MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 03:30
16'
(ast. Ramiro)
L. Farrington
45'
P. Delgado
78'
(ast. J. Valiente)
O. Urhoghide
90'
P. Musa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 34% win probability (draw 32%, DC United 33%). The final result was DC United 0–4 FC Dallas.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
8
0.87
Actual xG
1.80
3
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
3
14
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
16'
ast. Ramiro ·
L. Farrington⚽
Lucas Bartlett
45'
45'
P. Delgado⚽
S. Nealis
/ A. Herrera
60'
J. Hopkins
/ L. Munteanu
61'
67'
Nolan Norris
T. Baribo
/ J. Murrell
68'
68'
C. Cappis
/
P. Delgado
71'
J. Valiente
/
N. Norris
78'
ast. J. Valiente ·
O. Urhoghide⚽
B. Servania
/ J. Stroud
82'
Gabriel Pirani
/ C. Clark
82'
Aaron Herrera
83'
85'
S. Moreno
/
L. Farrington
85'
S. Sarver
/
Ramiro
85'
R. Binyamin
/
Kaick
90'
P. Musa⚽
Pre-match prediction
33.54%
DC
32.0%
X
34.47%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas)
34.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.04
0.87
-0.17
1.13
1.80
+0.67
FC Dallas dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
Keisuke Kurokawa
D
Keisuke Kurokawa
D
13
S. Nealis
60'
D
3
Lucas Bartlett
D
Lucas Bartlett
D
5
Silvan Hefti
D
Silvan Hefti
D
7
João Peglow
M
João Peglow
M
23
Brandon Servania
82'
M
Brandon Servania
82'
M
4
Matti Peltola
M
Matti Peltola
M
10
Gabriel Pirani
82'
M
25
J. Hopkins
61'
F
9
T. Baribo
68'
F
T. Baribo
68'
F
Bench
22
Aaron Herrera
30'
D
Aaron Herrera
30'
D
30
Caden Clark
8'
M
Caden Clark
8'
M
12
Conner Antley
D
Conner Antley
D
48
Gavin Turner
M
Gavin Turner
M
17
Jacob Murrell
22'
F
Jacob Murrell
22'
F
8
Jared Stroud
8'
M
Jared Stroud
8'
M
11
Louis Munteanu
29'
F
Louis Munteanu
29'
F
27
Nikola Markovic
D
Nikola Markovic
D
30
Michael Collodi
G
Michael Collodi
G
32
N. Norris
71'
D
3
Osaze Urhoghide
1 ⚽
D
Osaze Urhoghide
1 ⚽
D
25
Sebastien Ibeagha
D
Sebastien Ibeagha
D
77
M
8
Patrickson Delgado
1 ⚽
68'
M
Patrickson Delgado
1 ⚽
68'
M
17
Ramiro
1 👟
85'
M
Ramiro
1 👟
85'
M
55
Kaick
85'
M
Kaick
85'
M
18
M
23
Logan Farrington
1 ⚽
85'
F
Logan Farrington
1 ⚽
85'
F
9
Petar Musa
1 ⚽
F
Petar Musa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
12
Christian Cappis
22'
M
Christian Cappis
22'
M
21
Joaquín Valiente
1 👟
19'
M
Joaquín Valiente
1 👟
19'
M
5
Lalas Abubakar
D
Lalas Abubakar
D
7
L. Deedson
F
L. Deedson
F
16
Nicholas Simmonds
F
28
Sam Sarver
11'
F
Sam Sarver
11'
F
10
Santiago Moreno
11'
F
Santiago Moreno
11'
F
Best on the pitch
Osaze Urhoghide
D · FC
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 49 pass
Michael Collodi
G · FC
8.30
· 25 pass
Petar Musa
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Sebastien Ibeagha
D · FC
7.70
· 35 pass
Patrickson Delgado
M · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Ramiro
M · FC
7.30
1 👟
· 42 pass
DC United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Nealis | D | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Bartlett | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Silvan Hefti | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| João Peglow | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Brandon Servania | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Matti Peltola | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Pirani | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Hopkins | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Baribo | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Herrera | D | 30 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Caden Clark | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murrell | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Louis Munteanu | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Collodi | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — |
| N. Norris | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Patrickson Delgado | M | 68 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| Logan Farrington | F | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Christian Cappis | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | M | 19 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Sam Sarver | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Moreno | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of DC United vs FC Dallas?
The final score was DC United 0–4 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before DC United vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 33% probability to a DC United win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an FC Dallas win.