MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 01:30
16'
(ast. Ramiro)
L. Farrington
45'
P. Delgado
78'
(ast. J. Valiente)
O. Urhoghide
90'
P. Musa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 34% win probability (draw 32%, DC United 33%). The final result was DC United 0–4 FC Dallas.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
8
0.87
Actual xG
1.80
3
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
3
14
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
16'
ast. Ramiro ·
L. Farrington⚽
Lucas Bartlett
45'
45'
P. Delgado⚽
S. Nealis
/ A. Herrera
60'
J. Hopkins
/ L. Munteanu
61'
67'
Nolan Norris
T. Baribo
/ J. Murrell
68'
68'
C. Cappis
/
P. Delgado
71'
J. Valiente
/
N. Norris
78'
ast. J. Valiente ·
O. Urhoghide⚽
B. Servania
/ J. Stroud
82'
Gabriel Pirani
/ C. Clark
82'
Aaron Herrera
83'
85'
S. Moreno
/
L. Farrington
85'
S. Sarver
/
Ramiro
85'
R. Binyamin
/
Kaick
90'
P. Musa⚽
Pre-match prediction
33.54%
DC
32.0%
X
34.47%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas)
34.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.04
0.87
-0.17
1.13
1.80
+0.67
FC Dallas dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
K. Kurokawa
D
K. Kurokawa
D
13
S. Nealis
60'
D
S. Nealis
60'
D
3
L. Bartlett
D
L. Bartlett
D
5
S. Hefti
D
S. Hefti
D
7
Peglow
M
Peglow
M
23
B. Servania
82'
M
B. Servania
82'
M
4
M. Peltola
M
M. Peltola
M
10
Gabriel Pirani
82'
M
Gabriel Pirani
82'
M
25
J. Hopkins
61'
F
J. Hopkins
61'
F
9
T. Baribo
68'
F
T. Baribo
68'
F
Bench
22
A. Herrera
30'
D
A. Herrera
30'
D
12
C. Antley
D
C. Antley
D
30
C. Clark
8'
M
C. Clark
8'
M
48
Gavin Turner
M
Gavin Turner
M
17
J. Murrell
22'
F
J. Murrell
22'
F
8
J. Stroud
8'
M
J. Stroud
8'
M
11
L. Munteanu
29'
F
L. Munteanu
29'
F
27
Nikola Markovic
D
Nikola Markovic
D
30
Michael Collodi
G
Michael Collodi
G
32
N. Norris
71'
D
N. Norris
71'
D
3
O. Urhoghide
1 ⚽
D
O. Urhoghide
1 ⚽
D
25
S. Ibeagha
D
S. Ibeagha
D
77
M
8
P. Delgado
1 ⚽
68'
M
P. Delgado
1 ⚽
68'
M
17
Ramiro
1 👟
85'
M
Ramiro
1 👟
85'
M
55
Kaick
85'
M
Kaick
85'
M
18
M
23
L. Farrington
1 ⚽
85'
F
L. Farrington
1 ⚽
85'
F
9
P. Musa
1 ⚽
F
P. Musa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
12
C. Cappis
22'
M
C. Cappis
22'
M
21
J. Valiente
1 👟
19'
M
J. Valiente
1 👟
19'
M
5
L. Abubakar
D
L. Abubakar
D
7
L. Deedson
F
L. Deedson
F
16
Nicholas Simmonds
F
Nicholas Simmonds
F
28
Samuel Sarver
11'
F
Samuel Sarver
11'
F
10
S. Moreno
11'
F
S. Moreno
11'
F
Best on the pitch
O. Urhoghide
D · FC
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 49 pass
Michael Collodi
G · FC
8.30
· 25 pass
P. Musa
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
S. Ibeagha
D · FC
7.70
· 35 pass
P. Delgado
M · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Ramiro
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
· 42 pass
DC United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| K. Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Nealis | D | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bartlett | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Hefti | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Peglow | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Servania | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Peltola | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Pirani | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Hopkins | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Baribo | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Herrera | D | 30 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Clark | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Murrell | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Stroud | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Munteanu | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Collodi | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — |
| N. Norris | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Urhoghide | D | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ibeagha | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| P. Delgado | M | 68 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Farrington | F | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Musa | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Cappis | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Valiente | M | 19 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Sarver | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Moreno | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of DC United vs FC Dallas?
The final score was DC United 0–4 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before DC United vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 33% probability to a DC United win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an FC Dallas win.