?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.71%.